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Oldben

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  1. Portsmouth fc rumours:

    https://www.portsmouth.co.uk/sport/football/portsmouth-fc/latest-portsmouth-out-to-bring-in-chelsea-midfielder-as-former-huddersfield-town-man-leaves-strong-impression-on-finale-4616621

    https://www.portsmouth.co.uk/sport/football/portsmouth-fc/abu-kamara-featured-50-times-for-pompey-over-the-course-of-the-2023-24-season-scoring-10-goals-4616652

    https://footballleagueworld.co.uk/portsmouth-eyeing-move-for-crystal-palace-starlet/

    The obvious response is, it's portsmouth fc click bait. So many times our club gets linked with players who might be capable of strengthening our team and doing a good job for us and then those rumours aren't true.

    With Portsmouth fc we might see more of the rumours have a grain of truth in them. Portsmouth fc strengthen.

    I think it's wise to consider players who might strengthen us and have experience playing at in the UK.

    It feels like a repeat of last summer, when I thought why are we bring in these players. Many has established career injury records, many were over 30 and many were not regulars in their current teams. Many came on big salaries.

    I'm hoping we are not repeating that.

    Last year the championship teams who spent a lot of money building their teams did well and those who didn't had a relegation fight.

    Even in a relegation fight you need to be able to reach a certain points total for survival. You need players young enough and fit enough to not be beaten every game.

  2. 2 hours ago, Jimbo Ram said:

    You read that article too Oldben 😉

    Accurate.

    Although the probability of picking those potential names is fairly high given that it will be a small group of players that will even consider us as a newly promoted championship team, with potentially not very deep pockets (lack of funds) and the potential for a relegation dog fight just to stay in the championship.

     

  3. 19 hours ago, abertawe_ram said:

    Not quite relegated yet I'm afraid but hopefully this time tomorrow 🙂

    I was surprised to see how much they've spent but looked and their squad is pretty massive. Massively underachieving too for sure because there's some decent individuals in there

    Those that have spent the most this season are at the top and those who have spent next to nothing are at the bottom.

    Those that have spent almost nothing, this speaks for itself.

    Decent players in those squads in the bottom 5 or 6 teams, in my opinion, is a matter of conjecture.

    We have to end the season some between 10th and 21st place. Yet I am not over confident we are looking to spend to compete.

    Cardiff appear to be asking 500k for Adams, we are offering 250k, that does not show serious intentions.

    I hear fans saying, its fine, we will pick up the best free agents and it will move us forward, so that worked out great in previous seasons for newly promoted clubs, not sure it did.

    The best available free agents are still likely to go to established teams in the championship.

    The players id like to sign at the championship level cost to much.

    It leaves us hoping that the league one and two players we want to sign are either cheap or are available as free agents, and the best of those free agents will probably already have been scouted by the established championship teams.

    Should we be scouting europe for free agents, assuming we are nothing on the rumour boards.

    I would like us to sing a number of players between 22 and 30, because i think it will be a lot more tactical game and with better players in the championship. I am certain there are a number of players in the championship that would not be out of place in the premier league bottom half of the table.

    Total spend currently: 

    image.png.365d16dd7ee12b8cc9ca0940fa0c4c70.png

  4. Summer 2023, transfer spend ...

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/the72.co.uk/2023/09/04/2023-summer-transfer-window-championship-spending-and-net-spend-table-transfermarkt/amp/

    5 bottom teams:

    Huddersfield Town (Relegated)

    Total spend: £0m Net spend: £2m

    Rotherham United (Relegated)

    Total spend: £1.1m Net spend: -£1.1m

    Birmingham City (Relegated)

    Total spend: £5.69m Net spend: £0.76m

    Sheffield Wednesday

    Total spend: £1.3m Net spend: -£1.3m

    Plymouth Argyle

    Total spend: £2.48m Net spend: -£2.48m

     

     

     

     

  5. 5 minutes ago, ram59 said:

    One place to look at, is the Championship clubs which have just been promoted to the Premier, they'll be off loading some players good enough for the Championship but not for the Premier. They will be safer but probably more expensive signings.

