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About Highgate

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  1. Highgate

    Best TV Dramas

    Patriot on Amazon Prime. Really enjoyed it. Quirky. I highly recommend it, but it won't be to some people's taste.
  2. Highgate

    Paul Clement Sacked.......again

    I think you may have inadvertently ruled yourself out of the Reading job.
  3. Highgate

    Paul Clement Sacked.......again

    Seems likely that he's just not very good at managing football teams. I'm not sure he is the sort that can properly motivate a group of players. Perhaps he is better suited to being an assistant. By all accounts he was good at that.
  4. Highgate

    You’re stranded on a desert island...

    Books, Music and Fishing Rod. Assuming none of the wildlife think I'm edible, if they do better give me the rifle and ammo instead of the fishing rod. Any potatoes on this island? Can't see myself living without chips or roast potatoes for any significant period of time.
  5. Highgate

    v Stoke City (A) Match Thread

    Well that hurts. It's for times like these that alcoholic drinks were invented.
  6. Highgate

    The boring Man City discussion

    Similar questions could be leveled at Chelsea and the ultimate source of their wealth. Wouldn't have this issue if clubs were owned by their own fans. It's the way to go for so many reasons!
  7. It would seem to be a choice between Mick McCarthy and Stephen Kenny (manager of League of Ireland Champions Dundalk). Whoever takes the job will have a very difficult task. This must be the weakest Rep of Ireland squad in the last 40 years.
  8. Highgate

    When is your birthday?

    What @Carl Sagan said is correct regardless of the result of this experiment. We simply have a very close to 50/50 chance of having two people with the same birthday in the first 23 respondents in our first attempt. We'd need to repeat this many times over, in an unbiased manner, before we have proved or disproved anything. 23rd March.
  9. Highgate

    Snake City watch

    Because of the NATO bombing of Serbia apparently.
  10. Highgate

    Derby County v Birmingham City Match Thread.

    Impressive prediction that.
  11. Highgate

    Dread of playoffs?

    Those bets aren't independent. The former occurring would hugely influence the probability of the latter (in fact if Derby win the league I'd say FL winning manager of the season is nearly guaranteed). So even if such a bet were available the price offered wouldn't be too much better than the 10/1 offered on Derby at the moment, However, Derby winning the league, and Marriott finishing as top scorer (although also linked bets) would offer a huge return. Who knows he is only 8 behind at the moment, we may as well dream big? 🙂
  12. Highgate

    Real Madrid to sack Lopetegui

    His previous record in club management at Rayo, Real Madrid B and Porto suggests that he really is a very average manager. It's a mystery to me that he gets the big jobs in the first place.
  13. Highgate

    Real Madrid to sack Lopetegui

    A bit hasty. Still the right decision however. Should never have been appointed.
  14. Highgate

    The Championship 18/19

    In fact that's exactly what they do, adjusting for their profit margin of course. If that weren't the case how would they lay odds before any bets have been made? I'm pretty sure nobody bets until the odds have been set in the first place. They alter the odds based on betting patterns obviously and they may take into account predicted betting patterns before setting the odds if they think something will be an attractive bet to punters. But that's not going to be the case for Derby's chances of making the play-offs in the Championship. So it would have been more correct if i said the odds quoted on the Bet365 website suggest we have a 28.5% chance of making the top 6 (not adjusting for the profit margin) rather than the bookies themselves, but it's not true to suggest that bookies don't consider our chances when laying the odds in the first place.
  15. Highgate

    The Championship 18/19

    Bet365 will give you 5/2 for Derby to finish in the top six. So they are suggesting that there is roughly a 28.5% chance in their opinion. Naturally they are overstating it slightly in order to have a profit margin. Paddy Power are even more sanguine about our chances offering just 2/1. Neither of those seem to think the top 6 is way beyond Derby this year. I'm not convinced we'll mount a challenge, it's hard to tell at the moment, but at those odds it looks a reasonably good bet to me.

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