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roboto

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Posts posted by roboto

  1. 52 minutes ago, G STAR RAM said:

    Is he having an impact when coming on as sub for Gateshead do you know?

    I'm not sure, because there's not been much commentary about his appearances so far. However, he could provide more of an impact here than Collins, TJJ, Waghorn and Washington currently can.

    If he was getting more game time down there, then I'd expect us to allow him to continue with that, but getting the odd 10-15 minute cameos is something he could get here and be more useful to us short term.

  2. 17 hours ago, Duracell said:

    xG needs a rebrand. It doesn't mean "how many you should have scored" - it's a metric of how many shots were close to goal.

    If you see a team with loads of shots and low xG, you can tell that it was a side struggling to break into the final third and taking fanciful shots at goal.

    If you see a high xG and no goals scored, you know a team's been wasteful.

    I don't see what's hipster or controversial about that.

    It's hipster because it's been coined and stylised as 'xG' instead of 'Expected Goals'

    It's controversial because people think that by having this stat, that all the old stats are being discredited, which isn't the case.

    Give it a few more seasons and people will have moved on to moan about something else. Probably xSB (aka Expected Sin Bin minutes) where players are ranked on their their time off the pitch and how much stress it causes on their team during the season 🙂 

  3. 4 minutes ago, ck- said:

    Because it depends on whether it’s bruising, a partial ligament tear, or a full ligament tear.

     You’d expect a full tear to be possible to diagnose via the amount of movement in the joint, but swelling can mask that. 

    i speak from personal experience of having had PCL partial tear, ACL partial tear, medial ligament partial tear, full ACL tear requiring reconstruction. 

    In each case, only a scan or an arthroscopy could truly determine the extent of the damage. 

    You are Craig Forysth and I claim my £5

  4. 5 hours ago, MadAmster said:

    As an old school type, I obviously go for hype. Is it a more valuable stat than shots, shots on target? I don't think it is.

    Here's some examples from last weekend

    Luton 1.75 Sheff U 1.56. The result was 1-3
    Villa 2.45 Utd 1.9. The result was 1-2
    Red Dogs 1.25 Toon 0.68. The result was 2-3
    Fulham 1.75 B'mouth 2.61. The result was 3-1

    Shots/shots on were

    Luton 20/5 Sheff U 7/3.
    Villa 23/10 Utd 17/5.
    Red Dogs 13/3 Toon 7/5.
    Fulham 7/6 B'mouth 25/4.

    Look at xG and, in all 4 cases the team with the better xG lost. Look at shots and the team with the most shots lost. Shots on target sees Luton and Villa losing despite more SOT and then Toon and Fulham having more SOT and winning.

    IMO xG is no better a stat than shots/SOT. In the end, it all comes down to creating chances, making the decision to shoot and then whether it's off target, on target but saved/blocked or on target and in.

    In the interest of balance, there were other games where the side with the best xG won.

    I'm not a massive fan of xG and certainly wouldn't rely on it as the main indicator of performance. However, you've picked 4 of the 10 EPL fixtures from the weekend. Do the other 6 correlate with these 4? Let's look...

    Crystal Palace 1.00 Chelsea 1.33. The result was 1-3 (xG predicted winner but was a little off with amount Chelsea scored.
    West Ham 1.58 Arsenal 1.92. The result was 0-6 (again xG got the winner correct but was off with the scale of the score)
    Liverpool 2.67 Burnley 0.67. The result was 3-1 (quite close this one)
    Spurs 2.25 Brighton 1.00. The result was 2-1 (spot on)
    Wolves 1.50 Brentford 0.91. The result was 0-2 (this one was off)
    Man City 2.45 Everton 1.42. The result was 2-0 (correct winner, but a bit out with Everton)

    I'm not sure which site you used for your xG results but the one I looked at also Fulham 1.83 Bournemouth 1.17, which was closer to the 3-1 result than your xG stats.

