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RamNut

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2017-18 rowett pld 30: 57 pts 2nd 

2016-7 mac2 pld 30: 47 pts 8th.  57 pts would have put us 4th one point behind Huddersfield 

2015-16 clement pld 30: 51 pts 5th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd one point behind Middlesboro

2014-15 mac1 pld 30: 58 pts 3rd.  57 pts would still have put us 3rd one point ahead of ipswich,  

2013-14 mac1  pld 30: 55 pts 4th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd two points behind burnley

2006-07 billy pld 30: 59 pts 1st.  57 pts would still have put us top four points clear 

 

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Ha! I've also been looking up past seasons and points totals over the last hour or so and just posted that. This is interesting, especially to see we're behind both Billy's total at this point and Mac1. And in both of those seasons we finished third. We are at least in the box seat this time and if anyone is to catch us, they need to outperform us in the run-in and that won't be easy.

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8 hours ago, RamNut said:

 

2017-18 rowett pld 30: 57 pts 2nd 

2016-7 mac2 pld 30: 47 pts 8th.  57 pts would have put us 4th one point behind Huddersfield 

2015-16 clement pld 30: 51 pts 5th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd one point behind Middlesboro

2014-15 mac1 pld 30: 58 pts 3rd.  57 pts would still have put us 3rd one point ahead of ipswich,  

2013-14 mac1  pld 30: 55 pts 4th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd two points behind burnley

2006-07 billy pld 30: 59 pts 1st.  57 pts would still have put us top four points clear 

 

Both 2014/15 and 2006/07 we hit a  Sticky patch in February. Recovered a bit in 2006/07 but not at all in 2014/15. I would expect us to top the 2006/07 points total , which I think was 84 points was it? 

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36 minutes ago, RodleyRam said:

What were the final points totals for 2nd?

Final points 

2016-17 3rd 85 2nd 93

2015-16 3rd 89 2nd 89

2014-15 3rd 86 2nd 89

2013-14 3rd 85 2nd 93

2006-07 3rd 84 2nd 86

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2017-18 rowett pld 30: 57 pts 2nd: for 47 against 23

2016-7 mac2 pld 30: 47 pts 8th.  For 33 against 25

2015-16 clement pld 30: 51 pts 5th. For 40 against 26

2014-15 mac1 pld 30: 58 pts 3rd.  For 58 against 28

2013-14 mac1  pld 30: 55 pts 4th. For 58 against 40

2006-07 billy pld 30: 59 pts 1st: for 39 against 28

some interesting stats.

this season is our best defensive record, but only 2 goals better than last year with christie, shackell and pearce etc

the mac1 era is notable for how many goals we scored. Presumably thats why people remember the hughes, bryson, martin brigade with great affection.

its also evident how the attack was affected by loaning out Martin last season.

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10 hours ago, Carl Sagan said:

Ha! I've also been looking up past seasons and points totals over the last hour or so and just posted that. This is interesting, especially to see we're behind both Billy's total at this point and Mac1. And in both of those seasons we finished third. We are at least in the box seat this time and if anyone is to catch us, they need to outperform us in the run-in and that won't be easy.

We're ahead of the Mac1 total the season we made the Play-Offs

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4 minutes ago, 1967Ram said:

We're ahead of the Mac1 total the season we made the Play-Offs

According to @RamNut's opening post, at this stage in the Mac1 season we had 58 points compared with our 57. That said at this point it's highly unlikely we wouldn't make the playoffs. But I think we're all hoping for more and not to have to go through that again.

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14 minutes ago, Harrowram said:

Our run in isn't too bad. Apart from away games at Wolves, Villa, and Preston there isn't much to frighten us.

Do you think playing those teams away rather than at home will benefit us? Seeing as we like to sit back at let teams dominate possession? 

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1 minute ago, ram93 said:

Do you think playing those teams away rather than at home will benefit us? Seeing as we like to sit back at let teams dominate possession? 

It is hard to say. Derby have lost 3 at home (Wolves, Ipswich, Reading) and two away (Bristol City and Sheff Utd). Hopefully by the time we meet Villa we will be secure in second position.

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I think this seasons 2 nd placed team will have 92-94 points. 11 wins and a few draws and that will be us, especially if we don’t lose to Cardiff or Villa. I think it’s going to be a near record points tally for the team finishing 3 rd. I think the 3 rd placed team will get 90+ points 

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Just now, Harrowram said:

It is hard to say. Derby have lost 3 at home (Wolves, Ipswich, Reading) and two away (Bristol City and Sheff Utd). Hopefully by the time we meet Villa we will be secure in second position.

Agreed. I really don't want us going into that match either having to play catch up or only being 1 point ahead of them, but we never do things the easy way and this is the championship, lots of twists and turns yet

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Before Ledley pld 8: 11pts for 12 against 12

after Ledley pld 22: 46pts for 35 against 11

pro-rata for last 16 with Ledley +33 pts for +25 against +8

Projection for this season  pld 46 : 90pts for 72 against 31 - with this result where could we finish?

2016-17 3rd

2015-16 2nd

2014-15 2nd

2013-14 3rd

2006-07 1st

that 2006-07 season was remarkable for the low number of points required to get promotion. Billy's success was still a great achievement but the context was an equally significant factor. 

 

 

 

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Ideally, looks like we need 10 wins from the final 16, or even more ideally 11 or 12 to be certain of autos. Which is pure madness to think about.

There's so little margin for error involved in automatic promotion. Crazy. 

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1 hour ago, Carl Sagan said:

According to @RamNut's opening post, at this stage in the Mac1 season we had 58 points compared with our 57. That said at this point it's highly unlikely we wouldn't make the playoffs. But I think we're all hoping for more and not to have to go through that again.

55 pts. Play-Off season was 2013-2014. Just goes to show what a disastrous last part of the season we had in 2014-15.

 

2014-15 mac1 pld 30: 58 pts 3rd.  57 pts would still have put us 3rd one point ahead of ipswich,  

2013-14 mac1  pld 30: 55 pts 4th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd two points behind burnley

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6 minutes ago, 1967Ram said:

55 pts. Play-Off season was 2013-2014. Just goes to show what a disastrous last part of the season we had in 2014-15.

 

2014-15 mac1 pld 30: 58 pts 3rd.  57 pts would still have put us 3rd one point ahead of ipswich,  

2013-14 mac1  pld 30: 55 pts 4th. 57 pts would have put us 3rd two points behind burnley

Cheers - I missed that it's the second Mac season we're still behind! Which is the one with a catastrophic falling away that saw us miss out on the playoffs, even though we still ended it with 77 points. All the more reason not to count any chickens just yet!

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7 hours ago, Carl Sagan said:

Cheers - I missed that it's the second Mac season we're still behind! Which is the one with a catastrophic falling away that saw us miss out on the playoffs, even though we still ended it with 77 points. All the more reason not to count any chickens just yet!

Yes and the falling away didn't start til February. I don't think it will happen this year tho. 

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