    It is unlikely that a newly promoted League One team to the Championship would be able to sign players from clubs that have just been promoted to the Premier League for a few key reasons:

    1. Wage demands: Players from Premier League clubs, even those not considered starters, will likely have high wage demands that a smaller Championship club would struggle to match. The financial gap between the Premier League and lower divisions makes it difficult for promoted teams to compete on salaries.

    2. Transfer fees: Clubs that have just been promoted to the Premier League will be reluctant to sell their players, especially to League One teams newly promoted to Championship, unless the transfer fees are substantial. A newly promoted League One team simply won't have the funds to pay the asking prices for these players.

    3. Ambition: Players from Premier League clubs, even if not first-choice, will likely have ambitions to play at the highest level and may not see a move to a newly promoted League One to Championship side as a step in the right direction. They will want to test themselves against the best players.

    4. Squad depth: Championship League clubs need a deep squad to compete in multiple competitions. They will want to keep players who can provide cover and competition for places, rather than selling them to rivals.

    5. Loan deals: If Premier League clubs do allow their players to leave, they will be more inclined to send them on loan to gain experience rather than sell outright. This allows the parent club to retain control of the player's future.

    In summary, the financial resources, ambition and squad-building priorities of current Chsmpionship League clubs make it very difficult for newly promoted League One sides to attract their players, even those not considered starters. The gap in quality and resources is simply too large to bridge in one transfer window.

     

  6. Here is  information about the age of strikers in the Championship compared to League One:

    Championship strikers generally have an edge over League One strikers in terms of goal output and pedigree, but the gap is not as large as one might expect. Age is an important factor to consider when analyzing the quality of strikers in the Championship compared to League One:

    - The average age of players in the Championship is 25.7 years old, indicating that the league features a mix of experienced veterans and promising young talents. Strikers in their prime years tend to perform better than those who are too young or old.

    - Younger strikers in the Championship, such as those coming up from League One, may struggle with the physicality and tactical demands of the higher level. They need time to adapt and develop their game.

    - Older strikers in the Championship, while bringing experience, may have lost some of their pace and sharpness. Maintaining peak performance becomes more challenging with age.

    - The average age of starting XIs in the Championship varies between teams, with some relying more on youth and others on experience. Managers need to strike the right balance in their squad.

    - Age is not the sole determinant of a striker's quality, but it does play a role in their development, physical attributes, and ability to adapt to the demands of the Championship. Younger strikers may have higher ceilings but need time to reach their potential.

    As players age, they tend to lose some of their raw physical attributes like pace, power, and agility. This can make it harder for older strikers to get in behind defenses or win aerial battles.

    The constant collisions, sprints, and impacts take a toll on the body over time. Minor injuries become more pronounced and harder to recover from as players get into their 30s. Stiff joints and muscle soreness are common.

    Forwards tend to peak in their mid-to-late 20s in terms of raw physical attributes like sprinting. But many maintain high performance levels until around 30-31 years old before a gradual decline sets in.

    Championship strikers tend to have better goal conversion rates and xG per 90 minutes compared to League One strikers. However, there are still talented young strikers in League One who could make the step up.

    The physicality and directness of play is more pronounced in the Championship compared to League One. Strikers need to adapt to more aerial battles and long balls. This can be a challenge for some players moving up, especially younger ones.

    Tactically, Championship teams may be more sophisticated in their approach compared to League One. Strikers need to be able to link play and work within a structured system. On paper, a good chunk of Championship strikers would likely be able to compete in many European top flights outside of the big 5 leagues. The quality at the top end of the Championship is improving.

    So while Championship strikers have an edge, the gap to the best League One forwards is not enormous. Physicality, tactical demands, and age are the biggest factors to consider when assessing the quality of strikers moving up from League One to the Championship. Managers need to strike the right balance in their squad and give younger talents time to adapt and develop their game.

     

  7. Here are the key reasons why relying heavily on free agents and loans poses risks for a League One club aspiring to play in the Championship:

    1. Lack of stability and continuity: Loan players are only temporary additions and may not develop the same commitment and understanding with teammates as permanent signings. 

    2. Unsustainable finances: The Championship has nearly £1.4bn worth of debt falling due within 12 months, with debt levels that are unsustainable. Relying on loans and free agents is a short-term solution that can lead to financial troubles.

