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The coronabrexit thread. I mean, coronavirus thread


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8 minutes ago, maxjam said:

 

You still haven't replied as to why the Govt and media are misleading the public on a regular basis.  Instead you seem to want to project what others do on a regular basis to Jamie Jenkins quoting actual Govt statistics.

Jamie Jenkins posts data.  Actual data from the Govt website.  He's not a Govt official or media personality that blindly states '90% of people...' that never get officially challenged or 'fact checked' despite thousands of complaints to Ofcom.  He posts actual reliable data.  He may or may not have an opinion,  we all do,  but that doesn't change the data and at least his opinion is based on fact rather than made up statistics that are being erroneously force fed us on a daily basis.

Furthermore in many of his posts he adds disclaimers such as this one at the bottom and has mentioned numerous times that he is double vaxxed and pro-vaccine.  So much for misleading guff.

The Government are bad at Maths. They are Latin scholars, lawyers, PR consultants and academics. 
 

Put someone like Johnson or Raab up and they will quote the wrong figures . 
 

what the statistics do prove is that you are far more likely to be hospitalised if you have not been vaccinated . The fact that the Government numpties cannot use the right stats doesn’t mean their basic message is wrong.

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3 hours ago, Bob The Badger said:

i bet she feels as silly as the 41-year-old ex-world champion kickboxer who died recently.

46 and certainly doesn't look overweight, although she was unvaccinated. 

California prosecutor who campaigned against vaccine mandates dies of Covid.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jan/06/kelly-ernby-california-prosecutor-dies-covid

Give that woman a Herman Cain award. And then follow it up with a Darwin award.

Remember when we all used to laugh at Darwin award winners and nobody said we were sick and heartless? That was back in the days when we weren't surrounded by snowflakes though.

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10 minutes ago, Andrew3000 said:

https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/12/covid-19-definitions-matter-and-these.html?m=1

The fundamental issue seems to be that the data is hugely flawed because of poor definitions of various categories. 

It's been blatantly obvious from the start that how we define/defined Covid deaths is different to other countries. And like you say, that plays a huge part in the data and then decision making and models. 

Either that or our health system is one of the worst in the world. 

Edited by Norman
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22 minutes ago, G STAR RAM said:

I see now that 40% of patients being recorded as in hospital with Covid are actually primarily being treated for sonething else ? you couldn't make this up!

They’ve been doing similar with deaths the whole pandemic. 

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21 minutes ago, G STAR RAM said:

I see now that 40% of patients being recorded as in hospital with Covid are actually primarily being treated for sonething else ? you couldn't make this up!

Why the drama?. This has always been the case - especially with the milder Omicron variant - though the last number I saw was 33%. There have always been asymptomatic cases identified at hospital goods-in, as it were.

I understand it's still a complication because they have to be then isolated along with the patients who are being treated for Covid. The covid wards then have a much more complicated cross-section of conditions being treated in them, which is putting further pressure on staffing.

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6 minutes ago, Andrew3000 said:

https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/12/covid-19-definitions-matter-and-these.html?m=1

The fundamental issue seems to be that the data is hugely flawed because of poor definitions of various categories. 

 So you think you have 10 deaths in a care home in a week during a Covid outbreak, do you really need to test everyone?  If they didn’t have testing kits which they didn’t early in the pandemic and seem to be short again now. 
 

don’t you think a doctor could work it out without testing everyone? 
 

also I know of people who died of organ failure long after the 28 days. COVID was the cause of death and rightly so. 

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13 minutes ago, Andrew3000 said:

https://probabilityandlaw.blogspot.com/2021/12/covid-19-definitions-matter-and-these.html?m=1

The fundamental issue seems to be that the data is hugely flawed because of poor definitions of various categories. 

There are lots of problems with the data - agreed. Perhaps the biggest problem is that the official data doesn't count re-infections. Can you believe that!?  It means that the longer the pandemic goes on the more incorrect the cases data gets!

As a result, if you want to track the actual impact of Covid over time, Hospital Admissions data is a much better metric.

 

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Sorry this is meant for @PistoldPete, forgot to quote.

Scientific research would require standardised diagnostic testing so yes.

Prof Fenton is pointing out the flaws from a research data point of view, not a pragmatic clinician view.

