Relegation rivals watch

[Ellafella]

4 minutes ago, DCFC1388 said:

Reading would be on 35pts

You spotted the deliberate error. Well done. Far sharper than other posters looking at this, well done @DCFC1388. Doesn't really change the complexion though; it's going to be very close.   

Edited February 20, 2022 by Ellafella

[Carnero]

1 hour ago, Tamworthram said:

I don't really care about the graph.

 

1 hour ago, Tyler Durden said:

I don't care about the graph

Ouch  @Sean 

[Eddie]

1 minute ago, i-Ram said:

Tickled me that Eddie. Hope you had a good birthday you curmudgeonly old sod.

I've really enjoyed myself, thanks, i-Ram. 

[i-Ram]

Just now, DCFC1388 said:

Reading would be on 35pts

He’d been working on that all night.

[Foreveram]

27 minutes ago, Ellafella said:

Well, how do you rank Florist's 1959 Cup victory? 

Below Derby’s Texaco and Watney cup wins.

 

 

[Foreveram]

27 minutes ago, Eddie said:

I disagree that all Derby fans argue.

[Gee SCREAMER !!]

7 minutes ago, Foreveram said:

Below Derby’s Texaco and Watney cup wins.

 

 

Need to get that back from Stoke, might forget they borrowed it in all the drama.  

[kevinhectoring]

9 hours ago, Ellafella said:

Reading will have some sort of new manager bounce with PI

The results in Reading’s next 3 games will likely be more telling of the final outcome than the results in ours. We know what we can do. They’re an unknown quantity. 

[Ram-Alf]

11 hours ago, Tamworthram said:

I'm not sure why you're being defensive when all I did was highlight an error in your statement.

Also, as far as I can see you didn't actually say you were referring to the graph:

Quote: "Hull and Cardiff have basically both out stripped our PPG return over the last 6 games and pulled away from us"

Graph was in code Tamworth, I worked it out

[erathirea]

I'd be so happy if we could catch up 2 points by Sunday...

 

Go into the game v Cardiff with a chance of going 21st? Yes please.

[Rammy03]

Tonight:

Hull vs Barnsley

Reading vs Birmingham

Edited February 22, 2022 by Rammy03

[TuffLuff]

Next two Hull games are really interesting 

vs Barnsley tonight

vs Peterborough Saturday

Do you want them to win? If they lose both and us and Reading win then they can be dragged right into it

[RoyMac5]

 

[kevinhectoring]

17 minutes ago, TuffLuff said:

Next two Hull games are really interesting 

vs Barnsley tonight

vs Peterborough Saturday

Do you want them to win? If they lose both and us and Reading win then they can be dragged right into it

I dont think we want Barnsley or Posh getting any ambition. So ideal might be for Hull to draw against these two, and against Reading in April and for them otherwise to finish their season the way way we did last year 

[Rammy03]

38 minutes ago, RoyMac5 said:

 

Interesting to listen to that interview. 

'You look at the players we've got, 1 win in 20, something can't be right'

'We've got a nice little gap at the moment but it's going to go to the wire'

[TigerTedd]

On 20/02/2022 at 23:02, Ellafella said:

Ok. Realistically, we don't think we can overtake anybody but Reading. So if we look at each side's remaining fixtures and assume that the previous, reverse fixture results pertain we see the above {very rough and ready spreadsheet}. Derby have the better record having drawn more (6 to 3) and lost fewer (5 to 9). Reading have conceded 25 to Derby's 14; Derby have scored 2 fewer (11 to 13). So, if the identical results apply in the remaining fixtures, we can see:

1. It will be very tight

2. Reading will get 9 points giving them 34 points and Derby will get 13 points giving us 34 points. 

On this basis alone, Derby would survive on GD. 

Of course, this won't happen like this but this gives a fair indication of just how tight it's going to be and that I believe it will go down to the final game.

Reading will have some sort of new manager bounce with PI and Derby's squad looks ultra thin given injuries and suspensions. Basically, I recommend that you don't try and give up anything that helps you get through the games from this point forward. 

There are other ways to try and "forecast" - this is just one way; all methods are only approximations. Madame Football is the only one who knows how this will go, and she ain't telling you! 

I hate to start a new argument (no I don’t), but Reading are 5 points ahead. So if they got 9 and we got 13, we’d be a point behind them still. 

[RodleyRam]

44 minutes ago, TuffLuff said:

Next two Hull games are really interesting 

vs Barnsley tonight

vs Peterborough Saturday

Do you want them to win? If they lose both and us and Reading win then they can be dragged right into it

Hull are an interesting proposition. They are currently miles ahead of us, so I would discount them. However, if Reading manage to put a run together, we're going to need someone else to get dragged in and they seem like the most likely candidates. 

I think I would sooner see Hull dropping points as I would expect us to get more points that P'Boro and Barnsley over the course of the season, so a victory here and there for them shouldn't make much difference in the long run.

Ultimately, we have to keep winning and putting the pressure on. It's still a very tall order for us to escape...

[Steve How Hard?]

48 minutes ago, RoyMac5 said:

 

Interesting to hear him say he thought they played like Barcelona at Preston. We may be in trouble if his assessment is right. 

[kevinhectoring]

3 minutes ago, Rammy03 said:

Interesting to listen to that interview. 

'You look at the players we've got, 1 win in 20, something can't be right'

'We've got a nice little gap at the moment but it's going to go to the wire'

The Ince experiment might seem a good idea: he won’t be expensive to hire or fire. And at the same time they’ll try to warm up an established relegation scrapper who can come in if Ince doesn’t work. 

But it could backfire. If Ince is indeed the wrong guy, the damage done to the points total and the dressing room might be too much for an old hand to repair. Just hoping that Ince is their last chance 

[Gee SCREAMER !!]

12 minutes ago, kevinhectoring said:

The Ince experiment might seem a good idea: he won’t be expensive to hire or fire. And at the same time they’ll try to warm up an established relegation scrapper who can come in if Ince doesn’t work. 

But it could backfire. If Ince is indeed the wrong guy, the damage done to the points total and the dressing room might be too much for an old hand to repair. Just hoping that Ince is their last chance 

Sure I heard he's working for free to assist their maximum spend .  As suspected that's why the other guy wasn't sacked but 'resigned'.  With no payoff - till they give him some in 2 years when he comes back as the worlds best paid kit man.  The wonderful world of FFP.