IlsonDerby

It is by this grizzled “old school” defender! 😁
Nyambe, Nelson, Cashin & Elder are the strongest back four in this League and can get us promoted out of this division.
……………..…just a few words about Elder, really begining to look the part, thought he was excellent last night.👍🐏

I'd be happy to see us at least try and play like that.  After all we've got much better players than Exeter.  Who knows it might even be successful.

Yeah he was playing a bit like he wasn’t 100% so wasn’t surprised he was taken off at half time. 
Why is it so controversial to acknowledge that Exeter knock it about really well and were playing the better football?
 
Our higher quality showed over the 90 but imagine what it’d look like if they had our squad/budget and were coached to play football like that? 
 
We played really well on the break. 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Rubbish. 
 
Shots on target/shots assume each shot is just as likely to go in which leads to people assuming ‘more shots = better performance’. xG rightfully builds on that over simplified view and looks at the quality of chances rather than just quantity of chances. I can’t see how anyone can say it’s not a useful metric. 
 
Surely moved past smarmy pundits giving it the ‘the only stat that matters is the goals scored stat’ large. 
 
It was clear from xG that despite derby not having the results we’d like under Rosenior we were creating quality chances that we simply weren’t taking. (The eye sight test would tell you that Collins had a howler of a start to last season but xG took the emotion out of those claims that we were a boring team that didn’t attack. We did. We attacked very well. We just couldn’t hit a barn door). 
Whereas Rotherham were massively over performing against their xG at the start of last season and eventually started falling like a stone with only the over performance at the start of the season keeping them up ultimately. They regressed back to where their underlying stats said they should have been. 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

Best goal difference in the division… 

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

We did touch on it a few days' ago in the What questions would you ask? thread, @Caerphilly Ram.
But I agree it warrants its own thread and I predict it will be very busy on here later! 
I'm biased because I have talked to Stephen Pearce on quite a few occasions at meetings and also heard him at the September fans'  forum. I find him open and approachable - and actually, quite humble. 
Do I think he deliberately fibs? No. Do I think there are things he won't ever be able to talk about legally? Yes. Mel Morris will have hired the best legal expertise to make sure of this.
But your response to Pearce and what he says is coloured by how you feel about his involvement with our previous owner and I feel that sadly he is unable to change that perception simply because he can't answer some of the questions people want to know the answers to.
My experience is I know that the previous owner wasn't honest with us and was definitely the one pulling the strings, that makes me prepared to give Pearce a chance. (Cue John Lennon song!) 

Rubbish. 
 
Shots on target/shots assume each shot is just as likely to go in which leads to people assuming ‘more shots = better performance’. xG rightfully builds on that over simplified view and looks at the quality of chances rather than just quantity of chances. I can’t see how anyone can say it’s not a useful metric. 
 
Surely moved past smarmy pundits giving it the ‘the only stat that matters is the goals scored stat’ large. 
 
It was clear from xG that despite derby not having the results we’d like under Rosenior we were creating quality chances that we simply weren’t taking. (The eye sight test would tell you that Collins had a howler of a start to last season but xG took the emotion out of those claims that we were a boring team that didn’t attack. We did. We attacked very well. We just couldn’t hit a barn door). 
Whereas Rotherham were massively over performing against their xG at the start of last season and eventually started falling like a stone with only the over performance at the start of the season keeping them up ultimately. They regressed back to where their underlying stats said they should have been. 

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

But bought in 3 full/wingbacks, the cb he’d been courting all summer, a better back up keeper. Dobbin wasn’t getting a start, Davies has been replaced by the better Nelson (hurts saying that), McGoldricks goals have been replaced by Collins and NML stepping up. Forsyth has been solid and I genuinely think Elder is an excellent player at this level who will win fans around. 
 
Knight the real loss in the middle but spent just as much time at right back last season and I’d argue Nyambe is a better right back. 
 
There’s no doubting for me that we are a stronger outfit than last season and a fit back up striker away from being arguably the strongest squad in the division. 

Rubbish. 
 
Shots on target/shots assume each shot is just as likely to go in which leads to people assuming ‘more shots = better performance’. xG rightfully builds on that over simplified view and looks at the quality of chances rather than just quantity of chances. I can’t see how anyone can say it’s not a useful metric. 
 
Surely moved past smarmy pundits giving it the ‘the only stat that matters is the goals scored stat’ large. 
 
It was clear from xG that despite derby not having the results we’d like under Rosenior we were creating quality chances that we simply weren’t taking. (The eye sight test would tell you that Collins had a howler of a start to last season but xG took the emotion out of those claims that we were a boring team that didn’t attack. We did. We attacked very well. We just couldn’t hit a barn door). 
Whereas Rotherham were massively over performing against their xG at the start of last season and eventually started falling like a stone with only the over performance at the start of the season keeping them up ultimately. They regressed back to where their underlying stats said they should have been. 

I think ultimately due to the NDAs we’ll never know how much SP just accepted what Mel was doing vs whether he pushed back. 
 
Think the amortisation stuff is a bit harsh to beat him with. He found a loophole within the rules at the time and exploited it as many curly haired prats from Tyneside have done with tax losses previously. 
 
I also think unless he knew that Mel was planning on stopping funding us and placing us into admin that he was working within the budget set by the owner. 
 
I just can’t imagine DC keeping him around if he was guilty of anything really bad.

Rubbish. 
 
Shots on target/shots assume each shot is just as likely to go in which leads to people assuming ‘more shots = better performance’. xG rightfully builds on that over simplified view and looks at the quality of chances rather than just quantity of chances. I can’t see how anyone can say it’s not a useful metric. 
 
Surely moved past smarmy pundits giving it the ‘the only stat that matters is the goals scored stat’ large. 
 
It was clear from xG that despite derby not having the results we’d like under Rosenior we were creating quality chances that we simply weren’t taking. (The eye sight test would tell you that Collins had a howler of a start to last season but xG took the emotion out of those claims that we were a boring team that didn’t attack. We did. We attacked very well. We just couldn’t hit a barn door). 
Whereas Rotherham were massively over performing against their xG at the start of last season and eventually started falling like a stone with only the over performance at the start of the season keeping them up ultimately. They regressed back to where their underlying stats said they should have been. 

Think I’ve said it before but if it was called something like “chance quality” instead of expected goals then you’d have a lot less people poo-pooing it for whatever reason they do.
It’s not the be all and end all but can add context if you want it to. Does make me laugh when people will say it’s meaningless and then happily sit there quoting shots or shots on target.