Sparkle Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 We just have to keep carrying on trying to pick up points where we can - our threadbare squad and dubious refereeing decisions are our biggest threat as well as other teams deciding to improve - it’s always worth remembering that one side seems to fall like a stone in this league and Hull look more than capable of doing that. How do we score the goals we need - Davies with 4 Forsyth with 2 have proved to be very important goal-scorers this season and if we can find a few more from some others it will help a lot - maybe Bird and Jozwiak/Stearman with a few will help a lot Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plymouthram Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 13 hours ago, Sparkle said: We just have to keep carrying on trying to pick up points where we can - our threadbare squad and dubious refereeing decisions are our biggest threat as well as other teams deciding to improve - it’s always worth remembering that one side seems to fall like a stone in this league and Hull look more than capable of doing that. How do we score the goals we need - Davies with 4 Forsyth with 2 have proved to be very important goal-scorers this season and if we can find a few more from some others it will help a lot - maybe Bird and Jozwiak/Stearman with a few will help a lot Ebosele is going to play regular in the position he played against Hull. So I expect him to chip in a few goals from now on, which will have teams trying to double up on him because of his pace and that hopefully will give more space to others. Dean (hick) Saunders and DesertRam 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
europia Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 (edited) Probably circa 40 pts. We will most likely fall just short of that, as our reduced squad size catches up toward the end of the season. We won't fail due to lack of effort & commitment, that's for sure. Edited February 10, 2022 by europia Ken Tram, Brammie Steve and jimtastic56 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimtastic56 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 It’s looking like a straight fight between us and Reading. But there are two things we have to be careful of - some promoted teams like Wycombe get the hang of things near the end of the season (ended up with 43 pts). And with Reading there could be a new manager “bounce” near the end of the season. We must aim for 48points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uttoxram75 Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 I think we'll just fall short due to the squad size, injuries and bans due to blatantly biased referees. Honestly, I can't see our players keeping up this level of effort, physically they must be drained plus every player has to be at a level of 7/10 every game. Its incredible we are in with a chance of finishing out of the bottom three. If we do it, it'll be huge. No one will remember who got promoted in 2022. The world will remember that Derby County stayed up. jimtastic56, Sly, Ken Tram and 3 others 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghost of Clough Posted February 11, 2022 Share Posted February 11, 2022 39 Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimtastic56 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 On 11/02/2022 at 11:10, Ghost of Clough said: 39 Don’t think 39 will be enough, looking like 8 wins from 15 . Home form could keep us up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Tracking well under 40 right now.. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RadioactiveWaste Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Think it'll be unusually low, I'm going to say 36 and it's us who do it. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Im tracking against last season as that gave us 44 and safety. after 29 games (using 29 as that's how many all of the bottom 4 have played) this season is now tracking a spectacular 9 points off that 44 target so currently 35. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thelovebelow Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 41 minutes ago, Yani P said: Im tracking against last season as that gave us 44 and safety. after 29 games (using 29 as that's how many all of the bottom 4 have played) this season is now tracking a spectacular 9 points off that 44 target so currently 35. Yes, but we were woeful those last 15 games. How many games did we win those games? Our form isn't bottom 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 (edited) The point was 44 points would most likely see us safe and at the moment the tracking for 4th bottom is still way under that.. Edited February 14, 2022 by Yani P jimtastic56 and Ken Tram 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimtastic56 Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Blackburn went down under Mowbray with 51 points . The bottom teams always seem have their best run in the last 10 games when it gets really urgent. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 (edited) 3 minutes ago, jimtastic56 said: Blackburn went down under Mowbray with 51 points . The bottom teams always seem have their best run in the last 10 games when it gets really urgent. Last season was a bit more wading through treacle..but even to get to last seasons tally of 44 Reading need to double their points. Edited February 14, 2022 by Yani P Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken Tram Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Based on season-to-date form of Reading and Derby, they're both currently heading for 36 points. If form picks up in the last ten games - if that's a thing - then it'll be higher. If we keep doing what we've been doing - which seems to be improving firm over time - then we should get more than 36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 This time last season we had 37 points. You would have thought we were safe then. That's why I wouldn't necessarily rule out another team joining the party down at the bottom. jimtastic56 and Ken Tram 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tinman Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 1 hour ago, jimtastic56 said: Blackburn went down under Mowbray with 51 points . The bottom teams always seem have their best run in the last 10 games when it gets really urgent. Not really true. The ppg doesn’t really change much between now and the end of the season. 2018/19 season is the closest to the average points from the last ten seasons. The ppg for 21st place in that season increased by 0.02 from game 30 to the end of the season. You’ll find it does increase between now and the end of the season, but it regresses back down Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo Ram Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 2 hours ago, thelovebelow said: Yes, but we were woeful those last 15 games. How many games did we win those games? Our form isn't bottom 3. Just the 1 I think ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo Ram Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 50 minutes ago, Yani P said: This time last season we had 37 points. You would have thought we were safe then. That's why I wouldn't necessarily rule out another team joining the party down at the bottom. Can’t see any other team being dragged down in to the trap door challenge ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AndyB Posted February 14, 2022 Share Posted February 14, 2022 Around 40 I expect, a bit lower than usual I think due to points deductions for 2 of the bottom 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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