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Relegation rivals watch


Bris Vegas

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Just crunched some numbers.

Derby have 8 home games remaining. Other than Fulham, the next highest placed team is Coventry who are currently 12th. Average position of our 8 remaining home opponents is 15.5

No other team in the bottom 7 comes *close* to that- Cardiff and Reading have 4 home games against teams towards the bottom, Peterborough, Hull and Barnsley have 3, and Birmingham just 2.

Our away fixtures are a lot harder, though, with an average position of 9.3 from those last 8 away fixtures (although the trip to Cardiff could be huge) - the one positive is that none of the teams towards the bottom have a particularly easy set of away fixtures to come. 

The other big thing are the "six-pointers":

Cardiff City    Peterborough United
Peterborough United    Reading
Derby County    Peterborough United
Hull City    Barnsley
Reading    Birmingham City
Peterborough United    Hull City
Cardiff City    Derby County
Derby County    Barnsley
Birmingham City    Hull City
Barnsley    Reading
Reading    Cardiff City
Hull City    Cardiff City
Barnsley    Peterborough United
Hull City    Reading
Cardiff City    Birmingham City
Derby County    Cardiff City
 

A lot rests on the home form, then... but it's in our hands... 

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Bristol City vs Reading and Cardiff vs Peterborough are tonight's stand out matches.

I think Cardiff are all but safe now, our only real chance of survival is finishing above Reading.

So come on Bristol and Cardiff.

Oh yes, that nice bunch of Smoggies are away at QPR. Cheering on their opponents will be good practice for Saturday.

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