Jump to content

Will Clowes patience soon run out?


old tray boy

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, The Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Restricted by finance to sack or courage to act or he thinks we are doing OK. All three are worrying. 

Yes so basically from top to bottom :-

Clowes has made a poor decision in hiring Warne and crystallised that by giving him a 4 year contract 

He is afraid of making a tough decision

He actually thinks that we are doing ok contrary to popular opinion

All three are not related to PW but criticisms of DC which seems to be the elephant in the room as I've said previously.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said:

Yes so basically from top to bottom :-

Clowes has made a poor decision in hiring Warne and crystallised that by giving him a 4 year contract 

He is afraid of making a tough decision

He actually thinks that we are doing ok contrary to popular opinion

All three are not related to PW but criticisms of DC which seems to be the elephant in the room as I've said previously.

 

A chairman should always, always have more patience than the fans. I've no problems with DC not pulling the trigger just because we're unhappy on a forum/the terraces.

You'd also expect him to have someone lined up, were he to sack Warne. Perhaps that work is ongoing behind the scenes, maybe DC has a target he has to wait for, so it makes sense to keep Warne until then. Only Clowes will know.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said:

Fair comment but then that brings me back to my other point which is if that's the case then what does DC see that the malcontents on this forum don't?

Probably because a) there is a tendency to overreact on forums like this especially after a defeat and b) DC speaks directly to PW on a regular basis I would imagine. Their conversation will no doubt include things PW doesn't want to or can't share with the media and therefore we're not aware of. We can only speculate as to what they discuss, how they feel about the current position and how/when we're likely to get out of it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Tamworthram said:

Probably because a) there is a tendency to overreact on forums like this especially after a defeat and b) DC speaks directly to PW on a regular basis I would imagine. Their conversation will no doubt include things PW doesn't want to or can't share with the media and therefore we're not aware of. We can only speculate as to what they discuss, how they feel about the current position and how/when we're likely to get out of it.

 

liar-liar-comedy.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Kathcairns said:

Agree, but obviously not the opinion of some fans.

Am sorry comment wasn't aimed at you.

I've just read comments saying that we should demonstrate at the ground to get rid of Warne then the comments about Warne and the players being abused. 

We're trying to attract staff to the club not drive them away can't think of many managers whom would welcome joining a club where our so called supporters could behave like that to them.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said:

Yes so basically from top to bottom :-

Clowes has made a poor decision in hiring Warne and crystallised that by giving him a 4 year contract 

He is afraid of making a tough decision

He actually thinks that we are doing ok contrary to popular opinion

All three are not related to PW but criticisms of DC which seems to be the elephant in the room as I've said previously.

 

Yes, David Clowes looks to be culpable but it's Warnes job to prove Clowes right. Critism of Clowes only follows after a poor performance from Warne. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, The Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Yes, David Clowes looks to be culpable but it's Warnes job to prove Clowes right. Critism of Clowes only follows after a poor performance from Warne. 

It's the RACI model 

PW is responsible for the performances of the team

DC is accountable for PW doing a decent job 

The fans should be consulted and also informed as to what the business plan for the club is, whether we're on track etc

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Tyler Durden said:

It's the RACI model 

PW is responsible for the performances of the team

DC is accountable for PW doing a decent job 

The fans should be consulted and also informed as to what the business plan for the club is, whether we're on track etc

Don't agree with the third point. Fans shouldn't be consulted but the owner has to be aware of his customers view or he's in danger of losing them. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, The Scarlet Pimpernel said:

Don't agree with the third point. Fans shouldn't be consulted but the owner has to be aware of his customers view or he's in danger of losing them. 

Maybe a step too far then 

You do agree with the first two though  - DC is accountable if PW is doing a poor job 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Bald Eagle's Barmy Army said:

I want him gone before Tuesday so we can try and get 3 points. A crucial 3 points. 

