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The playoffs: is playing at home second really an advantage?


Thierry Ennui

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1 minute ago, Penelope Pendrex said:

Can anyone explain the thinking behind it? Seems to me you could make an argument either way if you wanted, particularly with away goals not counting.

You know what you have to do I front of your home crowd so it's is a big advantage.

 

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By the 2nd leg you know exactly what is required to get you overall victory. In the first leg, you know you itd still not over and you are only half way through the tie.

If extra time or penalties or needed they are at your home ground also.

If you get to Wembley you get to have a massive pitch invasion.

 

In reality teams 'prefer' the 2nd leg at home, but in all truth, the thing which really decides the tie is who is the better team over the 2 legs no matter who is at home first.

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It doesn't make a blind bit of difference to me. Everything is based on that first result to determine what you need to do at the next game. Shut up shop, all out attack etc.

whether home or away you need a result in that first match. If it's away first a draw is a result

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19 minutes ago, curtains said:

You know what you have to do I front of your home crowd so it's is a big advantage.

 

You know what you need to do in the first leg, regardless of whether you are at home or away, score more than the other team over 2 legs.

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Lads just need to beat Hull 4-0 at home again and it won't matter which leg it happens. We aren't gonna lose by 4 goals at their place.

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4 minutes ago, AshfieldRam said:

from recent memory, i can only think of Palace winning at Brighton when they were away second leg. 

 

I think it would make a massive difffernce psycholically if nothing else.  

Let's have a look at teams that made the final playing at home first.

Palace 2013 won it

Blackpool 2012 got to the final

Reading 2011 got to the final

Blackpool 2010 won it

Burnley 2009 won it

Leeds 2006 got to the final

Preston and West Ham 2005 is the last time both teams playing at home first got to the final

Palace 2004 won it

Wolves 2003 won it

Birmingham and Norwich 2002

Bolton and Watford 1999

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48 minutes ago, jagerbob said:

By the 2nd leg you know exactly what is required to get you overall victory. In the first leg, you know you itd still not over and you are only half way through the tie.

If extra time or penalties or needed they are at your home ground also.

If you get to Wembley you get to have a massive pitch invasion.

 

In reality teams 'prefer' the 2nd leg at home, but in all truth, the thing which really decides the tie is who is the better team over the 2 legs no matter who is at home first.

apart from when we beat a superior Southampton

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Nice to open iPro to show the probable Hull away game on screens. Mel could go state of the art on beam backs as long as the away ticket allocation is sold. If we do get promoted then they could do every untelevised game at the iPro. Go for it Mel. You have done everything else well.

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6 minutes ago, Rampage said:

Nice to open iPro to show the probable Hull away game on screens. Mel could go state of the art on beam backs as long as the away ticket allocation is sold. If we do get promoted then they could do every untelevised game at the iPro. Go for it Mel. You have done everything else well.

This was done for Brighton away in 13/14, and Bournemouth last season - so its a go-er

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34 minutes ago, rynny said:

Let's have a look at teams that made the final playing at home first.

Palace 2013 won it

Blackpool 2012 got to the final

Reading 2011 got to the final

Blackpool 2010 won it

Burnley 2009 won it

Leeds 2006 got to the final

Preston and West Ham 2005 is the last time both teams playing at home first got to the final

Palace 2004 won it

Wolves 2003 won it

Birmingham and Norwich 2002

Bolton and Watford 1999

Cant remember the year, but the only time Derby County had the playoff semi home leg first, was when we played Millwall.

We got to the final. Think we won 3-0 or 3-1 at their place when they kept running on the pitch trying to get the game abandoned.

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2 minutes ago, jagerbob said:

Cant remember the year, but the only time Derby County had the playoff semi home leg first, was when we played Millwall.

We got to the final. Think we won 3-0 or 3-1 at their place when they kept running on the pitch trying to get the game abandoned.

Yeah I couldn't be bothered to go back to 94 with it. 2-0 at home, 3-1 at their place.

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3 hours ago, rynny said:

Let's have a look at teams that made the final playing at home first.

Palace 2013 won it

Blackpool 2012 got to the final

Reading 2011 got to the final

Blackpool 2010 won it

Burnley 2009 won it

Leeds 2006 got to the final

Preston and West Ham 2005 is the last time both teams playing at home first got to the final

Palace 2004 won it

Wolves 2003 won it

Birmingham and Norwich 2002

Bolton and Watford 1999

So what you're saying is, between 2015 and 1999, out of the 34 teams making the final there were 14 that played their home leg of the semis first? Though not a massive sample size it seems that having your away leg first could provide a slight advantage. 

edit: though 8 winners out of a possible 17 have won it playing their home leg first.. evens it up a bit. Though it suggests reaching the final is more likely with your home leg first. 

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