North_Stand_Ram Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Anyhow, Shackell still wont score 5 this season.Probably not - it's 50/1 for a reason.. That basically reflects that in 50 odd seasons, it will happen once. A players career isn't even half of that, which explains the unlikelyhood It's a bit of fun. I've had a few punts on ridiculous bets for DCFC and it just builds to the excitement of next Saturday. I don't expect to win any I'm not a hardcore gambler, I'll put a few acca's on every match day, but it just acts as something a bit extra to football. For example, live sports on Sky or BT is much more entertaining when you have someone to route for :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe. Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 It's a punt. It's 50/1 for a reason. That's kinda how big odds betting works..don't worry I fully understand how betting worksworks. Its bets such as that which bookies make their money though, feel free to gloat to me if it comes off though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorksopRam Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I'm going absolutely wild when it comes in. I'm gonna get a tattoo that's got the word 'haters' or something cool in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Highgate Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Probably not - it's 50/1 for a reason.. That basically reflects that in 50 odd seasons, it will happen once.Apologies for the pedantry, but it actually reflects that in 51 seasons it would happen once. Of course the bookies will aim to over estimate the probability of it happening in order to maintain a healthy profit margin for them....so we could say their estimation of Shackell scoring 5 this season is approaching 1 chance in 60. Still, it's just a guess on their part, but they have to be very good estimating probabilities, otherwise they will go out of business rapidly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I'm going absolutely wild when it comes in. I'm gonna get a tattoo that's got the word 'haters' or something cool in it. All that would prove is that you were a Luton fan who was really crap at spelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_Stand_Ram Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Apologies for the pedantry, but it actually reflects that in 51 seasons it would happen once. Of course the bookies will aim to over estimate the probability of it happening in order to maintain a healthy profit margin for them....so we could say their estimation of Shackell scoring 5 this season is approaching 1 chance in 60. Still, it's just a guess on their part, but they have to be very good estimating probabilities, otherwise they will go out of business rapidly. haha I put 50 "odd" because I didn't know whether it was 50 or 51! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alph Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 You could bet £20 that Chelsea finish in the top 3. Guaranteed to beat the bookies. Probably take the kids out with your winningsTo the park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_Stand_Ram Posted August 5, 2015 Author Share Posted August 5, 2015 Boro have gone into favourites to win the league. 5/1. Can't remember seeing odds that low for a side to win the division... With sky bet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srg Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Boro have gone into favourites to win the league. 5/1. Can't remember seeing odds that low for a side to win the division... With sky bet That's after losing Tomlin and not getting Bamford back too.They strike me as a bit of us from 12 months ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintRam Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Boro have gone into favourites to win the league. 5/1. Can't remember seeing odds that low for a side to win the division... With sky bet That's after losing Tomlin and not getting Bamford back too.They strike me as a bit of us from 12 months ago.I think it may be to do with the fact that SkyBet have Rhodes going to them at 5/4 - if that (officially) falls through I reckon Boro's odds will drop again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorksopRam Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Been checking the outright odds since the end of last season. I don't think transfers have much of an affect/effect on odds. Not directly anyway, unless a few punters back Boro after they sign Rhodes because they think promotion will be a given. As all our transfers kept coming, our price never really changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorksopRam Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Anybody know much about Conference and such?Grimsby seem a good price this weekend, away at Kidderminster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintRam Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Been checking the outright odds since the end of last season. I don't think transfers have much of an affect/effect on odds. Not directly anyway, unless a few punters back Boro after they sign Rhodes because they think promotion will be a given. As all our transfers kept coming, our price never really changed. We went from joint favorites with Hull to outright favorites a day or 2 after signing Ince. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malagaram Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Anybody know much about Conference and such?Grimsby seem a good price this weekend, away at Kidderminster. Think they have played 8 pre season friendlies and won them all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorksopRam Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Think they have played 8 pre season friendlies and won them allSaw that but don't know anything about Kidderminster. They might've won nine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alph Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Nobody knows anything about Kidderminster.I know a lad at work that reckons he's been there but I don't believe it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal is a Ram Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 I guided the Harriers to a Premier League title once... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaintRam Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 I guided the Harriers to a Premier League title once... I used the editor to put 11 of the best players in the world on Burton's books when they were in the conference, then set it to standard 4-4-2 with no other effort tactically and they failed to get promoted. I think Grimsby will beat Kidderminster, not that my opinion matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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