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AndyinLiverpool

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Posts posted by AndyinLiverpool

  1. 5 minutes ago, Henrycav81 said:

    Gabbiadinis second touch was usually a tackle, that’s why he looked like he worked hard.

    Kitson was a technically a better player but always came across as a miserable sod

    He was a miserable sod

  2. 10 hours ago, therealhantsram said:

    This one has really hit me hard. Celebrity deaths don't do that normally.

    I've been trying to figure out why.

    I think it's because he has just been a constant presence all my life , chatting away in the background in the kitchen. I was just listening to his show Sunday morning. Who knew he was almost 70? He still sounded like he was 30.

    Whatever misery was going on in the world his shows always brought a smile. I remember hanging out with my mates on the school playing field, all of us trying to copy his Mr Angry character back in the 80s.

    I guess his voice takes me back to those childhood times of footy in the park and back home for tea at 5pm on the dot or there would be hell to pay.

    His death reminds me of the parents I have lost and those incredible childhood friendships  I'll never have again.

    Rest well Steve.

    Hence the song 'Panic' by the Smiths - Wright played some syrupy Wham song right after a news flash about Chernobyl.

  3. 1 hour ago, ap04 said:

    Of how many goals you deserve with the same quality, or how many you should score after 1000 games.

    Same as if you roll a dice, the actual outcome will be anything, the expected value (3.5) is what you deserve to get.

    To what end?

  4. 16 minutes ago, ap04 said:

    Far more representative than goals/points, which are just cr*p for reasons that should be obvious to everyone.

    For individual games it can give the wrong picture as it has several flaws eg.

    Ignores shot/goalkeeping quality - how wide the shot or how comfortable the save
    Goals should always count as "1" (perfect attacking/worst defending)
    Ignores disallowed goals and close offsides/no-penalties
    Ignores key blocked crosses/passes
    Counts several shots in same sequence more than once

    But combined with shots (with which there is usually good correlation) it's the safest bet if one hasn't watched a match.

    After a few games and over a season the above tend to even out and the table becomes quite reliable.

    The perfect metric is post-shot chances everything included (how close to a goal every phase was), this works well for a single team but for an entire league one needs to watch all games/highlights which is impractical. This is where xG tables become useful, basically other than following every team there is nothing better in the public domain.

    I don't understand this. Expected goals is more representative than actual goals? What are they more represetative of?

  5. 28 minutes ago, Jubbs said:

    I could speak for ages on this and the importance of looking at underlying stats etc.

    But as a basic view, xG in terms of individual games is good surface level but over the course of a season, gives a much better picture.

    A much better picture of what? Whether I'm likely to enjoy a game? It seems to me it's only useful for coaching and betting. If you do neither, it gives a picture of nothing.

    Yet Live broadcasters yum this stuff up, despite the fact that anyone who wants this info can go to their bookie's website.

  6. 1 hour ago, Grumpy Git said:

    Still can't forgive Southgate for bottling the Euro final when winning and not giving Italy a sniff up to that point.

    He's just a Poundland Warne.

    Give forgiveness a go. It's worth it.

  7. 14 minutes ago, Steve How Hard? said:

    The substitution did ultimately cost us getting all 3pts. Without apportioning any blame in any direction, if in an ideal world Nyambe was able to finish the game, in my opinion he would have stopped their winger crossing it by smashing him over the North Stand. *Cue Kenneth Williams gif

    Not scoring more goals in the preceding 86 minutes cost us getting all 3 points

  8. 3 minutes ago, Stive Pesley said:

    We're enjoying S5 of Fargo anyway, particularly the way that they have upped the ante and include multiple "baddies" (the sheriff, the hitman and the mother-in-law). Gives the story a wider dimension for sure

    I did read a review that said it had gone down badly with the anti-woke brigade in the US because it had a strong female lead and made the men all look like morons. For me that's one of the things I like about it! That's life lads 😂

    If it triggers the sort of men who beat women, all the better.

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