Of course Covid has caused deaths and serious illness the question is about validity and accuracy of the numbers we have collected. This applies to both Covid & vaccine safety. 

So what is your view of the definitions given and the implications for the data and therefore the decisions made on this data?

 

 

 

 

Edited by Andrew3000
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15 minutes ago, therealhantsram said:

There are lots of problems with the data - agreed. Perhaps the biggest problem is that the official data doesn't count re-infections. Can you believe that!?  It means that the longer the pandemic goes on the more incorrect the cases data gets!

As a result, if you want to track the actual impact of Covid over time, Hospital Admissions data is a much 

30 minutes ago, Norman said:

It's been blatantly obvious from the start that how we define/defined Covid deaths is different to other countries. And like you say, that plays a huge part in the data and then decision making and models. 

Either that or our health system is one of the worst in the world. 

 

Yes, we've known this for a while just thought it was worth reierating as the stats discussion progressed. It worries me that people like Prof Fenton are being silenced, how can youtube justify taking down his presentations and why is he suddenly having trouble publishing his data? This pattern is very troubling on a number of levels and is one reason I am cautious and sceptical about our strategy to manage this.

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38 minutes ago, Andrew3000 said:

Sorry this is meant for @PistoldPete, forgot to quote.

Scientific research would require standardised diagnostic testing so yes.

Prof Fenton is pointing out the flaws from a research data point of view, not a pragmatic clinician view.

Of course Covid has caused deaths and serious illness the question is about validity and accuracy of the numbers we have collected. This applies to both Covid & vaccine safety. 

So what is your view of the definitions given and the implications for the data and therefore the decisions made on this data?

 

 

 

 

There was debate on this forum about COVID and causation.. when the Rams were at first defending the claim that their adminstration was caused by COVID. I believe the proper legal test is what was the most proximate cause of an event. So Mel Morris historic overspending was irrelevant to that. The fact COVID knocked a £30 m plus hole in our finances was what caused us to go into admin.

The Rams are not dead , and will not die, but you get my drift. Their insolvency event was caused by COVID.

Same principle is applied by doctors.  There may be other contributory causes, but if you had COVID less than 28 days ago, well then it is extremely unlikely that wasn't the most proximate cause of death. And I don't think doctors have to rely on the 28 day rule as I have said they can use their profesisional judgment that's their job.

 

In terms of policy decisions, I think Governments do need to consider whether some of the COVID deaths may be of people who may not have had much time left so they need to look at those stats as well, and they should not be locking down young people and stopping them from going about their lives.

     

Edited by PistoldPete
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3 hours ago, PistoldPete said:

The Government are bad at Maths. They are Latin scholars, lawyers, PR consultants and academics. 
 

Put someone like Johnson or Raab up and they will quote the wrong figures . 
 

what the statistics do prove is that you are far more likely to be hospitalised if you have not been vaccinated . The fact that the Government numpties cannot use the right stats doesn’t mean their basic message is wrong.

Actually it does 

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1 hour ago, Wolfie said:

Why the drama?. This has always been the case - especially with the milder Omicron variant - though the last number I saw was 33%. There have always been asymptomatic cases identified at hospital goods-in, as it were.

I understand it's still a complication because they have to be then isolated along with the patients who are being treated for Covid. The covid wards then have a much more complicated cross-section of conditions being treated in them, which is putting further pressure on staffing.

No drama but when people are clamouring for more restrictions based on hospital numbers its pretty important to estabish how many people are actually being hospitalised because of Covid

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2 minutes ago, Mostyn6 said:

Question for everyone:- 

In YOUR mind/opinion, is it acceptable for a fellow human to be more fearful of the unknown (vaccine) than of the Covid?

Yes, of course. Although for some Covid was at some point the unknown. Fear of both is completely understandable.

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2 hours ago, GboroRam said:

Give that woman a Herman Cain award. And then follow it up with a Darwin award.

Remember when we all used to laugh at Darwin award winners and nobody said we were sick and heartless? That was back in the days when we weren't surrounded by snowflakes though.

Jeez remember the flak I got , you snowflakes were creaming your pants to call me all sorts , you all behave far far worse and that’s ok ,

just like Johnson’s mob the sham pain socialists set rules and standards for others that don’t apply to themselves ?

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