Archied Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Felt a bit deflated when I read or heard the figure of 45 points for survival which even with our miracle stuff from Rooney and the boys seems a very tall order but thinking about it reading at fourth from bottom have a points deduction too and can’t see them reaching 45 points , don’t see Peterborough or Barnsley reaching that total so what number do we think realistically could keep us up and what’s the average points per game average we need and how close to that average are we now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Magicman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ram59 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 Statistically, reading are heading for 38 points ATM and we're on target for 39 points. kevinhectoring 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gee SCREAMER !! Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 42 Carl Sagan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LERam Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 I imagine around 40 but I prefer not to think about it Remember the season we finished 3rd a few years back, which would have seen us get top 2 in 19 out of the previous 20 seasons or something silly... I'm just looking at 4th from bottom, and counting the points down If we get within a win on the final day, we have a chance Rammy03, Kathcairns, Alph and 1 other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tinman Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 7 wins should do it. 8 home games left this season Andicis and Archied 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo Ram Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, tinman said: 7 wins should do it. 8 home games left this season We will need to pick up some points on the road too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCFC1388 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, tinman said: 7 wins should do it. 8 home games left this season I think 8 wins will see us safe so thats half our games, maybe even 7 wins & 3 or 4 draws Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken Tram Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 39! Based on season-to-date form of us and teams around us. See "survive if we convert" thread for a final league table with us surviving on 39 points. Happy days if it works out! Rammy03 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rammy03 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 35-40 I reckon. Barnsley and Peterborough are woeful and with two teams having had point deductions, it's bound to be a low tide at the bottom this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plymouthram Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 I think 7 wins will see us climb out the bottom 3. Possible winning home matches against Peterboro, Millwall, Barnsley, Coventry, Preston, Bristol and Cardiff. Could drop points against one of them 7 matches so Im looking at away games where we might sneak a win, Cardiff, Swansea, QPR or Blackpool. Then the draws could come from a number of games, like Middlesboro (a), Luton (a), Bournemouth (a) or Fulham at home. So 7 wins and 3 or 4 draws would give us 42 or 43 points which would be enough. We might need less if Peterboro and Reading keep up their current form until the end of the season. Injuries will also play their part, so lets hope we keep that down to a minimum and we get Kazim back. His experience will be required in some games. Also want to see our two Polish internationals playing together a few times before the season ends. Ken Tram and Rammy03 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gee SCREAMER !! Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 10 minutes ago, plymouthram said: I think 7 wins will see us climb out the bottom 3. Possible winning home matches against Peterboro, Millwall, Barnsley, Coventry, Preston, Bristol and Cardiff. Could drop points against one of them 7 matches so Im looking at away games where we might sneak a win, Cardiff, Swansea, QPR or Blackpool. Then the draws could come from a number of games, like Middlesboro (a), Luton (a), Bournemouth (a) or Fulham at home. So 7 wins and 3 or 4 draws would give us 42 or 43 points which would be enough. We might need less if Peterboro and Reading keep up their current form until the end of the season. Injuries will also play their part, so lets hope we keep that down to a minimum and we get Kazim back. His experience will be required in some games. Also want to see our two Polish internationals playing together a few times before the season ends. I assume if we get to the final couple of games and are a couple of points ahead or behind Reading the EFL will decide they were harshly treated having the 6 point deduction instead of the proposed 9 and will reduce it further to 3. Stake my ass on it. Ken Tram and LERam 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheresOnlyWanChope Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 51 minutes ago, Jimbo Ram said: We will need to pick up some points on the road too.... Definitely. Away record is poor. jimtastic56 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 (edited) 37-44 - 44 was enough last year and reading are already 7 points off that tracking. Edited February 9, 2022 by Yani P Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Day Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 Replied to a tweet earlier asking where the points will be picked from so I had a go at it. Couple of things first, this assumes we keep all key players fit and I should mention I have personally funded the Paddy Power Christmas party with my failed accas. Don't worry, this isn't one of those daft predict a win in every game. I believe it's fairly realistic. Will it be enough to stay up? No idea, that depends on the other teams around us. If they continue on the form they are, we should do it with ease, but you have to expect that at least one will go on a mini run at some point. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carl Sagan Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 The way the table looks right now it seems as though it's 3 from 4 to go down, with everyone above Reading pretty much safe. Is there any chance they might appeal their own points deduction? While we've been playing so well, I can't believe the other three teams will continue to perform this badly for much longer. And there'll be a new kind of pressure for us if we can get to the top of this mini league within a league. It's also got to be likely Paunovic will be sacked at Reading and they'll become much more competitive. Reckon at least 45 points. I also think we can do that if Davies, Bielik and Lawrence stay fit. Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Day Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 minutes ago, Carl Sagan said: Is there any chance they might appeal their own points deduction? Wouldn't have thought so. Reading Football Club can confirm that we have accepted a penalty of a six point deduction as a result of exceeding the EFL’s Profit and Sustainability limits. https://www.readingfc.co.uk/news/2021/november/17/club-statement---efl-confirm-points-deduction-penalty-/ Carl Sagan and Ken Tram 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gee SCREAMER !! Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 35 minutes ago, Carl Sagan said: The way the table looks right now it seems as though it's 3 from 4 to go down, with everyone above Reading pretty much safe. Is there any chance they might appeal their own points deduction? While we've been playing so well, I can't believe the other three teams will continue to perform this badly for much longer. And there'll be a new kind of pressure for us if we can get to the top of this mini league within a league. It's also got to be likely Paunovic will be sacked at Reading and they'll become much more competitive. Reckon at least 45 points. I also think we can do that if Davies, Bielik and Lawrence stay fit. I put this forward earlier mate that I can see this happening. As the EFL were so obliging giving them six instead of 9 and allowing them to bring in Carroll and Drinkwater 24 hours later, I can't see there being much problem obliging them with 3 more points to assist us further Carl Sagan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Carl Sagan said: The way the table looks right now it seems as though it's 3 from 4 to go down, with everyone above Reading pretty much safe. Is there any chance they might appeal their own points deduction? While we've been playing so well, I can't believe the other three teams will continue to perform this badly for much longer. And there'll be a new kind of pressure for us if we can get to the top of this mini league within a league. It's also got to be likely Paunovic will be sacked at Reading and they'll become much more competitive. Reckon at least 45 points. I also think we can do that if Davies, Bielik and Lawrence stay fit. Wonder if Reading can afford to sack him as they are under embargo? Ken Tram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparkle Posted February 10, 2022 Share Posted February 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Yani P said: Wonder if Reading can afford to sack him as they are under embargo? I am sure they can sack him but employing someone from outside the club might be a problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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