TigerTedd Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Carnero said: 2 stretches of W5 D3 L3 and we get to 46 points. Thing is about this, even if all went to plan, losses are inevitable and an expected part of a plan like this. But will we all jumó off a cliff at the first sign of a loss, or are we all sensible enough to remind ourselves that we’re still on target, and there’s no need to panic. i really want to watch the Reading game on Monday, but my concern is that we can’t possibly win every game, so our run will come to an end eventually, but I really don’t want it to come to an end against Reading. we’ve done so well getting points from the top teams like Bournemouth, Fulham and WBA, but they we always seem to inevitably rooster it up by loosing to the likes of Peterborough, Barnsley and Bristol. we need to winning those 6 pointers. Or do we, statistically does it matter who we get the points against, as long as we get them? Is the idea of a 6 pointer a bit of a myth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyMac5 Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Hull losing keeps them close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chellaston Ram Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 5 teams now within our reach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Durden Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Isn't the issue not the points deficit between us and 4th from bottom but the number of teams we have to span to get there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dean (hick) Saunders Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 If it wasn’t for Mel admining us we would be out of the bottom 3 already. TigerTedd and jimtastic56 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Durden Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 If 47 points is enough for safety then we need 37 points from 22 games which is roughly 1.7 points per game or a win and two draws every 3 games. Very tough ask. jimtastic56 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 6 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said: If 47 points is enough for safety then we need 37 points from 22 games which is roughly 1.7 points per game or a win and two draws every 3 games. Very tough ask. Or if 36 points are enough we need 12 wins and can afford 10 losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Durden Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, The Scarlet Pimpernel said: Or if 36 points are enough we need 12 wins and can afford 10 losses. Yes there's various permutations, 12 wins out of 22 games which is a 55% win ratio, not sure what we are averaging at the moment I have to profess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said: Yes there's various permutations, 12 wins out of 22 games which is a 55% win ratio, not sure what we are averaging at the moment I have to profess. I guess around 30% on the season so far but 100% over the last three games. Too many variables in football to predict imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eatonram Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Think Reading will pull away. Hull and/or Cardiff the teams to catch IMO. TigerTedd, DesertRam and RoyMac5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Durden Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 minutes ago, The Scarlet Pimpernel said: I guess around 30% on the season so far but 100% over the last three games. Too many variables in football to predict imo. Just had a look 7 wins out of 24 yes 29% so Rooney will have to effectively double his current win rate over the next half of the season for us to survive which will be a Herculean task for anyone but not impossible. If Rooney does manage to overcome this then he deserves manager of the decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foreveram Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 5 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said: Just had a look 7 wins out of 24 yes 29% so Rooney will have to effectively double his current win rate over the next half of the season for us to survive which will be a Herculean task for anyone but not impossible. If Rooney does manage to overcome this then he deserves manager of the decade. If we carry on our form over the last three games we’ll finish on 76 points, that should do? Tyler Durden and admira 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerTedd Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Eatonram said: Think Reading will pull away. Hull and/or Cardiff the teams to catch IMO. Yep, reading are in a bit of a false position, so I’d expect them to pull away unless they get properly demoralised by their position. it’s a real shame we couldn’t have beaten Bristol, as that would’ve put them right in the bottom group, with us 5 pts closer (this is why I mean I’d almost rather have lost to Stoke at the weekend, if we could have had the 3 points against Bristol instead, or lost to Bournemouth, but had 3 pts against Barnsley instead), but now it’s looking like a clear gap between the bottom 6 and the rest. So Hull or Cardiff it is then. Id hate to be either of them right now. They’ll be looking over their shoulders at us. Edited January 1, 2022 by TigerTedd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerTedd Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 1 minute ago, Foreveram said: If we carry on our form over the last three games we’ll finish on 76 points, that should do? So you’re saying play offs is still on. I’ll get my hotel booked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foreveram Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 16 minutes ago, TigerTedd said: So you’re saying play offs is still on. I’ll get my hotel booked. To be fair I’ll settle for top half ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sean Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 Peterborough's game at Bournemouth is now postponed. Hope we can avoid postponements as it could end up getting difficult for some of these teams a la Rotherham last season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dean (hick) Saunders Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 (edited) I am more in the take each game as it comes camp, don’t really follow the history and forward projection. My thinking. 1) Beat Reading (as its next) 2) Beat Forest and Middlesbrough twits. 3) Pass Barnsley. 4) Get within 6 points of 4th bottom. At which point how many games left? 5) Get within 3 points. (If we manage this, for once we will not need to worry about goal difference, just points match). 6) Harum Scareum last couple of games. 7) Either incredible success or fall short. Hopefully we will all be proud of the lads either way.. Edited January 1, 2022 by Dean (hick) Saunders RoyMac5 and TigerTedd 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
G STAR RAM Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 2 hours ago, Dean (hick) Saunders said: If it wasn’t for Mel admining us we would be out of the bottom 3 already. I think its a bit simplistic to assume this. The situation we find ourselves in has definitely contributed to the way we are approaching games. May Contain Nuts 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted January 1, 2022 Author Share Posted January 1, 2022 3 hours ago, TigerTedd said: we need to winning those 6 pointers. Or do we, statistically does it matter who we get the points against, as long as we get them? Is the idea of a 6 pointer a bit of a myth? In the end it doesn't matter..if we get to around 46 we should be safe, the 6 pointers help psychogically though in the short term..and we need as many wins as we can get.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dean (hick) Saunders Posted January 1, 2022 Share Posted January 1, 2022 24 minutes ago, G STAR RAM said: I think its a bit simplistic to assume this. The situation we find ourselves in has definitely contributed to the way we are approaching games. I know what you are saying, but the situation that led to the approach is the same for -9 or -21 points arguably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account.
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now