Jubbs

Thanks to the link from @Jubbs in another thread, here are graphs to compare the players I identified with others in their league
Left Wing Backs


Central and Attacking Midfielders





 
Wingers

2015

Derby 4-1 Bolton, I wanna say late January / early Feb as it was Ince's first game. I remember thinking we were gonna get promoted for sure.

Comparison against other CM's in League 1.
If anyone wants something similar for other players:
https://football-prospect-research-made-by-bengriffis.streamlit.app/ 
Just select the league, then position and then choose from the list of players. 
 

Oppenheimer.
Grand themes, all star cast, epic length.
Bit drab. 5/10.

Add a resurgent AJ to the list of boxers Fury is going to try and duck over the next couple of years.

Absolute domination from AJ, looked a different fighter tonight. That AJ beats Fury imo. 

I've rewatched it several times. Amazing script and acting - possibly the best I've seen.
PS Marty's 'conquests'... Holy mother of god, wasn't too hard to believe he was tempted.

Finally got round to starting True Detective now I've finished for the year. First season is one of the best season's of TV I've ever watched, incredible. Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson are absolutely outstanding in their roles. 

Starting to pick up some form now, that's 3 in his last 4 games including this 90th minute winner. Happy for him!

Finally got round to starting True Detective now I've finished for the year. First season is one of the best season's of TV I've ever watched, incredible. Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson are absolutely outstanding in their roles. 

I actually think the LB was playing him onside, was extremely tight.

Finally got round to starting True Detective now I've finished for the year. First season is one of the best season's of TV I've ever watched, incredible. Matthew McConaughey and Woody Harrelson are absolutely outstanding in their roles. 

I thought a little bit of statistical comparisons could be an interesting read. Maybe some statistical knowledge might even calibrate one's expectations.

Here are the points per game averages needed for automatic promotion and playoff spot in recent seasons:

Season      19/20   20/21    21/22    22/23    23/24 so far
top 2          1.77       1.89     1.96       2.13        2.05
playoff       1.69       1.61      1.8         1.67        1.89
This season, we are averaging 1.89.

To get to the average 2.14, which should mean automatic promotion, we would need 62 (61.84) points from the last 27 games. It could be achieved for example with 19 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses = 98 points.

To get to the average of 2.05, which could be the amount needed for automatics, we would need another 59 (58,3) points. 18 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses = 93 points.
If we keep getting the points we have so far this season, we will be heading towards another 16 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses. Overall that would mean 88 points which doesn't sound bad at all, but this season it might not be enough.
People have been saying that the league is poor this season. The stats support the idea as the top 6 teams average more points than usual. With the number of points we have now, we would've been in the top two 20-21 season. Poor level is a double-edged sword though as the top teams don't drop many points. Poor level means unforgiving at the same time.

There is not much to conclude from this except the fact the draws are not enough. We need to go for a win in every game, even if that means occasional loss.

I felt these stats are not completed yet. I had to take a look into xG and xGA. You all wanted this, right? So, here's xGD (expected goal difference) lately.

Season 19/20    20/21    21/22    22/23    23/24
2nd       0.47      0.35      0.77      0.72       0.54
6th        0.21      0.40      0.34      0.24       0.23
We have scored 1.79 per game, while our xG has been 1.51.
We have conceded 0.84 per game when our xGA has been 1.11.
Therefore, we are scoring 0.28 more than expected and conceding 0.27 more than we should, which is a good sign. It also means that we are heading towards xGD 0.4 which usually has meant playoff place but is not enough for automatics.

Let's take a look at other candidates for promotion. If xG doesn't change much towards the end of the season, Peterborough should do well and Stevenage should drop from their current position. Let's see how it goes.

What surprised me most is how well such a robust method as xG, xGA, and xD creates a valid linear pattern over the whole season.

I'm expecting a ridiculous amount of xG bashing even though I'm more interested in what people think of our chance of getting around 95 points this season.

Honestly I'd be looking in the Japanese league, there's great value there and some decent bargains. 

Honestly I'd be looking in the Japanese league, there's great value there and some decent bargains. 

Derby supporting global superstar you say?! 🤔…..
 

Celtic have done excellent there, but I'd assume that was mainly through the manager at the time having extensive first hand knowledge in that market. Definitely one to be explored if given a chance. 

Winning 4-1 now 🙂

Everything Everywhere All At Once
A masterpiece, which melted my brain. I still can't work out how and why it works, but it does.
John McGovern / 10.

If we get rid of Warne this season, get this man in straight away.

Can we have confirmation that last nights team was:
a) the strongest possible full stop
or
b) the strongest available on the night taking into account injuries, first team requirements , moods, arguments with the girlfriend, arguments with the boyfriend, whether they can do it in a wet Monday in Loughborough 

If we get rid of Warne this season, get this man in straight away.