We both know that's not going to happen, If things don't improve come the next International break then DC has his plate full, I'd wager DC is in a more concerned state of mind than PW is, He's spunked a fortune on buying DCFC and with the conflict after the game with players and fans he'll be hoping for a more supportive game Tuesday...over to you PW and the players.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Tyler Durden said:

It's the RACI model 

PW is responsible for the performances of the team

DC is accountable for PW doing a decent job 

The fans should be consulted and also informed as to what the business plan for the club is, whether we're on track etc

I really don’t think we should expect the fans to be consulted regarding the business plan for the club. If you did, good luck with deciding which fans to consult that would have a sensible understanding of how football finance really works especially when it’s not their money that’s being spent other than what we spend on match/season tickets of course but that, individually, wouldn’t even register as a drop in the ocean compared to the overall budget. Regarding progress, we’ve been told that the plan is to become an established Championship club within 5 years (or something like that). Maybe DC and PW have a more detailed plan (for example, promotion within 2 years) but if you share that much detail with fans, some would be outraged if realistically the club were targeting promotion after a longer period than any of us want and some would immediately demand the managers head if we found ourselves off track. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Rationally thinking, Clowes will onoy make that final decision once he is absolutely certain there is no chance of promotion under Warne. After all, it is his money on the line, so he won't want to potentislly throw millions away unless necessary.

I would also find it hard to believe that Clowes would be happy with us sitting midtable all season, then only make a change in the summer. There has to be a tipping point. 

Taking the emotion out of the decision, I would suggest that tipping point would be needing to average 2 points per game just to squeeze back into the top 6 on the final day. It would take a prolonged period of relegation form to reach the crisis point (such as 12 points from our next 12 games).

Realistically, watching us perform as bad as that for such a long time is unlikely without fan discontent growing to unknown levels. The managerial position should be reviewed periodically at set points. For example, we have 4 games until the next international break, and we need to be closer to the top 6 than we currently are. Then there's the half way point at New Year, the next international window (March), leading up to our final 8 or so game run in, with another review after the season has ended. Each time we either need to be in the top 6, or closer to them than at the previous checkpoint.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I showed some graphs a while back relating to Warne's point per game record compared with other mangers (can't remember which thread it was in). This was around 15 games ago and roughly Warne's 45th in charge. If I recall correctly, I suggested something along the lines of "it'll be important to see if we trend from this point on." At that point, Warne's overall record as very similar to Cocu's after the same number of games, and I argued if we followed a similar trend, Warne will be gone.

However, as the graph below shows, our ppg record has ever so slightly increased and is now back to where we were at the end of last season. Under Warne, we're basically a side which confirms a top 6 spot on the final day, like with Rowett and Lampard. As an owner who has set the target of promotion, Clowes will accept this and make the decision at the end of the season depending on how we do in the Playoffs (if we finish there). A drop off in results would be cause for review at this point in the season, and I refer to my post on Sunday for the suitable review periods - the next being after this batch of 6 games (4 in the league, 2 in the cup).

To avoid the playoff lottery, we will need to finish in the top 2, with 100 points being the aim at this point. At 2.5 ppg for the rest of the season, that would require Warne's overall ppg record to surpass Mac1's by the end point of my graph, improving on his current 1.60 to 1.92

image.thumb.png.39fc4728d98432bc741d87d1f2bd63aa.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

59 minutes ago, Ghost of Clough said:

...To avoid the playoff lottery, we will need to finish in the top 2, with 100 points being the aim at this point. At 2.5 ppg for the rest of the season, that would require Warne's overall ppg record to surpass Mac1's by the end point of my graph, improving on his current 1.60 to 1.92

image.thumb.png.39fc4728d98432bc741d87d1f2bd63aa.png

We're currently (12 games) 10 points off Oxford in second (12 games) and 13 points off Pompey (13 games) top.

It's easily possible to catch one of them - either or both must be due a bad patch, plus play us again too. But it isn't going to happen with Warne in charge of this squad.

Clowes has to gamble that Warne won't revert to his Derby type like last season and dip out of the top6 at the end. Or he could admit Warne is a gamble that didn't pay off and cash out and go again!

Edited by RoyMac5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Forever grateful for Mr Clowes saving the club, However he has no idea how to run a football club... like all of us, this is why the leech Pearce is still involved - he made the his biggest decision, after taking over, bringing in Warne - no way he will want to admit his 1st major decision was the wrong one. we will have to suffer this dross for a while yet 😭

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account.

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...