REDCAR Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Someone came up with a rather clever idea about putting a bet on Derby not going up.... has anyone actually asked a bookie the question? Is it really a “no lose” situation?? This is obviously in relation to the early bird season ticket renewal and the money back offer from MM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sith Happens Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Redcar said: Someone came up with a rather clever idea about putting a bet on Derby not going up.... has anyone actually asked a bookie the question? Is it really a “no lose” situation?? This is obviously in relation to the early bird season ticket renewal and the money back offer from MM. Just put one on derby to go up...double win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yani P Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Especially when they were an insulting 5/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bwash_Ram Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 I must admit i did this for the last final, put £200 on qpr to win and got £410 back as i recall. We were very slight favourites for that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deano180 Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 If we get to the final I will lay Derby, will study prices and bet correct amount to guarantee at least a half price ST regardless of result. I pay for 4 STs, just worth hedging IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zag zig Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, deano180 said: If we get to the final I will lay Derby, will study prices and bet correct amount to guarantee a half price ST regardless of result. I pay for 4 STs, just worth hedging IMO. Yep my thoughts too. Why be greedy, can watch next year in either division half price, in my case £490 win (saving), just needs Monday to come in first ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDCAR Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 So will a bookie accept the bet of “for Derby not to go up”...? Woukd imagine decent odds and well worth £100. If they do go up, I lose the bet but Mel pays me £750 back!!! Have I got it right!? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDCAR Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 1 hour ago, Paul71 said: Just put one on derby to go up...double win. I could lose that though, betting not to go up you can’t lose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sith Happens Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 Just now, Redcar said: I could lose that though, betting not to go up you can’t lose. You can, you have the knowledge you bet against your team. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carnero Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, Redcar said: So will a bookie accept the bet of “for Derby not to go up”...? Woukd imagine decent odds and well worth £100. If they do go up, I lose the bet but Mel pays me £750 back!!! Have I got it right!? Lol Won't be decent odds at all as we're the outsiders of the 4. You need to wait for the final and bet on the opposition to win promotion (NOT to win in 90 mins) but it still won't be as easy as the QPR game - we were favourites for that, this year we'd likely be the underdog in a final so you'd be backing the odds on favourite. If it's £750 you need then you'd likely have to stick £400 on the opponent to get promoted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rynny Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 10 minutes ago, Redcar said: So will a bookie accept the bet of “for Derby not to go up”...? Woukd imagine decent odds and well worth £100. If they do go up, I lose the bet but Mel pays me £750 back!!! Have I got it right!? Lol Looking at one sight they only have the outright winner of the playoffs, and we are 10/3, the least favourite, Fulham are still favourites at 9/4, Villa are 5/2 and Boro 11/4. The odds on Derby not being promoted are not going to be worth it if you want the full amount (£100 on us to get promoted will render you £433.33 and to not get promoted will be less than that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carnero Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 3 minutes ago, rynny said: Looking at one sight they only have the outright winner of the playoffs, and we are 10/3, the least favourite, Fulham are still favourites at 9/4, Villa are 5/2 and Boro 11/4. The odds on Derby not being promoted are not going to be worth it if you want the full amount (£100 on us to get promoted will render you £433.33 and to not get promoted will be less than that). Derby NOT to be promoted would be around 1/10... so around a tenner... he needs to wait for the possible final, only then it becomes a worthwhile bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDCAR Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 So what if odds not to go up are 2/1... would still put £100 towards my ST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shipley Ram Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 I've just checked betfair to win £5 you would have to risk £18, not great odds. On the positive side I can cash out my pre season bet for Derby to go up for a 34 pence profit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDCAR Posted May 12, 2018 Author Share Posted May 12, 2018 1/10 are the odds for us to not go up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inglorius Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 20 minutes ago, Redcar said: So will a bookie accept the bet of “for Derby not to go up”...? Woukd imagine decent odds and well worth £100. If they do go up, I lose the bet but Mel pays me £750 back!!! Have I got it right!? Lol To give you an example Fulham were 9/4 on to beat us over two legs before the game and Derby were 7/4 against. Looking at the odds now after the game both teams are 6/5 on to progress through to the final so realistically if you back Derby NOT to win the playoffs in their entirety given this then the odds you will get will be pretty poor tbh and you'd have go lay a lot of money to make any significant winnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rynny Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 5 minutes ago, Redcar said: 1/10 are the odds for us to not go up? At a guess, no one is offering them on their site, you would have to request a bet on twitter (or into the bookies) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EnigmaRam Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 I don't bet, mugs game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carnero Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 8 minutes ago, Redcar said: So what if odds not to go up are 2/1... would still put £100 towards my ST. THEY WILL BE BIG ODDS ON TO NOT GO UP!!!@! JESUS F C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carnero Posted May 12, 2018 Share Posted May 12, 2018 13 minutes ago, Carnero said: Derby NOT to be promoted would be around 1/10... so around a tenner... he needs to wait for the possible final, only then it becomes a worthwhile bet. Just done the maths using your odds... I works out at 1/6 for us NOT to be promoted @rynny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.