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Highgate

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About Highgate

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  1. Highgate

    When is your birthday?

    What @Carl Sagan said is correct regardless of the result of this experiment. We simply have a very close to 50/50 chance of having two people with the same birthday in the first 23 respondents in our first attempt. We'd need to repeat this many times over, in an unbiased manner, before we have proved or disproved anything. 23rd March.
  2. Highgate

    Snake City watch

    Because of the NATO bombing of Serbia apparently.
  3. Highgate

    Derby County v Birmingham City Match Thread.

    Impressive prediction that.
  4. Highgate

    Dread of playoffs?

    Those bets aren't independent. The former occurring would hugely influence the probability of the latter (in fact if Derby win the league I'd say FL winning manager of the season is nearly guaranteed). So even if such a bet were available the price offered wouldn't be too much better than the 10/1 offered on Derby at the moment, However, Derby winning the league, and Marriott finishing as top scorer (although also linked bets) would offer a huge return. Who knows he is only 8 behind at the moment, we may as well dream big? 🙂
  5. Highgate

    Real Madrid to sack Lopetegui

    His previous record in club management at Rayo, Real Madrid B and Porto suggests that he really is a very average manager. It's a mystery to me that he gets the big jobs in the first place.
  6. Highgate

    Real Madrid to sack Lopetegui

    A bit hasty. Still the right decision however. Should never have been appointed.
  7. Highgate

    18/19 Match Thread

    In fact that's exactly what they do, adjusting for their profit margin of course. If that weren't the case how would they lay odds before any bets have been made? I'm pretty sure nobody bets until the odds have been set in the first place. They alter the odds based on betting patterns obviously and they may take into account predicted betting patterns before setting the odds if they think something will be an attractive bet to punters. But that's not going to be the case for Derby's chances of making the play-offs in the Championship. So it would have been more correct if i said the odds quoted on the Bet365 website suggest we have a 28.5% chance of making the top 6 (not adjusting for the profit margin) rather than the bookies themselves, but it's not true to suggest that bookies don't consider our chances when laying the odds in the first place.
  8. Highgate

    18/19 Match Thread

    Bet365 will give you 5/2 for Derby to finish in the top six. So they are suggesting that there is roughly a 28.5% chance in their opinion. Naturally they are overstating it slightly in order to have a profit margin. Paddy Power are even more sanguine about our chances offering just 2/1. Neither of those seem to think the top 6 is way beyond Derby this year. I'm not convinced we'll mount a challenge, it's hard to tell at the moment, but at those odds it looks a reasonably good bet to me.
  9. Highgate

    18/19 Match Thread

    Against Lyon, the team that won 2-1 at Man City a couple of weeks back.
  10. Highgate

    Khabib v McGregor

    I'm sure you are correct on that, I wouldn't know. Not that genuine hate between fighters is a positive either. The trumped accusation was aimed at boxing really, where oleaginous promoters try to stoke up interest in their product with nonsense such as the ridiculous staring match at weigh-ins and the like. Some fighters manage to rise above it and maintain their dignity however. Amateur/Olympic boxing is far more of a genuine sport than the professional ranks in my opinion. Now if they could only learn to judge that reliably.
  11. Highgate

    Khabib v McGregor

    Quite possibly my view of MMA is tarnished by McGregor, who is one of the most unpleasant and tiresome individuals ever to rise to prominence in any sport in my view. I can't make up my mind whether it's he, or the media circus that follows him, that is more annoying. I don't like all the hype and trumped up animosity in boxing either to be honest. I'm not sure why watching one man elbow a prone and bloodied opponent in the head until they can't take it anymore is good viewing, but each to their own and if they are willing combatants then good luck to them I suppose. I hope your assessment of McGregor's prospects in the sport are accurate, if so it shouldn't be too long before he is nothing but a bad memory.
  12. Highgate

    Khabib v McGregor

    Really don't like the sport, but is there any chance McGregor will just disappear now after this comprehensive (I believe) defeat ? I'm not likely to get my wish but there is always hope! It would be a blessing as far as I'm concerned Unfortunately, all the fetid nonsense that surrounds this sport will, rather than reduce it's popularity, only increase people's interest in it.
  13. Highgate

    Khabib v McGregor

    I really hope that other lad destroys McGregor and manages to shut him up for a while. He has become a national embarrassment if you ask me. If McGregor wins he'll just become even more unbearable. It that what sport is now, the more obnoxious and idiotic you are the more famous you become?
  14. Highgate

    Time

    I think there is an objective truth out there regardless of the nature of our language. Whether we will ever be able to understand it is another question entirely. As fascinating as the block theory is to read, it's nothing new as such. Einstein expressed the same about a century ago when he wrote "the dividing line between past, present, and future is just a stubbornly persistent illusion". Or even if time does pass as we commonly imagine it, we all age at a slightly different rate, depending on our speed through space and the strength of the gravitational field at our location. So the phrase 'There is no time like the present' is literally true. I haven't a clue what time really is. The mind boggles.
  15. Highgate

    v Manchester United (a) Match tHread

    Absolutely, but it's not only confidence in themselves that came across, but they seem confident as a group. They believe they can play good football regardless of the opposition. That's so welcome and refreshing to hear as a Derby fan, given that or last manager seemed to instill a fear of the opposition into his teams....and cautioned against creative play. Interesting before the match too, that Keogh said how much has changed now that Lampard is in charge. Judging by the performance tonight, he is not wrong.
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