Ambitious Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Out of every side in the top 6 currently I'd choose Burnley to play in the semis to be honest. Good manager in Dyche but I honestly think they have the weakest squad out of the 6, if Ings get injured they're screwed No chance, I'd want QPR or Brighton. Burnley and Forest grind out results, they don't lose many nor look like losing many. Irritating as it may be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Long way to go, but I think we're safe from relegation this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ambitious Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Long way to go, but I think we're safe from relegation this season. one point above the maximum a team as ever been relegated on. Forest are joint with the maximum, so still hope left boys.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alph Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 I like Burnley's "effervescent squad" and their "good tactical framework." Dyche and Lambert on MOTD every week. Might even get Billy up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCFC_17 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 1st) Leicester City - 94 2nd) QPR - 89 3rd) Forest - 85 4th) Burnley - 85 5th) Reading - 81 6th) Wigan - 80 Wigan to scrape into the play-offs (history suggests there is always a team that scrapes in and always a team that has a drop off in form) Wigan to beat Burnley in the Play Off final. Derby to finish 7th. if aids was a post, this would be it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 if aids was a post, this would be it The form table suggests that Forest, Leicester, Burnley, Wigan and QPR have better recent form than Derby taking everything into account. Who am I to argue with history. One team always drops out and one team always enters the fray. On paper, Derby have the weakest squad so henceforth, I believe it will be Derby that slide backwards in the coming months. The eternal pessimist I may be but I remain unconvinced from what I have seen of our credentials to be a top championship side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 The form table suggests that Forest, Leicester, Burnley, Wigan and QPR have better recent form than Derby taking everything into account. Who am I to argue with history. One team always drops out and one team always enters the fray. On paper, Derby have the weakest squad so henceforth, I believe it will be Derby that slide backwards in the coming months. The eternal pessimist I may be but I remain unconvinced from what I have seen of our credentials to be a top championship side. Form table: Last 5 games Forest 13 points Leicester 13 points Derby 11 points QPR 10 points Reading 9 points Burnley 9 points Wigan 7 points Last 10 games Leicester 28 points Forest 22 points Burnley 19 points Derby 18 points Wigan 18 points QPR 17 points Reading 13 points Last 15 games Leicester 35 points Derby 33 points Forest 28 points Burnley 25 points QPR 25 points Reading 23 points Wigan 21 points It seems that once again you are talking utter garbage, McSilks. No change there then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Form table: Last 5 games Forest 13 points Leicester 13 points Derby 11 points QPR 10 points Reading 9 points Burnley 9 points Wigan 7 points Last 10 games Leicester 28 points Forest 22 points Burnley 19 points Derby 18 points Wigan 18 points QPR 17 points Reading 13 points Last 15 games Leicester 35 points Derby 33 points Forest 28 points Burnley 25 points QPR 25 points Reading 23 points Wigan 21 points It seems that once again you are talking utter garbage, McSilks. No change there then. We are 8th in the table on the form guide for the last 8 games when taking everything into account. Stop talking out of your preverbial pisshole Eddie. Then again.......keep it up. You're always good for a laugh. You want to go down the road of being rude and insulting to fellow posters then I'll play your immature game and fight fire with fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We are 8th in the table on the form guide for the last 8 games when taking everything into account. Stop talking out of your preverbial pisshole Eddie. Then again.......keep it up. You're always good for a laugh. You remind me of three statisticians who went on a deer hunt. Suddenly, they saw a stag. The first one fired and missed 10 yards left. The second one fired and missed 10 yards right. The third one (McSilks, I think his name was) said "We got it!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Also, if you take the last 8 games, we are seventh - and two of the teams above us are Sheffield Wednesday and Brighton. Again, no evidence to back up McSlit's preposterous garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Also, if you take the last 8 games, we are seventh - and two of the teams above us are Sheffield Wednesday and Brighton. Again, no evidence to back up McSlit's preposterous garbage. 8th. Shame you cannot stick to facts. Just keep changing them. Your'e so funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We are 8th in the table on the form guide for the last 8 games when taking everything into account. Stop talking out of your preverbial pisshole Eddie. Then again.......keep it up. You're always good for a laugh. You want to go down the road of being rude and insulting to fellow posters then I'll play your immature game and fight fire with fire. Your posts always show with a brown font - presumably because of your primary data source. