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When do you give up on the playoffs?


Chester40

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Late & improbable runs to glory are so commonplace in English football that it's actually beneficial to be a few points off where you want to be at this stage. Fulham have got absolutely zero chance of the play offs now - they've got too many points. Derby however are perfectly placed and will almost certainly be promoted this season.

That's based on maths.

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If we win every game, which is extremely unlikely, we can make it.

Having said that, should we win every game including the trip to Hillsbrough, we would need Sheffield Wednesday to pick up no more than 10 points from their other five remaining matches.

 

 

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5 minutes ago, Bris Vegas said:

If we win every game, which is extremely unlikely, we can make it.

Having said that, should we win every game including the trip to Hillsbrough, we would need Sheffield Wednesday to pick up no more than 10 points from their other five remaining matches.

 

 

So assuming they won't get anything at Newcastle - they'll need 3 wins and a draw from their remaining 4. 

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26 minutes ago, IoW Derby said:

Chris martin to score winner for fulham on last day of season at sheff wed - allowing derby into play offs!! If carlsberg did football......

If that scenario happened, could we have Chris Martin back for the play offs ?

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Blimey we have gone from 80/1 to around 50/1 for promotion after tonight's result, and before we played QPR you could have got 150/1 with some bookies. If we win at Birmingham and Fulham, Sheff W and Preston all drop points, what will the odds drop to then.

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PistoldPete2
33 minutes ago, Andicis said:

Wednesday have Newcastle on the weekend. Assuming they lose that. We beat Brum it's 4 points. Provided we then beat the Wendies it's 1 point. Doesn't look such a big gap now.

Well that assumes fulham don't win at the weekend too. We pretty much need to win every game. Then look at anyone else has got. 

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Just now, PistoldPete2 said:

Well that assumes fulham don't win at the weekend too. We pretty much need to win every game. Then look at anyone else has got. 

I personally don't believe we'll have to worry about Fulham. They have to go away to Norwich (toughie), play vs a red hot Villa, and go away to Huddersfield too. I don't think they'll be there come the end. I think ultimately we need to worry about the wendies.

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