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archram

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  1. Clap
    archram reacted to MACKWORTHRAM in Kayden Jackson - signed on a 2 year deal   
    Genuinely mate, how many times have you seen him play? Have you just took one look at his stats and thought bargain bucket?
    We have no idea what he will bring to this team at all. Other than what Ipswich fans have said, who watch him week in week out.
    I remember being excited when we spent £6 million on Bradley Johnson and I wasn't even remotely excited when we signed Ebou Adams.
    But look at how both of them worked out.
    I just never understand why players are judged before they have kicked a ball for us. 
    Warne has said he likes players who can play different positions and evidently he can. Lets see who else we bring in.
    Jerry Yates the same - If he had just bagged 15 goals for Blackpool and got relegated, we went up and signed him, the vast majority would be happy with it. But cos of the spell at Swansea, where it hasnt worked out (still their top scorer mind) then some of our fans have turned their nose up.
    We are not shopping with millions to spend anymore, those days are gone and very nearly ended us. 
    There is still 2 months of the window to go, lets see who we get in and what we spend and watching them play before making our judgements.
  2. Like
    archram reacted to Sparkle in Ben Osborn - signed on a two-year deal   
    only because we released him when young - anyway he is actually a Rams fan as are his family and if he signs then welcome back.
  3. Haha
    archram reacted to MackworthRamIsGod in Jerry Yates - signed on a season-long loan   
    Rumours are we have scouted a Danish lad called Steve Haagan and a Swedish lad could Jurgen Daas
  4. Haha
    archram reacted to Srg in Kenzo Goudmijn - signed to 2028   
    or Rotterdam... or anywhere, Liverpool or Roma?
  5. Haha
    archram reacted to DerbyPride in 24/25 Kits   
    For a split second I was just about to be outraged that it was pink... #bemoreb4
  6. Haha
    archram reacted to Day in 24/25 Kits   
    Been waiting a long time for one of these for myself!
  7. Like
    archram reacted to angieram in 24/25 Kits   
    A big step forward, in that there is a women's shirt for the first time, acknowledging we are a completely different shape to men! We have been asking for one for years.
    I might just be able to get a shirt this year that accommadates curves and doesn't come down to my knees.
    Not the white one, though. 
  8. Like
    archram reacted to kevinhectoring in UEFA Euro 2024 Thread   
    Nah. Loads of people in this county have a little flutter on England, as well as putting flags on their houses and cars. Just because. The bookies odds reflect the weight of money on England.  The burgers of eg Slovakia don’t have the same amount of cash and nor are they bombarded with sports betting ads and nor do they have access to the platforms.   It’s not a pure process 
  9. Like
    archram reacted to Srg in Ben Osborn - signed on a two-year deal   
    What about David Clowes makes you think he’s about to splash a stupid amount on wages to put us in any kind of trouble?
  10. Like
    archram reacted to angieram in new fixture list 2024/25   
    We are back in the Championship, where we (apparently) deserve to be. Who did people expect we'd be playing? Belper Town? 
    I'm looking forward to seeing how we do at a level where we're going to see slightly more football, our younger players with an extra year's experience and hopefully some exciting new signings.
    Bring it on! 
  11. Like
    archram reacted to Tamworthram in new fixture list 2024/25   
    Yes but does anyone realistically think we won't add to the squad? Therefore, trying to assess what sort of season we're likely to have (and comparing our chances to that which Rotherham achieved last season) is a pointless (no pun intended) exercise.
    I don't think anyone is seriously expecting it to be an easy season but, until we've seen who we've signed, how good they are (unlike some others it seems, judging by some of the comments on the transfer rumours thread, I don't watch enough non Derby football to know enough about most of the players being mentioned), and how they link together before we start writing off our chances of survival.
  12. Haha
    archram reacted to Wolfie in Paul Warne   
    He's booked in to do his Cycling Proficiency next week
    #itk
  13. Haha
    archram reacted to Brammie Steve in Signings tomorrow   
    If not Friday definitely Crusoe!
  14. Haha
    archram reacted to maxjam in UEFA Euro 2024 Thread   
    I'm listening on 5 Live, got no comment on the match but the atmosphere/fans sound amazing - players cant complain they haven't had support from inside the ground at least.
