Ken Tram

That’s why I suggested Cardiff ?

You need a Covid Pass (or alternative) as per Derby ticket page.
My Welsh cousin recommended also bringing real passport too - but that might be overkill.

I welcome this, its not about you, its the people you potentially infect, the elderly and vulnerable including your relatives.  People are still laughing at masks and not trusting vaccines, that fine, you have a choice, but so does DCFC and they have a duty of care to their fans!!!  Just as you have a right not to be vaccinated or want to wear a mask, DCFCs has a right to refuse you entry! 
At least we are not at the point of compulsory vaccination like some countries in the EU.  You 'still' have a choice, life is full of choices, but, you need to accept your choices sometimes have consequences.  I've personally had 3 jabs and the flu jab, why to keep myself and my relative safe.
Its simple if you want entry get jabbed, if your not exempt and don't want to get jabbed, you have to accept the consequences of not being allowed in, its a choice....
An anti-vaxer and campaigner who attended lots of C19 anti-vaccination rallies who lived in Willington, is no longer with us, sadly, he endured a terrible fate on a ventilator which lasted for about 10 weeks and ultimately died. 
Lets all stay as safe ae we can, be it by taking the vaccination or by respecting the rules by not attending the game, we all have a choice!   

USEFUL LINKS
How to get an NHS COVID Pass - https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19...
How to download a digital NHS COVID Pass - https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19...
Further information about COVID-19 - https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19...
 
https://www.dcfc.co.uk/news/2021/12/covid-19-certification-efl-advises-supporters-to-be-prepared
 

NHS Wales Covid pass is age 16 and above. 
edit; (if you're worried about the Cardiff game!)

I was in the concourse and drinking so therefore rules stipulate that I didn't need to wear a mask. All the years I've dissed Carling as a drink and it turns out drinking it provides immunity from Covid ?
If the checks are as 'stringent' as Creamfields earlier in the year you could show them a QR code on the Tesco vouchers app and they would let you in.
The barmy, non-sensical world that we live in hey.

More like a Maxwell slip. He was a fat Czech.

I asked a bloke I know who’s a season ticket holder at Cardiff, he said there’s normally a pay on the day option for the home end. Not sure about away fans. The club will announce it later in the week if that is an option I would think. Sorry if that’s not much help.

It seems that we have a chance of surviving if we can win 1-in-3 of the games that we have been drawing, and turn 1-in-4 of our losses into draws. I expected the conversion rate I be higher!
If you think we could have won 3 of those 9 draws (1-in-3) - and that we can maintain that level of performance until the end of the season - then we may have a good chance of surviving. 
I quite liked the idea of working out what conversion rates (draws into wins, and losses into draws) would have been needed from the first part of the season in order for us to achieve the form that we will need for the rest of the season. I think that it makes it easier to see the scope of the current squad to achieve the necessary uplift by considering the 9 draws and what would have been needed to be uplifted to lead to 3 of them being converted into victories - and what might be needed to sustain this uplift for the rest of the season.
I was also surprised that we may only need to convert 1-in-3 of the draws into wins! That surprised me. 
Anyway, let me know if you found it interesting! The tables with the points calculations follow below! 
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Final Table - if current form continues
If our current form continued, then on average, we would expect to win 6, draw 14, and lose 8 more games.
P     W     D      L      Pts
18    4      9       5      21
28    6     14      8      32               .
46   10    23    13      53 - 21 = 32
 
Conversions (Uplift)
1-in-3 draws into wins (5 out of 14)
1-in-4 losses into draws (2 out of 8)
P     W     D      L   
28    6    14      8    
            /  \     /   \
28   6+5   9+2    6   
 
Final Table - with Uplift
P     W     D      L      Pts
18    4      9       5      21
28   11    11      6      44               .
46   15    20    11      65 - 21 = 44
 
 
44 points
The target of 44 points may be low, but it has been enough in 3 of the past 4 seasons (although this is also 3 out of the past 7 seasons). From 2014/15, survivors have secured the following points: 46, 49, 51, 43, 44, 49 & 44 points.
If we are going to survive, I think that we have to assume that it will be one of those 44-point seasons?
It would be too much pressure to aim for 51 points.
Maybe it is possible to look at historical league table standings in November, and correlate them to how many points were needed to survive, to indicate what might be a realistic points target for survival?
If we are on track, teams around us may bottle it! They will see a 65-point team chasing down a 44-point team! (As we know, teams can get the wobbles towards the end of the season!)
Important note: I cannot believe that you have read down to the end! All of these comments assume that we will not have our post-Christmas slump! Come to think of it, isn't it nice to know that it is impossible for us to slip down the table after Christmas this year!

