Ghost of Clough

Mendez-Laing from another Bird assist 🔥 

Looks like Collins will be off with an injury

1 minute ago, Caerphilly Ram said:

Something happened early in the first half, it was in the bottom right corner of the screen so wasn’t the focus of the camera but Adams was squaring up to one of their players, he seemed livid and Bird (I think) stepped in to calm him down. Wonder if something unpleasant was said to him, pure speculation on my part, but he was riled and they’ve been getting at him ever since.

Was that when he was fouled after he had crossed the ball?

Adams - pushed to the ground at the weekend and gets booked. Now fouled in the corner and gets a talking to. L1 refs are shocking

3 points off top with a game in hand as results stand

Edit: or not 😬

Adams now has 3 yellows in 3 games 😅

Arms all over Collins yet again

Mendez-Laing ran out of play and crossed the ball. Lino THEN flagged, followed by the ref's whistle.

Mendez-Laing yellow. Whatever happened to "play to the whistle" 😅

1 hour ago, Gerry Daly said:

Why

58 minutes ago, StarterForTen said:

Would that suggest the club spends circa £17m a year on costs other than player wages?

57 minutes ago, Simmo’s left foot said:

How do you work that out? 

This link gives a reasonable estimate for non playing staff wages for a similar size club.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.gazettelive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/money-go-hidden-costs-running-15860716.amp

Bird in the form of his life now!

30 minutes ago, DiggerB said:

Out of interest do you have to plug in on the tv or can you link over WiFi?. Whenever I try I only get the audio, but no picture

Laptop with HDMI will always work. I usually just watch in on my firestick using the default Internet browser.

If you're only getting audio, it'll be because you're in the UK for an overseas only fixture. Try taking a trip abroad.

1 minute ago, Simmo’s left foot said:

45% is a really good sign that the club is being well run. He has also mentioned that the EFL are looking towards having a clear % of turnover limit for all  clubs. That's the way football needs to be going forward, so no more unaffordable contracts and clubs relying on wealthy owners to make good silly losses. Player salary levels also need looking at to! In some cases they should be halved at least.

I've found his interview to be a very good listen actually. Well done to him.

45% player wages is still a significant operating loss each season - £5m minimum, more likely around thr £7.5m mark

2 minutes ago, inter politics said:

Theoretical question: can you stream the match via RAMSTV (same account) on two different devices?

Yes. I have had it on 2 TVs, my laptop, and my phone at the same time 😉

6 minutes ago, DE56Ram said:

Is it 4-3-3 or 4-3-2-1 ? Either way I really like the look of it too 🐏⚽️👍

Or 631?

6 minutes ago, Jubbs said:

45% wage bill to turnover apparently. 

I don't believe that for a second.

Isn't that just player wages? That'll take us to £9.5m on just the players - a figure which will be higher than all but 4 other clubs' total wage bill.

We had a total wage bill close to £14m last season (£1.5m of that was Bielik). Our total this season will be close to that.

19 minutes ago, enachops said:

Oh come on. CEO and finance officer of a club going into admin. Of course he has some responsibility. Morris is the ultimate one of course, but Pearce constantly said we weren’t in danger of FFP. He was wrong. 

What's he able to publicly take responsibility for when it's covered by an NDA?

1 minute ago, TheHomunculusLives said:

Based on long-term potential, which players in our academy have the highest ceiling if they fulfil their talent? Based on a scenario whereby their attitude is good and they don't have serious injuries.

On the limited evidence I've seen, I'd say Jack Thompson and Cruz Allen.

DRobinson and DBrown are closest to the first team and should have had more minutes this season to help them transition from youth football to men's.

JThompson is my man of the match most weeks now. He's an excellent shot stopper and calm when playing out from the back.

I really like Cox who is perfectly suited to Warne's LCB role. Versitile enough to play LB or LWB too. Eventually I'd like to see him at LCB with Cashin moved central.

Gill was a regular at LB for the U18s last season despite being an U16 player. He's now being introdcued to U21 football.

Hawkins is another who was fast tracked. 17 U18 games when still an U16 player, then 16 games at U21 when a first year scholar. Earlier in the season I stated he needed to start adding end product to his game, which he has started to do over the past coiple of months. He's a simialr type of player to Bird, is currently a DM but could be moved further forward eventually, just like Warne's done with Bird.

Allen is a special player. He was introduced to the U18s late last season and scored 2 goals in 4 apps. Since the summer he has really kicked on. He's scored 3 goals in 343 mins for Wales U17 and 7 goal contributions in 719 minuts for our U18s. He's recently stepped up to the U21s too (scoring on his only start) He's also an excellent freekick taker. Mainly an AM but can play anywhere in midfield or on the wings. He's still only 16.

5 minutes ago, enachops said:

One of the questions was about his role in the previous regime. He could have spoken about that. Not everything is covered through an NDA. It’s not financial records or meetings he was asked to disclose. He just hid behind the NDA as he does for most things. 