    Oh and Paul Merson is doing his bit as well 😛
     
     
  15. Haha
    archram reacted to JuanFloEvraTheCocu'sNesta in Daniel Iversen   
    Having Mr Tickle in goal is surely cheating given the length of his arms?
  16. Like
    archram reacted to Archied in UEFA Euro 2024 Thread   
    We were very good during qualifying, injuries impacted and we kind of ran out of steam comming into the tournament, you have to remember our first choice striker out injured is a championship level player ,
    disapointing but had we got through we would have even more depleted with the loss of tierney and then mc Tominay suspended, all in all it’s disappointing but also that’s two recent finals we have now qualified for so Not all bad , your teams your team , worst ever prem points tally has never stopped me being derby through and through 🤷🏻‍♂️
  17. Like
    archram reacted to Elwood P Dowd in Transfer rumours   
    At one time, some while back, I thought we were going to sign Ian Storey Moore, from Forest, he was even paraded around the BBG at half time. He never did sign for the Rams he went to Man Utd instead.
    its strange how even club managers, in this case Sir Brian himself, can be outflanked by a sudden change of events.
    Events can change very quickly in Football👍👍
  18. Clap
    archram reacted to FlyBritishMidland in Transfer rumours   
    It’s well known that we’d agreed a loan deal for a striker on deadline day and his parent club cancelled it as their own signing fell through.  I think Stephen Pearce mentioned it in his RD interview.  The deal was cancelled at something like 6pm, maybe later, so too late to sort something else out.
    He wasn’t wrong or off target.  He was correct when he posted and it was circumstances outside of the clubs control that led to it being cancelled.
  19. Clap
    archram reacted to CBRammette in Transfer rumours   
    There are some sad people around. Why do people rip to pieces those sharing anything they may have heard to an unsubstantiated transfer rumours thread? Isnt that the whole point of this wonderful fun thread? Then others say that there's no gossip around. No💩Sherlock. 
  20. Like
    archram reacted to Ghost of Clough in Transfer rumours   
    Because Rhodes decided to go to Blackpool due to more money on the table, Blackburn pulled the plug on us loaning a player from them, and Collins returned earlier than expected...
    I'm struggling to think of a single piece of #ITK where he is miles out. When he's been wrong, there almost always seems to be a reason why.
  21. Like
    archram reacted to 8Leeds in Transfer rumours   
    I quite like the fact that there’s very little information on potential targets. 
  22. Clap
    archram reacted to WestKentRam in Sporting Intelligence Unit?   
    I'm by no means an expert on this but am happy to write about what I've learned from reading this book so far (started it yesterday and only 1/4 of the way through) as well as a few others on analytics in football. You might regret you asked. Brace yourself for an essay... 😁
    I do wonder about the influence of David Clowes on the new appointments, in that perhaps he has used statistical analysis already, thinking back to the pivotal moment in last season of Stevenage away. He kept calm and didn't sack PW despite the discontent among the fan base. Maybe this was more based on stats than just sticking with his man for sentimental reasons? By then we had already 'lost' five points to Bolton and Portsmouth due to refereeing decisions so the table position at the time did lie (a theme in the book), and there were dubious decisions in the Stevenage game where we also conceded two goals directly from free kicks that didn't indicate an overall malaise.
    This links into two other examples in the book with regard to managers.
    When Klopp left Dortmund to join Liverpool amateur analysts at the time had shown that his last 'poor' season at Dortmund was actually due to bad luck with regard to results of matches versus his team's stats. If this was realised at the time then who knows he might never have joined Liverpool.
    With Alan Pardew at Newcastle in 11/12 his team finished 5th in the PL but based on the stats such as goal difference, distribution of goals and net shots on target, they should have finished lower. He was given an 8 year deal on the basis of the 'lucky' season, thinking he'd cracked it, but next season they finished 16th and he didn't last much longer. However the stats for both seasons were actually remarkably similar so he got a higher placing than expected in 'lucky' season 1 but lower in 'unlucky' season 2. If analytics had been used then more rational decisions concerning his contract might have been made.
