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Ken Tram

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  1. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to DCFC1388 in Reading FC (A) Matchday Thread   
    Hull imo are the 3rd team we need to catch, Reading & Cardiff have enough to be safe.
    Can we beat Hull at home and win 10pts more than them in the remaining games?
    Can we beat Barnsley at home and win 1pt more than them in the remaining games?
    Can we beat PBoro at home and win 6pts more than them in the remaining games?
  2. Haha
    Ken Tram reacted to RamontheMoor in Let's twist again, to we get 21   
    Won't be the first time we've gone bust this season ?
  3. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Reenie in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  4. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Miggins in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  5. COYR
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Comrade 86 in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  6. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to Kathcairns in Happy New Year   
    Happy new year everyone, may all our dreams come true.COYR?
  7. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to Curtains in Happy New Year   
    I’m celebrating.  Happy New Year to all.  
     
    Up the Rams 
  8. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to angieram in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year to everyone. ?
    Enjoy if you're celebrating; if not, it'll soon be Monday! COYR! ?⚽️?
  9. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Andicis in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  10. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from LeedsCityRam in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  11. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from I know nothing in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  12. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Curtains in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  13. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to RadioactiveWaste in Happy New Year   
    Happy new year everyone.
    2021 has had ups and downs for me personally, and I know it's been hard on a lot of folks.
    I genuinely believe the forum is a huge benefit to many of the posters far beyond everyone having their two pennies worth about Derby county.
    So thanks to David, the moderators and everyone who contributed.
     
  14. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to Dean (hick) Saunders in Happy New Year   
    Happy New One All.
    ????⚽️?
     
  15. Haha
    Ken Tram reacted to Gritstone Ram in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year just about to watch the Great Escape.
  16. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to Mucker1884 in Happy New Year   
    I would just like to say that, should auld acquaintance be forgot, and never brought to min... nope... sorry... I'm welling up!  I just can't do this!

     
  17. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to plymouthram in v2 The best date for Derby to play Cardiff away   
    I read in the daily Mirror earlier this week that Reading are desperate to sell players in the transfer window to sort out their finances. If thats true and they sell 2 or 3 players, they could become a weaker team. Even better if they get their 6 points suspended activated.
  18. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Kathcairns in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  19. Cheers
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Day in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  20. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to i-Ram in Survival - a percentage evaluation thread.   
    We will stay up. 110%
  21. Like
    Ken Tram got a reaction from Dordogne-Ram in Happy New Year   
    Happy New Year David - and too everyone
    How is it possible that so many of us are in high spirits even with 21 points deducted.
    Football is magic!
  22. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to Mucker1884 in Season 21 - 22 survival bid statistics   
    Extrapolating the 10 points now on the board from the minus 21 points we effectively started with, it resembles a big fat F U to The EFL...

     
     
    ... unless my calculations are amiss?   ?
  23. Like
    Ken Tram reacted to Ellafella in Season 21 - 22 survival bid statistics   
    Good work @Yani P. It would be useful if you could label your tables a bit more to help us to interpret them a little more easily. The key table is the one which shows the required average points per game (APPG) to hit "safety" - what we can see is that "required" APPG is rising with each passing game; it gives us a "numerical" understanding of what we intuitively know ie that we need to start winning games. We could construct a chart with a "ceiling" on which would show the point at which we are unlikely (based on our last few seasons) to meet the required APPG; but maybe that would be too depressing!
    I like to keep my eye on ben Mayhew's excellent Experimental 3-6-1 website. Although his visualizations are mostly descriptive (rather than predictive) his scatter plots are interesting because:
    1. They enable comparisons between teams that are not necessarily just a reflection of the league table. They do this by "drilling down" to show attacking and defensive "norms" ie how each team play "on average" defensively and offensively. As games aggregate, the notion is that teams's "normative" performances are established; ie extraneous "noise" produced by form, poor refereeing decisions, sheer luck and other extraneous factors are reduced. 
    2. They tend to describe and confirm (rather than point to the future) how teams are doing and therefore where teams need to improve. 
    3. The other downside though is that Ben's stuff tends to be a few weeks behind...he's a very busy chap so I'm not being critical. The latest scatterplots are only inclusive of games up to 3rd Oct, so the folowing ones excluded our games at Preston, home to Luton, Away at Coventry and of course yesterday's home V BRFC. 
    4. Nevertheless, they're worth a look:
     
    Figure 1 shows defensive effectiveness: Shots faced per match (X axis) compared with shots faced per goal conceded (Y-axis). The vertical and horizontal line intersection is "average" for the Championship which effectively creates "quadrants" which Ben labels according to the relative ratios of shots faced per match : shots faced per goal conceded. What we can see is that Derby are a total outlier - We are "competent but busy". On average we face the second highest number of shots on average (almost 15) (Only Rreading face more on average) but actually it takes an average of 20 shots by the opposition to score a goal against us. In one sense this is very good - we are probably blocking lots of shots rather than anything else; but in another sense, it's worrying. Teams are getting lots of opportunity to shoot - we are not defensively tight because we are denying them shots. So the question becomes...can we sustain that? Given that we've conceded 2 at home versus Luton and 2 V BRFC, it may be that we are already showing  some "regression to the average" which may mean our period of extreme frugality may be over. Let's face it, BRFC could've/should've been 4-0 at HT yesterday!
    If that's the case, it's worrying because, as we know, we are paper thin up front, and Figure 2 illustrates just how much: We are in the "ineffectual" quadrant, alongside Barnsley - our next opponent. We need 15 shots for every goal scored - just like Barnsley; and we only create an average of 9.7 shots per game. If we look at other teams we are playing soon - Millwall, Fulham and QPR, they are all "above average" Championship shooters. Bournemouth are below average in terms of number of shots; but I suspect their chances though fewer relatively may be more convertible ie better quality. Perhaps, the return of CKR may make us more effective in front of goal - he's hit the post twice in the last 2 games and blazed over at the death when he got through yesterday but Ben Mayhew's scatters tell us what we intuitively know - Wayne has to find a way of making us score more, and we have to get back to keeping clean sheets, before that "mini-trend" of conceding 2 at home becomes the norm. 
     
     
     
  24. COYR
    Ken Tram reacted to Mucker1884 in v2 The best date for Derby to play Cardiff away   
    NOW!
    Play them now!
    Play everyone... NOW!  
  25. Cheers
    Ken Tram reacted to Shipley Ram in RamsTV Streaming | How to Watch   
    I suspect thier main check is a country check against your IP adress, different area's have different rules for screening. They are probably just warning you that you can get the suncription but if they detect your are not in an area that can show the game you won't get it. You can get monthly subscription which is cheaper or game by game, if you were on your hols you would be getting game by game rather than subscription.
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