But don't forget, the target team changed between Cardiff City and Hill City between the two matches. That may explain one of the things that appears to be flawed.
I'm just looking at it a different way. You can work out how many points per game we need, to catch up each game, which I think is a good number to use!
My calculations tell us how many of the games that we can expect to be drawing (based on our current form to date) need to be converted into wins - and how many losses need to be converted into draws.
You may say it's flawed -which it might be - but I think it is easier to look back at our draws so far, and try to imagine if we could convert 1-in-3 of them into wins if we could replay them now (or whatever the conversion rate had increased to now). I think that this is easier to envisage than points per game.
PS. Sadly, the main point, if you'll pardon the pun, is that both of our methods show what a challenge it will be.
One other advantage of the method that I'm trying is that it gives the equivalent form of the team that we now need to emulate. In the past four matches, that had dropped from Bournemouth (2nd in the table) to Blackburn Rovers (4th in the table).
And I think that is something that can be visualised.
Can we match the form achieved by Blackburn Rovers so far this season?
Yes- and we may well survive.
No - and we may well not survive!

Do Stoke tickets look like they're going to sell out before general sale? Just asking as I'm hoping to get a couple for me and my gf as a christmas present. 

Target team are reading right now

Post Blackpool (Played 22)
Target Team -  Cardiff City
P:22 W:06 D:04 L:12 = 22 Pts (After 22 played)
P:46 W:13 D:08 L:25 = 47 Pts (Final: on current form)
Survival Target:
47 Pts (1.79 per game)
Equivalent form:
Blackburn Rovers (4th)"
Derby County
P:22 W:05 D:10 L:07 = 25-21 = 04 Pts (After 22 played)
P:46 W:10 D:21 L:15 = 51-21 = 30 Pts (Final: on current form)
P:46 W:16 D:20 L:10 = 68-21 = 47 Pts (Final: with conversions*

* Draws into wins: 1 in 1.8 (55% of games we've been drawing)
* Losses into draws: 1 in 3.0 (33% of games we've been losing)

The good news is that I have written a little spreadsheet to do the calculations - so I can give you an update after each match. ? 
How much more fortunate can you be?

One of these high tech devices should be all you need ?

You may be right! I'll have to get out a piece of paper* and work out the ppg.
* Or ... I could break out my new early-Christmas Galaxy Tablet and see if it can really replicate a pad of paper.

I used to do that but gave up when I found my predictions were way off!
For another thread maybe; I also tried to replicate the Horace Bachelor Infradraw method. The fact I live in Derby not in the Caribbean shows how well that worked.
My favourite prediction site (which uses some fairly sound principles) is fivethirtyeight.com. This has us down with 30 points when safety is 53. So even restoring our penalty points wouldn't be enough.?

I’ve worked out a simple formula which is it is still possible to stay up until it’s not possible to stay up.

Am I the only one that thinks that "surviving" at this stage means literally having a team to go and watch...... regardless of the league we are in?

Don’t get out much do you ?

Thanks for explaining! That makes sense now!

Mathematically, it happens because we have a higher points per game than our competitors, coupled with us still being in the first half of the season. If our competitors lose a game, their end of season expected points falls by more than it does for us if we lose a game.
--------------------------------------
Say if you need £49 pounds to buy a season ticket for next year, the following two scenarios are equivalent:
1. Your friend gives you a raffle ticket, and the prizes are £1 or £3. Unfortunately, you don't win any money. However, you do find £1 behind the sofa. In this scenario, even though you did not win any money at the Christmas Bazaar, you now only need to find £48 to buy next year's season ticket.
2. In the second scenario, your luck is in, and you win £1 in the raffle. However, you do not find any money behind the sofa because your landlord has been in and pilfered it, and has spent it! Nevertheless, you are £1 up because of the raffle win, and only need £48 to buy next year's season tickets.
In both scenarios, you end up needing £48 for next year's season ticket.
--------------------------------------
The analogy is that even though we did not win a point on Saturday, the expected number of points needed for survival dropped by one point, so we still have the same number of points to get in the same number of games (in the scenario that we had drawn, but the target points had not gone down).
---------------------------------------
Don't get me wrong - it would have been better for us to have won or drawn!!! But, if the target for survival had gone up, that would have been worse.
Furthermore, as you will have seen from the sums, to get 48 points, we need to play with the form of Bournemouth. This seems like a very dark lined rain cloud. However, looking for silver linings - if the teams above us lose then the survival target points will fall too. Also, the target will jump around quite a bit - it was as low as 43 after the Fulham game.
I hope that this helped to explain.
 
 

At the end of the day we can't say for sure what the points needed for survival will be. The average is 45, last season it was even less than that. We just have to hope that a few teams drop like a stone so we can take advantage

Ggg
At least one team may drop like a stone. If we're catching them up, will be steaming, and it will put pressure on the teams above.
But the only team we need to care about is the one that is in 21st.
44 points would have been enough in 4 of the past 7 seasons. (3 of the last 4.) However it can be 50+.
What I did to estimate the points needed ... was to take the number of points of the team currently in 21st, work out their points per game, and when work out what equates to for 46 games.
If I have time, I want to see if there is a pattern between the points of relegated teams, and how many points they had in December. Maybe it is affected by his the promotion charts are doing. For example, when the promotion chasers have relatively low points at December, perhaps that means that the trusted teams end up with higher points at the end of the season. I don't know if there'll be a pattern.
If there is a pattern, it may help give a more reliable prediction of how many points will be needed.

Let’s hope a few  other clubs get points deducted