    Another interesting aspect of this is outcome bias, ie the perceived wisdom after the event to make the narrative fit the outcome rather than being a cool analysis of the facts. So season 1 Pardew is praised for attractive play and courage to play youngsters, in season 2 criticised for having a too gung-ho style of play and lack of experience in the team. 
    As an aside and potential use of analytics, the current situation of Harry Kane and his playing for England in the Euros could be given. Different opinions from the pundits are he's too old, doesn't press and plays too deep, versus well he scored the goal against Denmark so needs to play. I would think that rather than making gut decisions on his selection then data could be analysed to make one that is more informed, considering variables such as, how many goals against Denmark 'should' England be scoring, does HK in the team affect this by actually reducing the total number of goals scored even allowing for him netting one. Analysis of different games in tournaments, friendlies, high and lower ranked teams, could be made to give some sort of an answer to this.
    This sort of information does exist, in that the author mentions Matthew Benham at Brentford and Tony Bloom at Brighton, who both made fortunes from particular forms of gambling on football, enough to enable them to each buy their supported-since-childhood clubs and during their ownership get them promoted to the PL. They didn't do this by making lucky punts on games but adopted large scale analysis using teams of workers, knowing they only had to calculate the outcome of matches more than 50% of the time to make money. A factor included in this was the likely outcome if a particular player was in or out of the team, similar to the HK situation, so hard stats can be used rather than just guesswork.
    The book discusses player ratings made by watching a game versus via stats, linked into the cognitive biases involved in scouting and the risks of this. Also, I like mention of the biases of narrative, such as Pep being a genius with regard to tactics and personnel, whereas he took over winning teams that have continued to win post him leaving, and has only coached the most or second most expensive teams in each league. 
    There's mention of football being influenced by luck and how good and bad luck in games affects the outcome, but how the game hesitates to recognise this. I had the three Euros games on yesterday and having read this my ears pricked up with the number of times pundits said the word luck without even thinking about it and how this tied into the book.
    Analysis of games using xG is discussed, and how this leads into 'the table does lie', both with examples.
    It's an evolving relatively new area, but with the ability to analyse aspects such as throw ins, crossing the ball as a goal scoring method, corner kicks, as well as a myriad of other in game possibilities, then a more informed decision on managers, players and tactics can be utilised. That is apart from being used to identify undiscovered gems when signing players as per Moneyball.
    An example that I've often scratched my head at, that I assume analytics could be used to give information on, is a free kick towards the end of a game we are chasing from behind. It seems an inordinate length of time is spent with the lining up the wall, discussions between the players as to who is going to take it with bluffing techniques thrown in, jostling in the box with the ref then delaying play to speak to the players concerned, only for the free kick to be blasted into the wall or row Z. With the clock ticking down would it be better to try a different routine with the ball passed short and played on from there. I've seen some examples in perhaps more innovative women's football. Analytics could give an answer as to the success of free kicks taken in particular areas with the personnel at hand, versus time taken to take them and probability of scoring from attacking open play in similar positions.
    One reason I really like this move by the club is that we know it will be very hard to gain promotion from the Championship (if that is indeed the aim but then that's another philosophical debate...) given the unlikely-to-be-resolved-anytime-soon influence of parachute payments given to clubs relegated from the PL so they can bounce back up. Trying to gain an advantage using analytics hasn't at present been outlawed by the EFL, so is a smart way to try and progress rather than financial manipulation given the hazards we know that involves.
    I'm sure DC in his business dealings doesn't just go with his gut but uses feasibility studies and similar to base decisions on, and I see the use of analytics at Derby being not dissimilar to this. PW as well is a shrewd cookie, and beneath the bobble hat and jokey exterior he's pleased to use this option for the next step of Derby in the Championship. 
     
     
  23. Haha
    archram reacted to MackworthRamIsGod in Sporting Intelligence Unit?   
    We better sign some players soon, I fear we will get Left Behind Warne.
  24. Haha
  25. Like
    archram reacted to Reggie Greenwood in Summer transfer suggestion thread   
    Perhaps others are quite happy to get snippets as part of the pre season fun without the usual suspects jumping all over the supposed ITK’s.Right or wrong .
    You have made your position quite clear over a number of seasons that you don’t like it. We have heard you , if you don’t like the thread just check out of it without being a mood hoover for those who do. 
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