    3. Weaker squad quality: Loan players are often young prospects or fringe players from bigger clubs, while free agents may be available for a reason. Assembling a competitive Championship squad this way is challenging. Free agents are often released by their previous clubs due to injury concerns, disciplinary issues, or a lack of quality. Loan players may not have the experience or ability to make an immediate impact in the Championship.

    4. Injury and suspension risk: With a smaller squad, any injuries or suspensions can leave the team short-handed, especially if loan players are recalled early.

    5. Difficulty complying with EFL regulations: The EFL has rules around squad sizes and composition that may be difficult to meet with a loan and free agent heavy approach.

    6. Relegation risk: Without a strong core of permanent signings, the promoted club is more likely to struggle and get relegated back to League One.

    7. Compliance issues: EFL rules around squad composition and size may be harder to meet for a promoted club using many loans and free agents. Penalties could follow.

    8. Difficulty integrating new players: With many temporary signings, the team will have less time to develop chemistry and understanding on the pitch. Continuity is key for a newly promoted side.

    In summary, while loans and free agents can supplement a squad, a newly promoted Championship club needs a solid foundation of permanent signings to have the best chance of survival and establishing itself in the division. Relying too heavily on temporary solutions is a high-risk strategy.

  8. Cluld something similar happen to deeby fc.

    Rotherham fc

    There are a few key reasons why Paul Warne's Rotherham United teams were relegated from the Championship twice during his tenure as manager:

    1. **Limited resources and budget constraints**[1][2]: Rotherham have a bottom-three budget compared to other Championship clubs, making it challenging to recruit and retain top talent. Warne has had to work within tight financial constraints.

    2. **Injuries and COVID-19 outbreaks**[1]: Rotherham suffered not one but two COVID-19 outbreaks, leading to a backlog of fixtures. This, combined with injuries, put a strain on the squad's stamina and fitness.

    3. **Defensive tactics and pressing style**[1][2]: While Rotherham's high-pressing and defensive tactics have been praised, they struggled to consistently score goals and break down opponents, leading to narrow defeats.

    4. **Yo-yo trend of relegation and promotion**[2]: Rotherham have experienced a pattern of relegation and promotion under Warne, making it difficult to build momentum and establish themselves in the Championship.

    5. **Lack of luck and "dubious" refereeing decisions**[1]: Warne believes Rotherham's results have not been as kind to them as they could have been, with some questionable refereeing decisions going against them.

    Despite these challenges, Warne has remained committed to Rotherham and has praised the team's fighting spirit and work ethic. [2].

    Citations:
    [1] https://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/unbelievable-rotherham-survival-championship-promotion-24053746
    [2] https://www.derbytelegraph.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/broken-rotherham-united-manager-paul-5392239
    [3] https://www.thestar.co.uk/sport/football/the-areas-where-it-went-wrong-for-paul-warnes-relegated-rotherham-united-3233661
    [4] https://www.rotherhamadvertiser.co.uk/sport/football/rotherham-united/the-relegation-season-where-it-all-went-wrong-for-rotherham-united-4584944

  9. Over the past 10 seasons, the average points total required for survival in the Championship is around 44 points. Reaching 44 or more points typically gives teams a 98% chance of avoiding relegation.

    Tactical Approach

    Adapting from the style that earned promotion to a more pragmatic, counter-attacking approach may be necessary in the first season.

    Adjusting training and tactics early to the new style is important.

    Being willing to "throw" certain games to keep the squad fresh for more winnable matches can also help.

    Attacking Output

    Scoring an average of 1 goal per game is a good target for survival. A primary goalscorer is required. A player capable of scoring at least 14 goals at championship level.

    Being pragmatic and playing a balanced mix of patient build-up and directness appears to be the most effective approach, rather than an all-out attacking style.

    Defensive Solidity

    Conceding no more than 61 goals across the season is important for relegation battlers. Ideally, teams want to concede fewer than 50 goals.

    Having a strong, experienced goalkeeper is crucial.

    Squad Composition

    Retaining core players from the promotion-winning squad and making smart signings can boost a team's chances.

    Developing youth talent and giving them opportunities can also be beneficial.

     

     

     

  10. Two out of contract goalkeepers from arsenal this summer Arthur Okonkwo and Karl hein.

    One of these might be a good choice for us.

    Another choice, Loris Karius, would be a good summer free agent choice for us.

     

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