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About CornwallRam

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  • Birthday 25/01/1968

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    West Lower - Block L

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  1. Derby Snow - Game called off

    I've just seen Colin having a stroll around Derby
  2. A new Cold War

    I think it's becoming pretty clear that Putin has developed a new secret weapon. He's crippling Britain by sending us Siberian weather. It's way more effective that throwing out a few diplomats.
  3. Xbox Help

    It'll be an Apple thing. I bet it's your Homepod. My guess is that they have a secret programme in there which deliberately disrupts any Microsoft product in the vicinity. Scrap your Homepod and get an Alexa device. And for added peace of mind, try replacing your iPhone with a proper Android phone, junk your Mac and get a proper PC and ditch your iPad and get a better tablet for a quarter the price.
  4. Derby County v Cardiff City F.C.

    With several inches of snow forecast for the weekend I'd be surprised if the game goes ahead. Mel might even be wise to whisk off all the ground staff for a warm weather break - and Doris the tea lady was unable to switch on the under soil heating or clear the car parks of snow.
  5. Brexit or Eurin?

    Of course it's all conjectural - as is any decision based upon assessments of something that hasn't happened yet. You seem to infer that it's better to go with with blind optimism than try to actually analyse the likely outcomes of Brexit. Or maybe you have some proof that it'll be a land of milk and honey? I'm certainly not saying that Brexit will be a disaster. The point you're missing is that I'm not talking about Brexit - which could be OK if negotiated well. I'm talking about a 'bad Brexit', which will clog our borders, add tariffs to imports and exports, restrict UK and EU citizens from working in the opposite jurisdiction and generally weaken the UK economy. My argument is that such an outcome would be far more damaging to the UK than the EU and that it could actually be beneficial to the latter. How can a 'bad Brext' not increase the time and expense of logistics? Brexit itself doesn't by definition have to, but a bad Brexit does. That's the whole point. It'll introduce extra border checks and customs duties. Of course you can still recruit skilled staff from the EU -we haven't left yet! Are you really suggesting that VAG trade at the bottom end of the market? I suspect that may indicate a bit of a South East paradigm. For us plebs in the Midlands they're bloody expensive! I think that the EU would prefer us to stay in - mainly because we pay in such a huge amount. I think that they're 'next best' scenario is a 'bad Brexit' where our economy is damaged, leaving EU countries to capitalise and grab some growth and providing a warning to other countries think of leaving. Their worst option is that the UK thrives outside the EU, successfully competes for trade and acts as a positive example for other would be exiters.
  6. Brexit or Eurin?

    Proof please? Or is that just your opinion made to sound like fact? There's no 'proof' in any of this. Yet I have yet to read any informed opinion that there won't be a short term economic price to pay for Brexit. My answers are all predicated on the notion of a 'bad brexit', which by definition will hurt the UK's economy. If even a 'good Brexit' is likely to cause some short term issues, it is hard to question the logic that a bad Brexit would trigger a short term economic slowdown lasting two quarters or more. Do you think that we will never trade with the EU again? Of course we will trade with the EU again, but a bad Brexit would by definition make our exports less competitive. This would give opportunities for local suppliers to make inroads into our customer base. Also. a bad Brexit would affect UK logistics, making deliveries more expensive and longer. Why & Who? Trained and skilled EU citizens no longer allowed to come here to work, making it harder for engineering and tech firms to recruit. Low skilled migrant workers making low value products more expensive as the labour costs will increase. Conjecture. How do you know what these deals contain and what the reado offs will be? Because trade deals are all trade offs. US trade deals have already been proposed and all demand the liberalisation of the 'health market'. China and India have also made noise to that effect. OK the negotiations might lead to a different outcome, but we'll be in a position of weakness as we'll be trying to make up a shortfall and they'll just be trying to add growth. So those Japanese, Korean vehicles etc already have the 10% and now you add 10% to the German cars. They are still 10% more expensive as to what they are today but the Japs are still the same. They will worry and they are worried. My point is that European cars aren't trading at the bottom end of the market. If you want a BMW you aren't going to buy a Kia because it's cheaper - you're going to pay more for the beamer. Yet in reverse, if you are a German, you might chose to buy a Renault because the Toyota you were interested in has suddenly gone up by 10%.
  7. Brexit or Eurin?

    From a recent House of Commons briefing paper. 'The EU, taken as a whole is the UK’s largest trading partner. In 2016, UK exports to the EU were £236 billion (43% of all UK exports). UK imports from the EU were £318 billion (54% of all UK imports).' http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7851/CBP-7851.pdf
  8. Brexit or Eurin?

