TigerTedd

If the CV likes a Gibb’s-White and the other players they massively overpaid for can’t claw them back 4pts then they deserve to be relegated. But then this isn’t a disincentive at all. They might as well by haaland for £200m knowing that he’s easily worth 4 extra points. if the league want to really disincentivise clubs from breaking the rules, they need to make the punishment such that relegation is inevitable. Like ours. everton and forest will both stay up, easily. So the punishment affects nothing. They’ll just lose a few quid for lost places. The league might as well have just fined them in the first place.

That’s just a Nottingham thing.

I’m not sure I’d call that fresh.

It’s funny that Doncaster airport is called Robin Hood airport. Now, I don’t want to give Nottingham this much credit, but if I was a foreigner flying in to Robin Hood airport, I would definitely expect to be getting flying into Nottingham, and would be incredibly disappointed to find I’m in Doncaster (I would be reasonably disappointed to be in Nottingham, but at least I would have a fairly realistic expectation of being greeted by men in tights). like, okay Doncaster, by all means make a claim to Robin Hood, but you still have to face facts that to anyone who has ever consumed any Robin Hood media, Robin Hood came from Nottingham and had an American accent. And it shall be forever thus.

As much as I love that idea (and us going the opposite way with a back to back promotion of course), I think Bris’s scenario calls for one or both no then to be better than Forest. So we’re hoping for the third promoted team, maybe Ipswich, to be better than all 3. Back to back promotion and safe in the premier league, that would be a helluvan achievement. And will totally steal our thunder when we do it the year after.

Potato potato.

And they’ve drawn Coventry in the semis. So many things this season have papered over the cracks of a rubbish team. They’ll all point to an fa cup final as an achievement. It’ll end up being Chelsea vs United, the two biggest underachievers this season, that deserve nothing, and one of them will win the fa cup. not that I wanted Liverpool to win it either, so it’s all a bit meh. Good game though.

They wouldn’t be able to fill it. They should probably go to Mansfield or summat.

Even Robin Hood was buried in Derbyshire. Couldn’t wait to be shot of the place.

We should just go for it, ‘we're gonna score one more than you’ style.

Wow. I’ve never seen a graph that’s needed to do that before.

I’m giving you a like just cos no one liked my post about Lincoln sneaking into 6th.

Ooo, tasty. I can’t bloody wait til Luton beat them. That’ll be so f****** funny!! Then I’ll be joining the march to postpone the points deduction til next season. How does a relegation and start next season on -10pts sound to you @Red_Dawn and it’s so much sweeter given what we’ve been through in very recent history. Expect approximately the square route of naff all sympathy.

Actually, looking at Lincoln’s form I can see them Being the team that rides a wave of momentum and sneaks into 6th place and takes the play offs by storm. Hopefully not relevant to this thread, cos we won’t need to worry about the play offs.

Imagine being a Barnsley fan though. Wait, no, I don’t have to imagine, I’m a Derby fan, that kind of heartache is pretty normal. One day you’re top of the world, the next you’re smashed 5-1 by Lincoln. Standard.

Well we can’t all speak Chaucerian English.

Dunno. There’s a lot of clubs in the championship that could use a touch of warnock.

I must admit I get a sense of enjoyment when bad things happen to bad people. It’d be nice if they were relegated on merit, but it would be hilarious if they’re relegated on a dodgy refs decision or technicality.

That’s sounds dangerously like a regulator you’re describing.

I like xG as a stat, but ultimately you’re spot on. If your goals scored are less than your xG, it tells you that your centre forward can’t finish the chances you’re creating. That’s why xG is a good stat, but it doesn’t mean your CF is suddenly going to turn into a good finisher overnight. If he’s a crap finisher now, he’ll probably continue to be a crap finisher until the end of the season. You can have Zidane creating all the chances in the world, but if connor salmon is your number 9, your xG and your goals for are going to be completely unbalanced. theo Robinson. I always thought he seemed a total donkey, but then he got a really good return of goals. I’d love to hear his xG to GF ratio.

Maybe he thought, if they have an in house ref, he’d get to ref all their home games.

So they’re going to get more than 11pts, but is there half a chance they might take a few of our other records. They’ve got to be doing well on the goals conceded front now. That’s 4 home games in a row they’ve lost by 5 or more. No one has ever done that before. Not even us. I thought Wilder was supposed to improve them? still can’t believe they beat Luton, that was a double whammy kick in the teeth. Stopped Luton catching Forest, and took United over 11pts. Edit: Genuinely thought 5-0 was a full time score. Thought aresenal must have calmed down a bit after the first 15 minutes. But wow! Half time.

I did think that as i was typing it. But I was going with the original figures given here. 0.03 makes much more sense. 3 times in a hundred someone would try that and pull it off. far from being a meaningless stat, I’d actually love to see the xG on Garnacho’s bicycle kick. the type of goal where the commentator goes, ‘and there’s a pass, and another pass, and… oh my god what a goal’. It’s literally unexpected. Which means the opposite is an expected goal. xG is a perfect metric to quantify the wonderfulness if wonder goals. But it’s always difficult to quantify the unquantifiable. Besides, every knows the only accurate way to decide how wonderful a wonder goal is is to ask a bunch of c-list celebrities and get a disembodied host to count them down at an obscure time in sky sports max.

An xG of 0.3 helps you appreciate it even more though. It’s shows how rare it is that a goal like that would go in and what a special goal it is. It did not expected that anyone would score from there. if it was an xG of 1, then it’s a dead cert and there’s nothing special about it.

How could I forget about Birmingham. But I’ve always hated QPR since Wembley. It’s be nice to see it all come full circle. They get relegated while we get promoted.