erathirea
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Posts posted by erathirea
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Preferred bidder named today, so I reckon the starting line up (after a few calls from Wayne) will be:
Allsop
Elmohamady Koscielny Davies Buchanan
Bielik Ramires
Snodgrass Festy
Tevez Costa
(Didn't want to be too unrealistic so kept 5 starters....)
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I'd be so happy if we could catch up 2 points by Sunday...
Go into the game v Cardiff with a chance of going 21st? Yes please.
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4-0 Sibley
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1 hour ago, samtheram83 said:
Me every time I decide to just read the last page on this thread.
I don't react to many posts on this forum, but that was a doozy.
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Crikey- just had another look at the order of fixtures. Next 16 days are *huge*.
We actually have 5 games in that time, as opposed to the others who all have 4.
In those 5 games, we've got to play Peterborough - H (22nd), Millwall - H (14th), Luton - A (10th), Cardiff - A (19th) and Barnsley - H (24th).
For comparison, Reading have Preston (A), Brum (H), Blackpool (A), Millwall (H) in that time.
Peterborough have us, then Fulham (A), Hull (H), Huddersfield (A).
Barnsley have Coventry (A), Hull (A), Middlesbrough (H) and then us.
Reading definitely have the nicest set of games there, but are they coming at the wrong time when low on confidence, we can only hope so!
Given that we also have a run where we have to play Bournemouth, Blackburn and QPR away and Fulham at Home in the space of 7 fixtures, we need to be 21st by 6th March, I reckon. (Although, interestingly, our fixture toughness does somewhat mirror Reading and Peterborough - when we have Fulham, they've got Blackburn and Sheff Utd, when we've got Blackburn, Reading have Bournemouth, when we've got Bournemouth, Reading have Forest etc. - only exception is when we go to QPR)
What do we need from the next 5 games to be there?
I'd be delighted with 3 home wins. Then the 2 away games become (almost, in this context) free hits. That *should* leave Peterborough and Barnsley out of it, and then it'll depend on how Reading do over the next 2 weeks.
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Interesting fact- according to the bookies, after tonight's result, Derby, Reading AND Peterborough all have the same odds for relegation! First time that's happened this season.
Odds on 538.COM (analytical site, for those that aren't aware) has Peterborough favourites to go down now after tonight (85%) followed by Barnsley (82%), us (72%) and Reading (62%)
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Might take my son (5) to his first game. It's 2 and a half years since I took my daughter to her first (and so far, only) game at the same age. For what it's worth, that was the 2-0 win over Luton so if I do, look out for errant crosses and spectacular backpasses...
- Will Hughes Hair and Kinder
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If someone offered me those results (including ours) before kickoff today I'd have taken it. That's the reality.
The big questions is what do we want in mid-week? My view? Anything but a Reading win. Their confidence is low, the longer that goes on, the better.
Also, *if* we can win next weekend, then if Pbo win in mid week we maintain the 2 point gap to them and a max of 4 points behind Reading (rather than potentially being 7 points behind Reading at this point next week!).
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Just crunched some numbers.
Derby have 8 home games remaining. Other than Fulham, the next highest placed team is Coventry who are currently 12th. Average position of our 8 remaining home opponents is 15.5
No other team in the bottom 7 comes *close* to that- Cardiff and Reading have 4 home games against teams towards the bottom, Peterborough, Hull and Barnsley have 3, and Birmingham just 2.
Our away fixtures are a lot harder, though, with an average position of 9.3 from those last 8 away fixtures (although the trip to Cardiff could be huge) - the one positive is that none of the teams towards the bottom have a particularly easy set of away fixtures to come.
The other big thing are the "six-pointers":
Cardiff City Peterborough United
Peterborough United Reading
Derby County Peterborough United
Hull City Barnsley
Reading Birmingham City
Peterborough United Hull City
Cardiff City Derby County
Derby County Barnsley
Birmingham City Hull City
Barnsley Reading
Reading Cardiff City
Hull City Cardiff City
Barnsley Peterborough United
Hull City Reading
Cardiff City Birmingham City
Derby County Cardiff City
A lot rests on the home form, then... but it's in our hands...
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Derby 4 - 1 Hull
Festy
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Roundup of Deadline day transfers for the other "teams at the bottom"-
Barnsley - signed a 24 year old Moroccan midfielder (Amine Bassi) on loan to the end of the season- made 6 appearances for Metz so far this season, and represented Morocco at U20 level. Seems a half decent player in the French league.
Peterborough - signed Hayden Coulson (LB) on loan from Middlesbrough - had 6 league appearances for Ipswich on loan earlier this season before being recalled- total of 46 games at Championship level to date
- signed Reece Brown (CM) on loan from Huddersfield - was on loan at Peterborough last season (making 38 appearances), but only had 16 games at Championship level at the age of 25.
- sold Siriki Dembele (joint top scorer this season, with 5) to Bournemouth
Reading
- signed Tom Ince on loan from Stoke
- lost Liam Moore (former club captain but fell out and wanted to leave) on loan to Stoke
- lost George Puscas (27 appearances, 2 goals) on loan to Pisa
Cardiff
- lost top scorer Kieffer Moore to Bournemouth
- brought in Uche Ikpeazu from Middlesbrough (scored twice this season before Chris Wilder came in and decided he didn't want him)
Gotta say, overall, I reckon Barnsley are the only team with a net positive on deadline day.
Also, Bournemouth are doing us as many favours as Middlesbrough *aren't*.
- Wolfie, Crewton, Comrade 86 and 1 other
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5 hours ago, Crewton said:
Can someone in Oakwood or Chad pop down to the Training Ground and whack the first person you find hiding in the bushes?
You want me to do what to the.... oh, whack.
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I used to go to school with a Dave Endsor - looks about the right age. Weird.
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Can we have one that says We Hate ELF? Can't stand Will Ferrell
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Sell Knight to Man Utd for £6m, with an agreement to loan him back until June 2023, and with a buyback clause of £12m. Win all round, right? ?
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There's a perverse part of me that says "fine. Liquidate us." They'll make... what... a few million? Maximum? Maybe? No ground to sell, players contracts would be cancelled so there's no players to sell.... I imagine you might be able to sell the team bus? You'd make an absolute pittance.
So the only plausible thing is that they are desperate for us to sell our most saleable assets and do a Bolton.
Which is obviously vindictive.... but I don't think that's going to solve anything.
We've got about 6 or 7 players contracted past the summer. At least 2 of them, we haven't finished paying for (so it's not like anyone's going to be offering us more than the outstanding payments), and with the mess we're in, I'd be stunned if we sold our entire first team squad for more than £12m?
What's that going to do? Because I'll tell you what, it's not going to result in £50m being bidded. At *that* point, we would only have liquidation as an option,. So if we're going to be liquidated anyway, do it sooner.
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2-0 Jozwiak
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...3 out of 10....
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On 26/12/2021 at 20:11, Dean (hick) Saunders said:
Priority #1 footballing wise for me is that we beat Forest and Middlesbrough in second half of the season.
A decent cup run with some luck in the draws would be good too.
If we win the next 10 matches then at that point I might start believing (a little) of avoiding relegation
Oh come on...
If we win 10 in a row then we'll already be out of the relegation zone so if you *then* don't believe we can stay up then that's a step beyond pessimism...
Anyway.
1 down...
v Luton match day thread.
in Derby County Forum
Posted
Mathematically, yes.
But it would take some very contrived results.
I mean, mathematically we could still get 2nd. (Yes, I checked, it's possible)