    Project fear hasn't been debunked though - just because Brexiteers say that things will be fine, doesn't mean that they will. None of the forecast models are robust enough to be proof of anything. It'll be a decade before anyone really knows what Brexit meant. Even the most optimistic acknowledge that there'll be some short term pain. It can be pretty much guaranteed that Brexit will look like a very bad idea two years after it happens with the UK in a deep recession. It'll be what happens then that will provide the real evidence for the wisdom of Brexit. We could bounce back as a stronger global power, trading freely with the rest of the world and growing stronger every year. Or we could continue on a downward trajectory and suffer a full on 1930 depression. No one knows yet, so Gideon might be proved right, On your other points, there's no reason to suspect that our rest of the world trade will increase by anywhere near enough to make up for the shortfall in EU trade that a poor Brexit would entail. I think that the UK will be far less competitive as it will have lost a huge pool of skilled labour and will pay more for its raw materials. Any trade deals are likely to involve the UK giving something up to gain access to markets. For a US trade deal we'll need to end the NHS, for China we'll need to relax intellectual property and safety laws, for India we'll have to pay reparations for past events. And then we've got produce stuff cheaper than those nations can do locally to sell it there - or we'll just get a massive balance of payments disaster. The political and financial costs of such deals will prevent them from being anything like the saviours that you portray. We don't have to import food from the EU, we do so because it is cheaper, more practical or unavailable elsewhere. EU food will cost us more so there will be an inherent price rise. That may be offset by some changes to importing patterns, but I would suggest that a net increase in the cost of food is far more likely after Brexit. Why should the EU motor manufacturers worry about the cost of vehicles in Britain? We have the choice of buying one of their vehicles at a 10% premium, or buying one from China, India Korea, Japan or the US etc. at a 10% premium. It will make British built cars a little cheaper, but there'll still be import tariffs on imported components and raw materials. UK labour costs are still higher than most EU countries. I would suggest that the impact for Mercedes will be minimal, and might even be positive as a few EU and US customers will chose Mercs over Jags as the latter will have gone up in price. IMO there's no way that becoming a smaller player in an increasingly global market place can result in anything other than being squeezed. That'll leave the EU in prime position to benefit from our weakness. A bad Brexit is disastrous for us and potentially helpful for the EU.
  9. Brexit or Eurin?

    It depends which left you are talking about. The hard left, led by the John Lansman and fronted by the puppet Jeremy Corbyn, don't like the EU because it controls state subsidy and frowns upon nationalisation, insists on high sales taxes and negotiates with big business. They are just as Brexiteer as Farage, but try not to sound as enthusiastic for fear of appearing xenophobic. The centre left were too busy trying to oust Corbyn to fully engage with the Brexit debate.
  10. Brexit or Eurin?

    I'm not sure that it does. A bad Brexit sees the UK's banking, automotive and engineering sectors become unncompetitive in Europe. These are all multi-national companies who will merely relocate onto the European mainland, thus making existing EU countries wealthier. It would see other UK goods hit with import tariffs making them less appealing to EU buyers, thus reducing trade amongst producers who can't merely relocate. Expensive British goods - now stripped of EU intellectual rights protection would open up opportunities for EU companies to offer cheaper, locally produced alternatives. Again, the EU becomes a little wealthier. A bad Brexit sees EU exports hit with import tariffs into the UK. That should make EU goods uncompetitive to UK consumers. However, we only buy unique or value added product from the EU. At present there's no other supply of these products available, so we'd just have keep buying them but pay more for them. Eventually China and India etc could provide an alternative supply chain, but they would only become competitive if we signed away import tariffs. If we did that the all UK productivity would be under serious threat from their low wage economies. It seems to me that we lose a lot from a bad Brexit, and the EU gains a bit by one.
  11. Brexit or Eurin?

    The only workable solution, other than cancelling Brexit, is a hard border between ROI and NI. It'll put the peace process in jeopardy. Yet, if the border controls are sensitively managed and the Catholics of Ulster feel that they are being fairly treated, there's a chance it could work out. The government and the Brexit camp have been very disingenuous (or just plain stupid) to assert that any other solution exists. No border would merely mean that any post Brexit import tariffs could be avoided by flying goods into Dublin, trucking them up to Belfast and flying them over to Britain - and the reverse for UK exports. The same idea would also work for people, so bang goes any immigration control. A border down the Irish Sea would mean that Dublin would have more control over Northern Ireland than London. That would be hard to accept for any UK government and totally unthinkable for Ulster's Unionist majority. I suspect that would lead to a far greater breakdown in the peace process than a hard land border. The only option that could fulfil the government's commitments to a frictionless border and a hard Brexit is actually for the UK to invade the Republic and reunite Ireland as part of the UK. I suspect that even Gove and Johnson might baulk at a few hundred thousand deaths as the cost of Brexit - not so sure about Farage and Rees-Mogg though.
  12. Compulsory Military Service in France

    John Lansman
  13. Forest's Greek Tragedy

    The only pushing going on in West Bridgeford is of Karanka.
  14. Sam Winnall torn ACL, out for the season

    We can't recall any U23 strikers, that's why free agents are our only option
  15. Sam Winnall torn ACL, out for the season

    I don't think that they are terrible options given what we require. Unless they turned out to be fantastic in training, they'd only be back up to Nugent and Jerome. If both stay injury and suspension free we could easily get to the end of the season with no issues. Yet if either one is out we are really struggling. The centre forward role in a Rowett team involves expending a lot of energy. It's hard for anyone to last a whole 90 mins. To expect a player over the age of 30 to do it three times in a week would be asking too much. Yet if we had another centre forward he could play 20, 60 and 20 minutes in those games.

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