TigerTedd

We should just go for it, ‘we're gonna score one more than you’ style.

Wow. I’ve never seen a graph that’s needed to do that before.

I’m giving you a like just cos no one liked my post about Lincoln sneaking into 6th.

Ooo, tasty. I can’t bloody wait til Luton beat them. That’ll be so f****** funny!! Then I’ll be joining the march to postpone the points deduction til next season. How does a relegation and start next season on -10pts sound to you @Red_Dawn and it’s so much sweeter given what we’ve been through in very recent history. Expect approximately the square route of naff all sympathy.

Actually, looking at Lincoln’s form I can see them Being the team that rides a wave of momentum and sneaks into 6th place and takes the play offs by storm. Hopefully not relevant to this thread, cos we won’t need to worry about the play offs.

Imagine being a Barnsley fan though. Wait, no, I don’t have to imagine, I’m a Derby fan, that kind of heartache is pretty normal. One day you’re top of the world, the next you’re smashed 5-1 by Lincoln. Standard.

Well we can’t all speak Chaucerian English.

Dunno. There’s a lot of clubs in the championship that could use a touch of warnock.

I must admit I get a sense of enjoyment when bad things happen to bad people. It’d be nice if they were relegated on merit, but it would be hilarious if they’re relegated on a dodgy refs decision or technicality.

That’s sounds dangerously like a regulator you’re describing.

I like xG as a stat, but ultimately you’re spot on. If your goals scored are less than your xG, it tells you that your centre forward can’t finish the chances you’re creating. That’s why xG is a good stat, but it doesn’t mean your CF is suddenly going to turn into a good finisher overnight. If he’s a crap finisher now, he’ll probably continue to be a crap finisher until the end of the season. You can have Zidane creating all the chances in the world, but if connor salmon is your number 9, your xG and your goals for are going to be completely unbalanced. theo Robinson. I always thought he seemed a total donkey, but then he got a really good return of goals. I’d love to hear his xG to GF ratio.

Maybe he thought, if they have an in house ref, he’d get to ref all their home games.

So they’re going to get more than 11pts, but is there half a chance they might take a few of our other records. They’ve got to be doing well on the goals conceded front now. That’s 4 home games in a row they’ve lost by 5 or more. No one has ever done that before. Not even us. I thought Wilder was supposed to improve them? still can’t believe they beat Luton, that was a double whammy kick in the teeth. Stopped Luton catching Forest, and took United over 11pts. Edit: Genuinely thought 5-0 was a full time score. Thought aresenal must have calmed down a bit after the first 15 minutes. But wow! Half time.

I did think that as i was typing it. But I was going with the original figures given here. 0.03 makes much more sense. 3 times in a hundred someone would try that and pull it off. far from being a meaningless stat, I’d actually love to see the xG on Garnacho’s bicycle kick. the type of goal where the commentator goes, ‘and there’s a pass, and another pass, and… oh my god what a goal’. It’s literally unexpected. Which means the opposite is an expected goal. xG is a perfect metric to quantify the wonderfulness if wonder goals. But it’s always difficult to quantify the unquantifiable. Besides, every knows the only accurate way to decide how wonderful a wonder goal is is to ask a bunch of c-list celebrities and get a disembodied host to count them down at an obscure time in sky sports max.

An xG of 0.3 helps you appreciate it even more though. It’s shows how rare it is that a goal like that would go in and what a special goal it is. It did not expected that anyone would score from there. if it was an xG of 1, then it’s a dead cert and there’s nothing special about it.

How could I forget about Birmingham. But I’ve always hated QPR since Wembley. It’s be nice to see it all come full circle. They get relegated while we get promoted.

There’s so many clubs that could end up in the bottom 3 within a couple of losses. I’m spoilt for choice. I’m not sure who I would rather get relegated. Boro, QPR, Stoke. It’s all so lovely.

We improved our goals difference more than any of the others at least. Back to having the best goal difference in the league. That could make a difference by the end.

Yes, you are correct. So those games will be dead rubbers.

United are crap. And yet this is the umpteenth time this seeing I’ve heard pundits at the end of a United game say ‘it doesn’t matter how you win, as long as you win, move into the next game.’ United have a decent amount of points on the board in the prem, and it’s got them to 5th, but almost every win has been on the back of a terrible performance and a last minute goal against what should be vastly inferior opposition. You count their good performances on one hand. Whenever they’re up against a decent side, they don’t just lose, they get battered, as reflected by their terrible goal difference. Has any team ever been in 5th with a 0 goal difference? snd yet pundits still blow smoke up them that they’re grinding out results. They’ve been so lucky to get the points they have. Starting with their first result against wolves I think in the first match. If I cared enough, I’d have a look through all their results, but they’re are so many where 3 points could’ve been 1, and 1 point could’ve been 0, off the back of a poor performance. But they’re good luck and table position masks all that. Their true position should be around 12th with Chelsea. Then imagine the melt down in Manchester.

I would’ve actually quite liked gimps (autocorrect, but I’m going to keep it in) to win that one. The extra distraction would just hurt them.

That seems a bit harsh on Hendrick. He’s not that bad is he? Can’t say I know, but he was great for us once upon a time.

And if they don’t have space for Hendricks in their squad, how do they have space for this guy?

A good win today. But it’s still on. If everyone below them wins their games in hand, then they’re only out of the relegation zone thanks to Everton, and Everton are better than them over the course of the season and will pick up more points. Deductions withstanding.

You both make such good points. I’m so torn. Unless you really buy into the necessity of humans being a multi planetary species, and I’m not sure that I do, the only reason to go to mars is to say we did it. Then I can see us not doing it again for generations. There’s not really anything we can do that robots can’t, so why risk human lives.