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Bris Vegas

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Run-ins - based on season-to-date form

Post Middlesbrough (After P'borough v Reading) (Played 31)

20: Hull City
   P:32 W:09 D:06 L:17 = 33 Pts
+ P:14 W:04 D:03 L:07 = 15
= P:46 W:13 D:09 L:24 = 48 Pts

21: Reading
   P:31 W:08 D:05 L:18 = 29-6 = 23 Pts
+ P:15 W:04 D:02 L:09 = 14
= P:46 W:12 D:07 L:27 = 43-6 = 37 Pts

22 (R): Derby County
   P:31 W:09 D:12 L:10 = 39-21 = 18 Pts
+ P:15 W:04 D:06 L:05 = 18
= P:46 W:13 D:18 L:15 = 57-21 = 36 Pts

23 (R): Peterborough
   P:30 W:05 D:06 L:19 = 21 Pts
+ P:16 W:03 D:03 L:10 = 12
= P:46 W:08 D:09 L:29 = 33 Pts

24 (R): Barnsley
   P:30 W:03 D:08 L:19 = 17 Pts
+ P:16 W:02 D:04 L:10 = 10
= P:46 W:05 D:12 L:29 = 27 Pts

Current Survival Target:
37 Pts
(1.27 Pts per remaining game)

Survival form is equivalent to:
39.4 Pts from 31 games
Equivalent to: Blackpool (15th)

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1 hour ago, Ken Tram said:

Run-ins - based on season-to-date form

Post Middlesbrough (After P'borough v Reading) (Played 31)

20: Hull City
   P:32 W:09 D:06 L:17 = 33 Pts
+ P:14 W:04 D:03 L:07 = 15
= P:46 W:13 D:09 L:24 = 48 Pts

21: Reading
   P:31 W:08 D:05 L:18 = 29-6 = 23 Pts
+ P:15 W:04 D:02 L:09 = 14
= P:46 W:12 D:07 L:27 = 43-6 = 37 Pts

22 (R): Derby County
   P:31 W:09 D:12 L:10 = 39-21 = 18 Pts
+ P:15 W:04 D:06 L:05 = 18
= P:46 W:13 D:18 L:15 = 57-21 = 36 Pts

23 (R): Peterborough
   P:30 W:05 D:06 L:19 = 21 Pts
+ P:16 W:03 D:03 L:10 = 12
= P:46 W:08 D:09 L:29 = 33 Pts

24 (R): Barnsley
   P:30 W:03 D:08 L:19 = 17 Pts
+ P:16 W:02 D:04 L:10 = 10
= P:46 W:05 D:12 L:29 = 27 Pts

Current Survival Target:
37 Pts
(1.27 Pts per remaining game)

Survival form is equivalent to:
39.4 Pts from 31 games
Equivalent to: Blackpool (15th)

We're not doing too bad as long as we can get some important wins over the line, starting Saturday.

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We got lucky today, and as for Lawrence...he's his own worst enemy.

14 games left, 5 points adrift of Reading, who now have an impressive looking strike force.

The essential arithmetic is this.

IF we take 2 points from each game on average, that's 28 points + the 21 we have = 49.

IF Reading take 1.5 points from each game on average, that's 21 points + the 26 they have = 47.

SO - even if things do pan out that way, it will still be squeaky bum time until the very last day.

All the more reason to continue the attack minded, 'death or glory' approach, because unless a few risks are taken we can't catch Reading unless we consistently rack up more points than they do.

I suspect that Reading are about to go on a bit of a run, so we need to do the same, not drop any further behind, hope they slip up a couple of times, and just keep on grinding out results.

These two seasons will be remembered for decades to come.

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Run-ins - based on season-to-date form

Post Peterborough (Played 32)

20: Hull City
   P:33 W:09 D:07 L:17 = 34 Pts
+ P:13 W:04 D:03 L:06 = 15
= P:46 W:13 D:10 L:23 = 49 Pts

21: Reading
   P:32 W:09 D:05 L:18 = 32-6 = 26 Pts
+ P:14 W:04 D:02 L:08 = 14
= P:46 W:13 D:07 L:26 = 46-6 = 40 Pts

22 (R): Derby County
   P:32 W:10 D:12 L:10 = 42-21 = 21 Pts
+ P:14 W:04 D:05 L:05 = 17
= P:46 W:14 D:17 L:15 = 59-21 = 38 Pts

23 (R): Peterborough
   P:31 W:05 D:06 L:20 = 21 Pts
+ P:15 W:02 D:03 L:10 = 09
= P:46 W:07 D:09 L:30 = 30 Pts

24 (R): Barnsley
   P:31 W:03 D:08 L:20 = 17 Pts
+ P:15 W:01 D:04 L:10 = 07
= P:46 W:04 D:12 L:30 = 24 Pts

Current Survival Target:
40 Pts
(1.36 Pts per remaining game)

Survival form is equivalent to:
43.5 Pts from 32 games
Equivalent to: Stoke (13th)

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