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Interesting


WilkoRam

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The relegation talk was always silly.

Here is an updated probability density per position plot for us:

"BuEupE2" alt="BuEupE2">

Relegation is now rated at virtually impossible, or odds of around 43,757-6.

Edit: Updated for today's results

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I feel bound to observe that this graph shows a lightly softer curve towards the bottom than the slightly more abrupt profile going forwards.

I'm not sure of the significance of this, but i can feel it getting my gander up.

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I feel bound to observe that this graph shows a lightly softer curve towards the bottom than the slightly more abrupt profile going forwards.

I'm not sure of the significance of this, but i can feel it getting my gander up.

It's because few points separate the mid table, whilst there is a quite a jump from the midtable to the playoffs and playoff chasers.
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In two posts therein lays bare the positive and negative juxtaposition.... I love this furum :lol:

just pointing it out. when i looked at the latest updated table I thought a win against Leeds and we're moving up. Wolves won today so look at there position and they are six points behind us.
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The Independent noted we were only 8 points off the top 6, which I found interesting. We're not being counted out yet. Of course, a run to a decent finish (which is now 12th or above) would have to involve a dramatic and out-of-character turn for the better in away performances.

 

Bizarre league this season. A good run of a few games completely changes everything.

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The Independent noted we were only 8 points off the top 6, which I found interesting. We're not being counted out yet. Of course, a run to a decent finish (which is now 12th or above) would have to involve a dramatic and out-of-character turn for the better in away performances.

 

Bizarre league this season. A good run of a few games completely changes everything.

We won't get near the playoffs unless something extraordinary happens. 51 points, 7 games to go, we'd probably need at least 19 points or the playoffs, so that's 6 wins and a draw in those 7... not likely...

We might beat last season's points total though, and if we lose less than 4 we'll have lost less this season.

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The Independent noted we were only 8 points off the top 6, which I found interesting. We're not being counted out yet. Of course, a run to a decent finish (which is now 12th or above) would have to involve a dramatic and out-of-character turn for the better in away performances.

Bizarre league this season. A good run of a few games completely changes everything.

I suppose that's why this thread is titled 'Interesting'.
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The problem with the old 'only 6 points clear of relegation' bit is that every single one of those teams below us except two would have to register 7 points more than we got from our final 7 games to go above us and leave us in the bottom 3.

 

I'd go as far as to say that 2 more points, 3 at the most, would ensure our safety. So the usual win at Dirty Road on Monday should see us all but safe. 

 

As far as the other end is concerned, I would venture that if we won our next 6 games, then we might still be in with a mathematical chance of the playoffs on the final day, but it would still be more than likely to end in heartbreak.

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The relegation talk was always silly.Here is an updated probability density per position plot for us:"BuEupE2" alt="BuEupE2">Relegation is now rated at virtually impossible, or odds of around 43,757-6.Edit: Updated for today's results

could you do my maths homework?
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could you do my maths homework?

 

It does seem extraordinary that a team with 45 points from 39 games ; projected total 53 points and a team with 44 points from 38 games , projected total also 53 points should both be in the bottom 3 when I cant remember a team ever being relegated with more than Festers 52 points some years back.

50 points is usually more than enough.

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We won't get near the playoffs unless something extraordinary happens. 51 points, 7 games to go, we'd probably need at least 19 points or the playoffs, so that's 6 wins and a draw in those 7... not likely...

We might beat last season's points total though, and if we lose less than 4 we'll have lost less this season.

 

 

We did that in the 1991/2 year I think going from mid-table to the play offs with 6 wins and a draws out of last 7.  Should have been 7 out of 7 we battered the opposition but they held out for a draw. In fact just missed out on automatic promo because wolves managed somehow to surrender a lead to lose against 10 man Boro.

 

Anyway back to the present no dont think its likely with our away record and 4 away games to come.

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