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 You remind me of three statisticians who went on a deer hunt. Suddenly, they saw a stag. The first one fired and missed 10 yards left. The second one fired and missed 10 yards right. The third one (McSilks, I think his name was) said "We got it!" I'm hurting. I don't think I've ever laughed so hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Your posts always show with a brown font - presumably because of your primary data source. Keep it up. Please..... It's making my evening. Oh dear Eddie. Oh Dear Eddie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 8th. Shame you cannot stick to facts. Just keep changing them. Your'e so funny http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/en/championship/formtabelle/wettbewerb_GB2_23_30_2013.html Liar. Welcome to 'ignore', you liar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 http://stats.football365.com/dom/ENG/D1/oform.html Oh Eddie. Oh Eddie. Oh Eddie. Oh Eddie. Please note....we are 8th. Yes......8th. You must have so many on ignore. How very sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albert Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 1st) Leicester City - 942nd) QPR - 893rd) Forest - 854th) Burnley - 855th) Reading - 816th) Wigan - 80 Wigan to scrape into the play-offs (history suggests there is always a team that scrapes in and always a team that has a drop off in form) Wigan to beat Burnley in the Play Off final. Derby to finish 7th.80 points for 6th?! That'd be a whole 4 above the best for at least the last 16 years. 80 points is generally about 3rd-4th at worst, and the lowest points total to get 80+ since at least 5th, and that only happened once. The average for 4th is 78 points.Based on previous trends and the current table, the top six will probably end up being something like:1st - 942nd - 853rd - 854th - 815th - 806th - 70The gap between the top 5 (well, really 2nd-5th, Leicester are almost certainly up) is far larger than I think you've given it credit for. That 7 points is something of the order of 0.44 points per game from now until the end of the season which is no easy task, especially when they're already chasing 1.52 odd (bottom end of the playoffs). 1.96 points per game is a 90 point season (automatic promotion) kind of form, and that's just to catch the bottom end there, and that's just for 6th to catch 5th.Let's consider this Wigan example though. For them to make 80 points they'd need 37 points from 17 games, a mere 2.18 points per game. They've current at 1.48. For Reading to make 81 that's 2.13 up from their 1.57. For us to make less than 80, so let's say 79, that'd be 1.5 points, down from 1.83. Let's just ignore you predicting Forest to hammer home at 1.94 up from 1.80. When you take into account table flattening (that is, the general trend of the table becoming more compact as the season comes to a close) this seems less and less likely. It's just this effect that could allow Wigan (or any team really) to sneak in to 6th, but it would take something drastic for one of QPR, Burnley, us or Forest to miss out on at least the playoffs at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsilks Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 80 points for 6th?! That'd be a whole 4 above the best for at least the last 16 years. 80 points is generally about 3rd-4th at worst, and the lowest points total to get 80+ since at least 5th, and that only happened once. The average for 4th is 78 points. Based on previous trends and the current table, the top six will probably end up being something like: 1st - 94 2nd - 85 3rd - 85 4th - 81 5th - 80 6th - 70 The gap between the top 5 (well, really 2nd-5th, Leicester are almost certainly up) is far larger than I think you've given it credit for. That 7 points is something of the order of 0.44 points per game from now until the end of the season which is no easy task, especially when they're already chasing 1.52 odd (bottom end of the playoffs). 1.96 points per game is a 90 point season (automatic promotion) kind of form, and that's just to catch the bottom end there, and that's just for 6th to catch 5th. Let's consider this Wigan example though. For them to make 80 points they'd need 37 points from 17 games, a mere 2.18 points per game. They've current at 1.48. For Reading to make 81 that's 2.13 up from their 1.57. For us to make less than 80, so let's say 79, that'd be 1.5 points, down from 1.83. Let's just ignore you predicting Forest to hammer home at 1.94 up from 1.80. When you take into account table flattening (that is, the general trend of the table becoming more compact as the season comes to a close) this seems less and less likely. It's just this effect that could allow Wigan (or any team really) to sneak in to 6th, but it would take something drastic for one of QPR, Burnley, us or Forest to miss out on at least the playoffs at this point. Just an opinion Albert. A post made in a couple of minutes. Maybe 80 was a little high. There are others in the mix though who have expreience and capable players. I just think one top 6 side will falter and it could well be Derby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ambitious Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We'd have to lose about 10 out of the next 16 to miss out I reckon - if we did that, I'd be utterly, utterly stunned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott_dcfc Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 Leicester Derby QPR Burnley Forest Wigan The attitude of the QPR players and club of a whole ends up to be their downfall, cocky, and coincidentally cocking up. Burnley rely too heavily on Ings, as a young man he panicks. Burnley slip. Forests form drops a bit and Wigan step up a gear. We play how we always play, and have a great run of form for the last 10 games, clinching second by 2 points. That's how I honestly see it. Up the Rams! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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