Sean

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/championship/
Interestingly, this site has Huddersfield as much more likely to go down than us

Quick reminder that Rotherham have a game every three days for about 2 weeks now. Their next game is on Thursday night.
It’s not a deep squad, they’ll pick up injuries and get fatigued. Not saying they’re guaranteed to go down but they’re still in a really tough position. Next two games are it for them, Cov and Birmingham, two six pointers that we’re not involved in.
We’ve noticeably improved since the break but not found the net enough. Norwich and Reading both played well, I think our form will translate into points over the next few games and will see us to the 50 point mark. I don’t think the lads are playing like they’re busy looking over their shoulder either, Rooney has them focused and performances reflect that.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/championship/
Interestingly, this site has Huddersfield as much more likely to go down than us

Wouldn't shock me if Huddersfield somehow slipped all the way through you know. Their fixtures are horrible and they can't buy a win at the minute.

Derby County are the experts at 'blowing it from here'

Derby County are the experts at 'blowing it from here'

Derby County are the experts at 'blowing it from here'

Getting boring now mate.

I can see Rotherham at best picking up 10 points for the rest of the season looking at their games on paper (not counting in fatigue and injuries etc)
Sheffield Wednesday may well also pick up 10 points in their final games if we include a pessimistic 3 points against us, but it would be a monumental effort for them to do so.
Wycombe seem like they are now dead and buried and may only pick up 4 points at best looking at their last five fixtures.
I'm not saying at all that things are done and dusted but it's looking realistic that two wins should seal it for us... ?

I can see Rotherham at best picking up 10 points for the rest of the season looking at their games on paper (not counting in fatigue and injuries etc)
Sheffield Wednesday may well also pick up 10 points in their final games if we include a pessimistic 3 points against us, but it would be a monumental effort for them to do so.
Wycombe seem like they are now dead and buried and may only pick up 4 points at best looking at their last five fixtures.
I'm not saying at all that things are done and dusted but it's looking realistic that two wins should seal it for us... ?

He's the bloke on the right
 

There's a lot more green at our end in that time frame...

Since you asked...
 

4-0. Christ above

2-0 Norwich

1-0 Norwich

1-0 Norwich

I’m still annoyed by the last match. We win, everyone else loses, it’s all happy and smiley, but wait, Brum have won. That’s it, we’re clearly doomed. But whether Brum win lose or draw, we’re still just as far from the relegation zone. 
in fact, today, with a minute to go, I’m not looking forward to the inevitable meltdown on this thread again, but even if Brum win 6-0 tomorrow, we’re still actually marginally further away from the relegation zone (us losing 3-1, rotherham losing 3-0). 
that’s all you can ask for really. As I said, it’s nice to hope we win every game, and everyone below and around us loses all their games, but that’s not going to happen. We’re not going to get to the end of the season winning every game. There are going to be days like today, 3 or 4 of them before the end of the season. We were always unlikely to get anything from reading. It’s frustrating, it’s depressing, but it’s not surprising. 
In fact I fully expected Rotherham to win today, so we’re 3 points better off over what I expected. 
don’t know what Brum are going to do tomorrow, and I don’t really care that much. I hope they lose, but it’s not really important as long as we keep gradually expanding the gap between us and whoever’s in 22nd. 

What if my mum had a Willy? She’d be my dad. What if Wycombe win every game to the end of the season? What if an asteroid hits the City Ground? 
I’d love every other team in the league to lose every game, and us to win every game,  but that’s not possible. If I could make a wish with a genie, it would be that Rotherham keep losing. Providing that keeps happening, I don’t really care what everyone else does. 

I WOULD RATHER they all lose, but if I had to pick one team it'd have to be Rotherham to stay down there. You and I want the same in an ideal world but I'm just being realistic that all we can do is try and open up as big a gap as possible to 22nd.

I'm being realistic but trying to see silver linings. Yes I want them all to lose if possible. If you can't see it from my viewpoint though then I'm done with this conversation.

Come on Wycombe!

Fair one, I forgot that games in hand = points on the board. 
there are so many ifs on this thread. If we loose our next game, and Rotherham win their next. If Rotherham win their games in hand. If Rotherham do better than their average, and we don’t pick up any more points. If Birmingham continue their winning streak. If, if, if. 
so much still has to happen and go against us for us to end this season relegated. We are certainly not the favourites to go down at this point. 
it just appears to be the default setting of most Derby fans that the worst case scenario will definitely, absolutely, positively happen. 

There's this strange assumption that Rotherham are suddenly capable of stringing multiple wins together Just because they happen to have games in hand. They average exactly 1 point per game over 35 games. Logic would suggest they're more likely end up on 46 points than 50+. We have 43 points with games against Blackburn, Preston, Birmingham & Sheff Weds all eminently winnable.