You'll probably find pretty much everything SP did whilst working under Mel is now covered by an NDA

1 minute ago, enachops said:

Yes the NDA’s are in place but there are certain things he can surely talk about

You don't know what's incldued in the NDA, so you can't claim there are things he can talk about but chooses to avoid.

3 hours ago, kevinhectoring said:

A careful listen to Warne’s pre Exeter presser sort of supports this, tho’ whether the move was Warne’s or Max’s decision is not made clear    
Great shame he’s going 

Bird wanted to move on, Warne was happy with it being a sale with loan back

44 minutes ago, Returning ram said:

Derby lost DM, Knight, Dobbin, Robert's, Davies, have two forwards out injured...I could go on. 

Are you suggesting Warne has made us weaker or stronger?

1 hour ago, Crewton said:

Another myth that doesn't stand up to scrutiny.

What will our starting 11 be tonight?

23 minutes ago, David said:

With football though, it’s not like snooker where you can line the balls up and have 2 players take the same shot.

xG fails to take into account the ability of the opposition defenders and keeper.

It fails to take into account weather conditions.

It fails to take into account the current situation in so many way, home, away, comfortable lead, behind, fitness level, carrying knocks.

If it was a game played between robots in an indoor arena I could see the value.

Comparing it to shots as a metric is nonsensical, shots and shots on target are facts. Indisputable facts.

Nothing more than a stat that with possession gives you a rough idea as to how the game as gone.

Never really see anyone give it much value as you see others try and give xG.

Just watch the game. You will know how it’s gone and who played better, who created the better chances to win the game and who’s finishing or mistakes let them down.

You're right - there are many variables and it is 'just a stat'. But, it does take account of these somewhat by giving the average liklihood of a player scoring agaisnt an average defence with an average goalkeeper, etc.. It still comes down to how you use the stat, just like any other stat - be in possession, passing, tackles, whatever tickles your fancy...

Nothing beats watching a game and it's the only realy way you can enjoy the game. But, what if you can't watch all 552 League 1 games to make a fair judgement? How do you compare how you're doing with other teams? You could compare us against them based on how they played against us, but that's when you get some people saying Peterborough are the best L1 side of all time, whilst some of their own fans are worried they won't even finish top 6. In a lot of cases, stats assist with making a more balanced opinion than just what you see with your eyes. We see "XXXX doesn't run enough" all the time. Well if you saw their running stats, you may think differently.

Interpretation is also important. Which is better: 10 shots or 2 shots? Now what if both had a total xG of 1 (10 shots of 0.1 xG vs 2 shots of 0.5 xG)? 
Whilst the xG suggests both teams should have both scored 1, there's actually a 75% probability that the team with just 2 shots has scored, whilst there's only a 65% probability that the team with 10 shots has scored. It's not until that team has had 13 shots worth 0.1 xG (1.3 xG total) where they both have a 75% probability of a goal.
Team 1 only need 5 shots (2.5 xG) to have more than a 95% probability of having scored. Team 2 needs 30 shots (3.0 xG) for the same probability.

3 hours ago, IlsonDerby said:

I’ll be honest - my problem is not Warne and has never been Warne. My problem is performances and that more often than not we still feel along way away from what he thinks his football should look like at full flow yet he’s had 3 transfer windows and a very healthy budget to work with. 
 

I’m pretty sure that our budget is higher than any of the Rotherham sides he took up. 
 

If we were playing the football I think he envisages his teams playing then yeah it’d be a bit of a change from the possession based stuff we were a bit more used to but ultimately it’d still be entertaining to watch but in a different way. 

The highest wage bill Warne had in L1 was £6.5m (inclusive of non-playing staff). The budget at Derby is double that.

12 hours ago, Jourdan said:

Bolton, Barnsley, and Peterborough all finished last season above us and they are all in contention again this season. They are good teams. They are the benchmark for us this season. We knew that if we wanted to get promoted, it’s these teams we would have to outperform.

There is no contradiction. I am saying they are good teams in a competitive league. If the league wasn’t competitive, these teams and indeed ourselves would be dropping points far less frequently.

More waffle? I’ll put be putting Brussels out of business at this rate. I express my opinions plenty, if you disagree with them or can’t comprehend them, that’s fine.

How much of an advantage have we had with Wigan and Reading being in financial difficulties and having points deductions really? Reading and Wigan have beaten us this season. Reading have pipped us to transfer targets. Surely it’s the likes of Portsmouth, Oxford, Blackpool and Stevenage who have profited from this?

Bolton - Their 2 best players from last season were only on loan and have failed to replace them with equally as good players.

Barnsley - Lost their manager who was a significant step up from the previous 4 managers they had, so were isntantly weaker. They also sold their keeper and 2 best CBs, all have been replaced with worse players.

Peterborough - Reduced their squad size so much that a RB being recalled and a winger being injured is massively derailing their season. Tried to sell their top scorer, failed, then dropped him to a backup option. Sold/released 3 of their top 5 scorers from last season, one of which was also their joint 2nd top assister with another of those being sold being their 5th top assister. They had a massive rebuild job to do over the summer