Crewton Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 5 hours ago, Carl Sagan said: I'll be surprised if it's that low - I think 2nd will need at least 2 points a game, probably 93 points which would mean 8 more wins rather than the 7 for 90. It will be a big ask. Or 7 wins (including Bolton), 2 draws and a defeat at Portsmouth, which doesn't seem impossible? Carl Sagan and Tamworthram 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo Ram Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 10 hours ago, Crewton said: Or 7 wins (including Bolton), 2 draws and a defeat at Portsmouth, which doesn't seem impossible? Really? Do you honestly think we are playing well enough to lose only 1 of our last 10 games? I would think 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats is much more likely… jimtastic56, gfs1ram and r_wilcockson 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve How Hard? Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 On 03/03/2024 at 09:38, 8Leeds said: Barnsley make my bum twitch. They’re not hammering teams but they’re consistently finding a way to win. Got this horrible feeling they’ll pip us to second place and we’ll end up in the play off lottery. Tyke some this to the bathroom with you. * Just realised you said twitch and not itch. As you were. 😳 SKRam, 8Leeds and oodledoodle 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 2 hours ago, Jimbo Ram said: Really? Do you honestly think we are playing well enough to lose only 1 of our last 10 games? I would think 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats is much more likely… We've only lost 4 of our last 22 in the league, so I'm not sure why we should expect to lose 3 of our next 10. Steve How Hard?, SSD, Crewton and 3 others 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tamworthram Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 8 minutes ago, Comrade 86 said: We've only lost 4 of our last 22 in the league, so I'm not sure why we should expect to lose 3 of our next 10. Maybe because we’ve managed to lose 3 from our last 10 games 🤷🏻 But I’m only expecting a couple of defeats. Jimbo Ram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo Ram Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 22 minutes ago, Comrade 86 said: We've only lost 4 of our last 22 in the league, so I'm not sure why we should expect to lose 3 of our next 10. Time will tell 😊 I hope you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turk Thrust Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 29 minutes ago, Comrade 86 said: We've only lost 4 of our last 22 in the league, so I'm not sure why we should expect to lose 3 of our next 10. Perhaps because we’ve lost 2 out of that 4 in the last 3 games? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewton Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 3 hours ago, Jimbo Ram said: Really? Do you honestly think we are playing well enough to lose only 1 of our last 10 games? I would think 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats is much more likely… I agree there are games other than Portsmouth that we could lose, but there aren't any other games where we would start as anything other than favourites (even Bolton) so one defeat only isn't really going out on a limb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 12 minutes ago, Turk Thrust said: Perhaps because we’ve lost 2 out of that 4 in the last 3 games? So you'd prefer to assess our chances on a 3 match sample than one comprising half a season? Okey, dokey 🙃 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
europia Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 13 hours ago, Crewton said: Or 7 wins (including Bolton), 2 draws and a defeat at Portsmouth, which doesn't seem impossible? Considering some of our recent performances, I would say highly improbable. Jimbo Ram 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brammie Steve Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 Barnsley vs Bolton = Nemesis* *a formidable and usually victorious rival! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 16 minutes ago, europia said: Considering some of our recent performances, I would say highly improbable. Which games are more likely to lose than to win, in your opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewton Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 41 minutes ago, europia said: Considering some of our recent performances, I would say highly improbable. Portsmouth have recovered from a similar blip - why can't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevinhectoring Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 On 02/03/2024 at 22:02, Ramifications said: I see on the latest predicted table we end up finishing third! https://www.footballwebpages.co.uk/league-one/league-table/predicted If our lack of consistency continues, we miss the automatics. And it doesn’t bode well for the playoffs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SSD Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 Golden opportunity for promotion this year. Reading and Wigan will definitely be stronger next season and on a level playing field. On top of the relegated teams coming down. Bolton is obviously the big match. Our final 4 games look pretty easy considering 3 of them will be packing their bags for the beach and Carlisle have gone already (sorry Mr Warne, not all league one teams are difficult). Barnsley are the dark horses, they've been superb for awhile and been creeping up on 2nd place. The doomer in me reckons that defeat against them might have been the confidence boost for Barnsley to go for the automatic places. We might as well just go all out at this stage. None of this sitting in, defend yourself dreary naff. Our squad has the quality, just go for it. We have nothing to lose since the play offs are pretty much guaranteed. Have a go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tamworthram Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 9 hours ago, Comrade 86 said: Which games are more likely to lose than to win, in your opinion? 10 hours ago, Comrade 86 said: So you'd prefer to assess our chances on a 3 match sample than one comprising half a season? Okey, dokey 🙃 I’d say neither are ideal. Form can change compared to half a season ago and three matches isn’t enough to determine current form or a trend. That’s why I looked at the last 10 games (plus, it quite neatly matches the number of games remaining) in which we have lost three. In terms of which I see as the biggest risks of defeat - Portsmouth away is the obvious favourite although I wouldn’t be surprised if we battled out a backs against the wall 0:0 draw again. Bolton is obviously a dangerous game but, as I’ve not seen them play much recently, that may be just because of where they are in the league rather than how well they are playing. The next one that worries me is Wycombe away. Their home form isn’t great whilst our away form (in terms of results) is good but it just feels like one of those games we’ll struggle in. I don’t see us losing more than a couple of games but there may be too many draws in there to keep us second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turk Thrust Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 11 hours ago, Comrade 86 said: So you'd prefer to assess our chances on a 3 match sample than one comprising half a season? Okey, dokey 🙃 Yes because that reflects our form now rather than 6 months ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Crewton Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 8 minutes ago, Turk Thrust said: Yes because that reflects our form now rather than 6 months ago Why not assess our chances based on our last match when we actually had a CF available with a bit of game time under his belt? It'd make about as much sense as using a 3 game sample after taking 45 points from the previous 20 games. Comrade 86 and Tamworthram 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 1 hour ago, Turk Thrust said: Yes because that reflects our form now rather than 6 months ago The period we had no striker you mean. Ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gabby'sThighs Posted March 5 Share Posted March 5 On 02/03/2024 at 21:55, plymouthram said: STEVENAGE; Peterboro (a), Bolton (h), Barnsley (h) and Oxford (a). Stevenage are an organised, physical team, i.e. cheating, fouling sods, so hopefully they do us a favour against Bolton & Barnsley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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