    All in all, I'm not a fan of xG and we can see that there's discrepancy between different sites listing their stats. However, it's not fair to cherry pick half of the weekends results to satisfy your argument and not include the rest of the results to at least add context or back up your findings.

  5. 1 minute ago, CodnorRam said:

    i like Fornah aswell. Just makes me wonder what type of midfielder he is , when he came on as an attacking midfielder not long back he was doing a few step overs and taking his man on. Believe he got an assist aswell

    He has the attributes to play anywhere in the middle I think, but I don't think he has the experience or tactical knowledge to be the main DM. He is much better carrying the ball forward where he can take a few more risks without it being as dangerous as if he's just in front of the defence.

    With Hourihane and Bird alongside him, then he was expected to play a bit deeper and do the dirty work, but his inexperience and tendency to overplay the ball backfired a couple of times in dangerous positions. With Adams being the main sheilder and maybe a Thompson/Fornah combo in front then I think there's a good mix of tackling, passing and ball carrying options to build on.

    Of course, if the opportunity arises to get in players to improve the midfield then we need to do that.

  6. If Thompson can get back to his pre-season form before the end of the season then I think he will link up well with Adams and maybe bring in one more experienced midfielder to bring it all together. I still think Fornah is a decent player, just needs a run of games to let him settle.

  7. 1 hour ago, Crewton said:

    If they decide to allow the transfer then it stinks of EFL corruption when we weren't allowed to sign Kieftenbeld after he signed the wrong box.

    How's that for a conspiracy? Amidoingitright?

  8. 5 minutes ago, simmoram1995 said:

     

    Young strikers from Norwich and Brighton I’ve heard recently 

    plus exploring championship players with few minutes - Gregory , Juke , Joseph at Leeds, and Maja at West Brom are some of the names I’ve heard.

    Oxford guy has been allegedly concentrating on summer recruitment. 

     

    Ogwuru (Norwich) and O'Mahony (Brighton)?

  9. 9 minutes ago, McMuffin said:

    Not really a new name 

    He said he thinks it's a new name. Fraser is just one that has come up, but not as often as others like Smith, Gregory, Clarke-Harris etc.

    Anyway, although he has a good goal involvement to minutes ratio at Wolves, I'm not sure an 18 year old rookie will be what we need right now.

  10. 1 hour ago, Bubbles said:

    Heard whispers that we & Peterborough want Nathan Fraser on loan. 

    I suggested he was possibly the player Warne had seen the other week that we were all trying to guess. Seems like a good option at the moment, tall and powerful for his age, knows where the goal is too.

  11. 9 minutes ago, CapeTownRams said:

    I wonder who it was who actually penned the brilliant Ram we have on the shirts now…?? Deserves a statue in the ground!!

    I can't seem to find the article where it named the designer that I read a few years back, but he was working for a local agency and was a Leeds fan... probably the reason he doesn't have a statue 😉 

  12. 2 minutes ago, Gerry Daly said:

    I think the reports that we had agreed a fee and he was here for a medical were premature. Hope I'm proved wrong but this length of delay points to that

    There's pictures leaked of him in a derby kit having his press photos taken. I'm pretty sure the fee and medical would've been sorted before that. This is just a PR delay for whatever reason, could be at the request of Charlton or our own timeline.

  13. 15 minutes ago, Ghost of Clough said:

    I can't see it being a player who only came on for 20 minutes. I can't see a forward who played who we could be looking at either (see Caerphilly Ram's comments)

    Looking at other fixtures I can't see anyone else fitting the bill. There had been a media link to us being interested in Olakigbe, so perhaps Warne was told he'd be involved, but due to how the match was going (Brentford defending a narrow lead for most of the match( he wasn't brought on until a little later when they needed a different attacking option.

    The forward was recommended, Warne didn't say it was someone we were actively interested in. Fraser is a 6'2 striker with 2 goals in 107 first team minutes for Wolves. Possibly the sort of player that an agent or scout would recommend to us.

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