EtoileSportiveDeDerby Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 On 25/03/2024 at 13:46, simmoram1995 said: I’ve been thinking about this, this is how I’d imagine the table ( top 6) will look like. I’ve predicted ( very conservative and negative mind you) that we will gain 11 from 18 , Bolton 12 from 21 , Portsmouth 17 from 21 , Peterborough 15 from 24 and Barnsley 17 from 24. Plus I think Lincoln will get 6th with 12 from 21 Portsmouth 100 points Derby 89 points Barnsley 88 points Peterborough 86 points Bolton 86 points Lincoln 73 points what’s everyone else’s opinion? Happy with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SSD Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I'm looking at the points target for 2nd being 90. Derby need 3 wins from 5. Bolton need 5 wins from 6. Peterborough and Barnsley need 6 wins from 7. Bolton playing Peterborough on the final day. Peterborough have got 8 matches due to their cup final. Barnsley have also got Portsmouth on their run in. I can't see how Derby can throw this one away. We'd have to go on a real stinker of a run. With the defensive resilience in the team, I think we'll fight over the line, 1-0 all the way 😎 YouRams 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tamworthram Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, EtoileSportiveDeDerby said: Happy with that Only make it by 1 point? A bit too squeaky bum for me. I assume @simmoram1995’s predictor has us beating Carlisle on the last day. It may pan out that way and we ought to beat them (but so should Posh have yesterday). It would make for exciting end to the season for the neutrals but going into the last game with it being so close is a scary thought. I know it’s a fools game predicting results just to make it look good (in fact, yesterday’s results proves predicting any kind of results is of little real value) but my fairly conservative predictor (I’ve explained my flawed rationale previously) now has us finishing 4 points ahead of Barnsley and comfortably short of Pompey but not by 11 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mucker1884 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 8 minutes ago, SSD said: I can't see how Derby can throw this one away. AutoWindscreens, StockholmRam, MaltRam and 2 others 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simmoram1995 Posted March 30 Author Share Posted March 30 15 minutes ago, Tamworthram said: Only make it by 1 point? A bit too squeaky bum for me. I assume @simmoram1995’s predictor has us beating Carlisle on the last day. It may pan out that way and we ought to beat them (but so should Posh have yesterday). It would make for exciting end to the season for the neutrals but going into the last game with it being so close is a scary thought. I know it’s a fools game predicting results just to make it look good (in fact, yesterday’s results proves predicting any kind of results is of little real value) but my fairly conservative predictor (I’ve explained my flawed rationale previously) now has us finishing 4 points ahead of Barnsley and comfortably short of Pompey but not by 11 points. Yeah I had the following: Blackpool W Portsmouth D Wycombe L Orient W Cambridge D Carlisle W But that’s being negative personally I think Blackpool W Portsmouth D Wycombe D Orient W Cambridge W Carlisle W Tamworthram and DCFC1388 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TomTom92 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 27 minutes ago, SSD said: I'm looking at the points target for 2nd being 90. Derby need 3 wins from 5. Bolton need 5 wins from 6. Peterborough and Barnsley need 6 wins from 7. Bolton playing Peterborough on the final day. Peterborough have got 8 matches due to their cup final. Barnsley have also got Portsmouth on their run in. I can't see how Derby can throw this one away. We'd have to go on a real stinker of a run. With the defensive resilience in the team, I think we'll fight over the line, 1-0 all the way 😎 I think the only pessimistic view you can take on Bolton’s run in is that Bristol look on the beach. Pompey could be all but up by the time they play them and posh might have nothing to play for. 90 points will be enough with a hard earned draw on Tuesday being a real bonus. CapeTownRams 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YouRams Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 (edited) 3 wins 2 losses scrape our way up. Just hope it's done before the last game so we can enjoy that one. Edited March 30 by YouRams Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rich3478 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 40 minutes ago, SSD said: I'm looking at the points target for 2nd being 90. Derby need 3 wins from 5. Bolton need 5 wins from 6. Peterborough and Barnsley need 6 wins from 7. Bolton playing Peterborough on the final day. Peterborough have got 8 matches due to their cup final. Barnsley have also got Portsmouth on their run in. I can't see how Derby can throw this one away. We'd have to go on a real stinker of a run. With the defensive resilience in the team, I think we'll fight over the line, 1-0 all the way 😎 After Tuesday our fixtures look pretty kind as well! I’m pretty confident now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rich3478 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Also even if we need to win on the last day, we’re at home to bottom of the league and posh and Bolton play each other! You’d take that all day long! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ram59 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 We are claiming that our goal difference is worth an extra point, but it's a lot closer than people think. For teams to catch us up on points, they'll have to win games and improve their goal difference whilst we lost or draw games. Assuming only 1 goal wins or defeats, then the difference to Bolton will be a maximum of 4 and Peterborough will be 5. However, you would expect at least one of those games to be by 2 or 3 goals, thus bringing the difference in goal differences to almost zero. Montezuma and Bessie1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewton Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Ideally, we need at least a point against Pompey to keep them 'honest' for the rest of their games. After that, it's possible that all of our remaining opponents could be "on the beach" by the time we play them, which MAY mean that they're less motivated (although that isn't a given). TomTom92 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCFC1388 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 In the last 5 games - Portsmouth - 13 points (2.6 ppg) Derby - 12 points (2.4 ppg) Bolton - 6 points (1.2 ppg) PBoro - 9 points (1.8 ppg) Barnsley - 5 points (1 ppg) It would take a huge swing in form for us to throw this away now. Us & Bolton would have to pretty much swap form. Rammy03 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EtoileSportiveDeDerby Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 hours ago, Tamworthram said: Only make it by 1 point? A bit too squeaky bum for me. I assume @simmoram1995’s predictor has us beating Carlisle on the last day. It may pan out that way and we ought to beat them (but so should Posh have yesterday). It would make for exciting end to the season for the neutrals but going into the last game with it being so close is a scary thought. I know it’s a fools game predicting results just to make it look good (in fact, yesterday’s results proves predicting any kind of results is of little real value) but my fairly conservative predictor (I’ve explained my flawed rationale previously) now has us finishing 4 points ahead of Barnsley and comfortably short of Pompey but not by 11 points. I'd be happy to make it by 1 goal on goal difference. When we sing how we get there I don't care, I really don't, as long as we get there Rammy03 and Caerphilly Ram 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapeTownRams Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 7 hours ago, Crewton said: Ideally, we need at least a point against Pompey to keep them 'honest' for the rest of their games. After that, it's possible that all of our remaining opponents could be "on the beach" by the time we play them, which MAY mean that they're less motivated (although that isn't a given). There’s also the argument that teams play better when not under any sort of pressure… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 8 hours ago, ram59 said: We are claiming that our goal difference is worth an extra point, but it's a lot closer than people think. For teams to catch us up on points, they'll have to win games and improve their goal difference whilst we lost or draw games. Assuming only 1 goal wins or defeats, then the difference to Bolton will be a maximum of 4 and Peterborough will be 5. However, you would expect at least one of those games to be by 2 or 3 goals, thus bringing the difference in goal differences to almost zero. MackworthRamIsGod, Reggie Greenwood and Carnero 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tamworthram Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 1 hour ago, EtoileSportiveDeDerby said: I'd be happy to make it by 1 goal on goal difference. When we sing how we get there I don't care, I really don't, as long as we get there Me too after the event but going into the last game with it being that close would be rather uncomfortable. EtoileSportiveDeDerby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorsforthRam Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 Get anything at Portsmouth and I’m confident of autos. Otherwise, we could be level with Bolton going into the Wycombe game. Really hoping the Northampton defeat doesn’t come back to bite us Jimbo Ram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewton Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 4 minutes ago, HorsforthRam said: Get anything at Portsmouth and I’m confident of autos. Otherwise, we could be level with Bolton going into the Wycombe game. Really hoping the Northampton defeat doesn’t come back to bite us I'm more concerned that the defeat at Bolton could still come back to haunt us, because it was mostly due to the officials incompetence. A draw there would have meant we'd now be nine points clear of them. HorsforthRam 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HorsforthRam Posted March 30 Share Posted March 30 I guess it’s the uneasy feeling that we never make it easy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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