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Signed: Tom Ince


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Tom Ince prediction   

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Apart from Blackpool and last season with us , his stats are poor , and certainly do not make him worth £6,000,000

Ok I accept you don't rate him but a lot of Derby fans do and they love watching him .

His goals are exquisite.  

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That's your second reductio ad lionelerum in 5 days

​People should probably learn what statistical significance is then. 

Tom Ince, Championship with Derby or Blackpool:

118 games (79.7 minutes per game), 42 goals and 29 assists (0.402 goals per 90 minutes, 0.278 assists per 90)

Tom Ince, Championship with other teams:

6 games (55.7 minutes per game), 0 goals, 0 assists

Carefully note that Tom Ince has made 95.2% of his appearances and 96.6% of his minutes at Championship level with either Derby or Blackpool, and has performed extremely well with both. Also note:

Tom Ince, Premiership:

15 games (47.5 minutes per game), 1 goal and 1 assist (0.126 goals per 90 minutes, and 0.126 assists per 90 minutes)

Which isn't enough to say anything to be completely blunt about it. 

If you prefer I can do it as a reductio ad xavierum if you really want. But basically, "he only did well at the two clubs he did well at" is a ridiculous argument. 

 

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PistoldPete2

Apart from Blackpool and last season with us , his stats are poor , and certainly do not make him worth £6,000,000

Most of his career was at Blackpool. He hardly played anywhere else apart from a month at Forest and a few games in the prem. His stats for us were very good but I think he needs to work on getting more assists. 

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​So to quote Messi as an example is a ridiculous argument.

​It's to quote a lack of any significant data. Again, pretty much all of Ince's career can be summarised as with us and Blackpool, and as such to completely neglect that as a manner of writing him off isn't just ridiculous, but a potentially dishonest method of presenting data. 

A more comparable case would be "Aaron Ramsey not at Arsenal or Cardiff" or "Frank Lampard not at West Ham, Chelsea or Man City", but the idea is the same. Relying on a statistically and clearly odd choice of data rather than the obvious vast majority of his career.

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Quite funny that some on here would take a £6m punt on Luc Castaignos, but not spend the same figure on a player with proven quality, that's going to be firing on all cylinders from the word go, proven at this level and with the potential to be the next Gareth Bale (ask his dad)

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