admira Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 There's been a lot of talk about February being the month our season collapses each year so being the statto that I am, have done some research. Based on points per league game (PPG) for every season since 2013/14, this is how it stands. Our best month over that period has been December (PL 30 PTS 71 PPG 2.37) Our worst month over that period has been May (PL 5 PTS 3 PPG 0.60) but as that's such a small sample size, the one next worst month is March (PL 21 PTS 25 PPG 1.19) This is the complete list ranked best to worst over the past 5 seasons and then the same by individual season. Overall (Month / Points per game) December 2.37 October 2.18 April 2.00 November 2.00 September 1.52 February 1.38 January 1.38 August 1.24 March 1.19 May 0.60 2017/18 (Current season) October 3.00 December 2.67 January 1.50 November 1.40 August 1.40 February (so far) 1.25 September 1.20 2016/17 November 3.00 December 2.33 April 1.67 October 1.60 March 1.60 January 1.50 August 1.00 May 1.00 September 0.80 February 0.33 2015/16 October 2.60 September 2.50 November 2.25 April 2.17 December 2.00 March 1.75 February 1.33 August 0.80 May 0.50 January 0.25 2014/15 January 2.25 September 2.20 December 2.00 February 1.83 November 1.80 October 1.75 April 1.67 August 1.60 March 0.40 May 0.00 2013/14 December 2.71 February 2.50 April 2.50 November 2.00 October 2.00 January 1.40 August 1.40 March 1.14 September 1.00 May 1.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintRam Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Day Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Would be nice to see these numbers compared over a longer period of the clubs history, not just 13/14 as it would highlight the last 5 seasons to be somewhat of a golden age in racking up the points for a long long time. When you look at our most successful managers we have had in terms of win percentage, ignoring the caretaker managers that have seen us through a game or two, no surprise to see who the top 2 are. 1. Steve McClaren MKI - 54.26% 2. Gary Rowett 47.73% 3. Brian Clough 46.71% 4. Cecil Potter 45.26% 5. Billy Davies 44.93% 6. Steve McClaren MKII 44.83% 7. Dave Mackay 44.3% 8. George Jobey 43.4% 9. Roy McFarland 43.01% 10. Paul Clement 42.42% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsnip Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 So March is a bogey month? Who we got this March? Fulham... Cardiff... Forest! Wake me up in April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boycie Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestKentRam Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Interesting post, @admira. Couldn't resist seeing if there is a trend so I transferred the data to a spreadsheet as below, and made a chart of it. The fall off in the 2nd half of the season is evident. Perhaps the club should sell season tickets for just Oct to Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Day Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Millenniumram Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 23 minutes ago, Parsnip said: So March is a bogey month? Who we got this March? Fulham... Cardiff... Forest! Wake me up in April. You mean it’s gonna get worse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestKentRam Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 25 minutes ago, David said: GR's comment 'it's utter b******s' in this morning's interview actually related to his views on football websites telling him he 'must drop this 28 year old', or 'the 5 changes GR must make', rather than the wheels falling off in February. In the interview GR also commented that prior to it he looked up Derby's form and he rattled these off 'in the last 8 home games we've won 4, drawn 4, lost none' 'in the last 8 away games we've won 4, drawn 3, lost 1'. Of course he's used December and January's results in these stats to improve them. Another way of looking at it is in the last 6 games we've won 1, drawn 4 and lost 1, but that doesn't sound as good! I'm sure GR and the club aren't stupid and must be analysing these sorts of stats as to why points per game falls off from December. Fatigue, physical and/or psychological factors, January transfer windows v what other clubs do in them, supporters not clapping enough etc etc all come into play as has been debated on this forum and elsewhere. The figures do show an element of 'Groundhog Day' each of the last few seasons. The question is is the club able to define what the issues are and address them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 At the moment we can achieve 98 points. Its usually said that 2 points per game will gain you automatic promotion. On that basis we can afford to lose 6 points over 13 games. We have some fantastic games coming up against Fulham, Cardiff & Villa in particular. Can we do it? Of course we can. UTR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dethorn Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 hour ago, WestKentRam said: Interesting post, @admira. Couldn't resist seeing if there is a trend so I transferred the data to a spreadsheet as below, and made a chart of it. The fall off in the 2nd half of the season is evident. Perhaps the club should sell season tickets for just Oct to Dec. Can you put trend lines on this - Or just the trend lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Van der MoodHoover Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Boycie said: Looks like you've lost a bit of weight there @Boycie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gone Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 2 hours ago, David said: Would be nice to see these numbers compared over a longer period of the clubs history, not just 13/14 as it would highlight the last 5 seasons to be somewhat of a golden age in racking up the points for a long long time. When you look at our most successful managers we have had in terms of win percentage, ignoring the caretaker managers that have seen us through a game or two, no surprise to see who the top 2 are. 1. Steve McClaren MKI - 54.26% 2. Gary Rowett 47.73% 3. Brian Clough 46.71% 4. Cecil Potter 45.26% 5. Billy Davies 44.93% 6. Steve McClaren MKII 44.83% 7. Dave Mackay 44.3% 8. George Jobey 43.4% 9. Roy McFarland 43.01% 10. Paul Clement 42.42% Thought Arthur Cox may have been in there ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Day Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 minute ago, TexasRam said: Thought Arthur Cox may have been in there ? 13th - 40.62% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gone Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 42 minutes ago, David said: 13th - 40.62% Wow ok thought it'd be better (Rose tinted glasses).... and no Paul Jewell in the top 10, mind boggling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestKentRam Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 1 hour ago, Dethorn said: Can you put trend lines on this - Or just the trend lines Chart with just trend lines is below. 13/14 season looks the best with slight upward trend. Other 3 apart from this season show downward trend as season goes on. I'm not sure what it's done with no data for last 3 months of this season to predict the flattish line to May. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EnigmaRam Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 2 simple fixes for next season i buy a half season ticket Derby buy a new team each January sorted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kash_a_ram_a_ding_dong Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 25 minutes ago, EnigmaRam said: 2 simple fixes for next season i buy a half season ticket Derby buy a new team each January sorted. Bugger,I'll finally be in a position at the end of the year with work/shift commitments changing, to get a half season ticket...but it will be the second half! I'm on a hiding to nothing there then? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rab a dab doo Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 28 minutes ago, EnigmaRam said: 2 simple fixes for next season i buy a half season ticket Derby buy a new team each January sorted. Why not lobby the league to finish at Christmas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dimmu Posted February 23, 2018 Share Posted February 23, 2018 Poor start, then some great performances until wheels drop off. Is someone surprised? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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