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More stats regarding effective players.....


RamNut

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Johnny Russell and co can be assessed by the same statistical method used to look at some of our team.

Using the percentage of wins and draws achieved with or without them in their club side starting 11.

Stats will show who makes a positive contribution and who doesn't.

These results will tend to show the effectiveness of an individual.

The team will tend to achieve better results when the better players are selected.

Obviously results will tend to deteriorate when the better players are absent.

With this method, both scenarios receive a measure...i.e. selected / not selected.

Individuals making an effective positive contribution are therefore identifiable by comparing the two scores.

Non-effective players will tend to have no effect or a negative effect upon results.

Difference between the two scores is what matters, not the actual values of the scores

Using the results obtained when a player was / was not selected means that the results include a control.

Positive impact should be readily apparent.

An ever-present player will not have sufficient non-selection data to provide an analysis.

Low numbers of appearances or absences will similarly produce results prone to a wider statistical error.

But nonetheless the method should produce some interesting and potentially meaningful results.

Essentially effectiveness is what is indicated within certain limitations.

Results measure the value of the player versus the value of the alternative selections in a given squad.

The good players ought to stand out more often than not.....whether the league they play in is relevant to us is another matter.

Ok........looking at some transfer targets and signings

Johnny russell - dundee united SPL

2012-13

Winning / drawing with jr : 72%

Winning / drawing without jr 60%

A positive result

Conor sammon - kilmarnock SPL

2010-11

Winning / drawing with cs : 69%

Winning / drawing without cs 47%

A positive result

Craig forsyth - watford championship

2011-12

Winning / drawing with cf : 58%

Winning / drawing without cf: 76%

A negative result

Lee grant - burnley championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with lg : 71%

Winning / drawing without lg 71%

A neutral score

Chris martin - norwich championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with cm : 78%

Winning / drawing without cm 81%

A reasonably neutral score

Paul coutts - preston league 1

2010-11

Winning / drawing with pc : 45%

Winning / drawing without pc: 50%

A slightly negative score

James o'connor - doncaster championship

2011-12

Winning / drawing with joc : 44%

Winning / drawing without joc 42%

A reasonably neutral score

Ben davies - notts co league 1

2010-11

Winning / drawing with bd : 62%

Winning / drawing without bd 42%

A very positive score

Keiron freeman - notts co league 1

2011-12

Winning / drawing with kf : 72%

Winning / drawing without kf 63%

A positive score

Jamie ward - sheff utd championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with jw : 42%

Winning / drawing without jw 42%

A neutral score

Theo robinson - millwall championship

Winning / drawing with tr : 63%

Winning / drawing without tr 66%

A relatively neutral score

Nathan tyson - forest championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with nt : 61%

Winning / drawing without nt 78%

A negative result

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Johnny Russell and co can be assessed by the same statistical method used to look at some of our team.

Using the percentage of wins and draws achieved with or without them in their club side starting 11.

Stats will show who makes a positive contribution and who doesn't.

These results will tend to show the effectiveness of an individual.

The team will tend to achieve better results when the better players are selected.

Obviously results will tend to deteriorate when the better players are absent.

With this method, both scenarios receive a measure...i.e. selected / not selected.

Individuals making an effective positive contribution are therefore identifiable by comparing the two scores.

Non-effective players will tend to have no effect or a negative effect upon results.

Difference between the two scores is what matters, not the actual values of the scores

Using the results obtained when a player was / was not selected means that the results include a control.

Positive impact should be readily apparent.

An ever-present player will not have sufficient non-selection data to provide an analysis.

Low numbers of appearances or absences will similarly produce results prone to a wider statistical error.

But nonetheless the method should produce some interesting and potentially meaningful results.

Essentially effectiveness is what is indicated within certain limitations.

Results measure the value of the player versus the value of the alternative selections in a given squad.

The good players ought to stand out more often than not.....whether the league they play in is relevant to us is another matter.

Ok........looking at some transfer targets and signings

Johnny russell - dundee united SPL

2012-13

Winning / drawing with jr : 72%

Winning / drawing without jr 60%

A positive result

Conor sammon - kilmarnock SPL

2010-11

Winning / drawing with cs : 69%

Winning / drawing without cs 47%

A positive result

Craig forsyth - watford championship

2011-12

Winning / drawing with cf : 58%

Winning / drawing without cf: 76%

A negative result

Lee grant - burnley championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with lg : 71%

Winning / drawing without lg 71%

A neutral score

Chris martin - norwich championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with cm : 78%

Winning / drawing without cm 81%

A reasonably neutral score

Paul coutts - preston league 1

2010-11

Winning / drawing with pc : 45%

Winning / drawing without pc: 50%

A slightly negative score

James o'connor - doncaster championship

2011-12

Winning / drawing with joc : 44%

Winning / drawing without joc 42%

A reasonably neutral score

Ben davies - notts co league 1

2010-11

Winning / drawing with bd : 62%

Winning / drawing without bd 42%

A very positive score

Keiron freeman - notts co league 1

2011-12

Winning / drawing with kf : 72%

Winning / drawing without kf 63%

A positive score

Jamie ward - sheff utd championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with jw : 42%

Winning / drawing without jw 42%

A neutral score

Theo robinson - millwall championship

Winning / drawing with tr : 63%

Winning / drawing without tr 66%

A relatively neutral score

Nathan tyson - forest championship

2010-11

Winning / drawing with nt : 61%

Winning / drawing without nt 78%

A negative result

Yeah....

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Stop it.

 

Have a week off and relax.

 

 

Anyway, you missed out on a couple of stats....

 

When Jake Buxton goes up for a corner in the last few minutes against Forest they fookin **** themselves.

 

Likewise, when Jake Buxton goes up for a corner in the last few minutes against dirty Leeds they also fookin **** themselves.

 

Fact.

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Jake Buxton........

2009-10

Winning / drawing with jb : 54%

Winning / drawing without jb 60%

Oops

2011-12

Winning / drawing with jb : 58%

Winning / drawing without jb 58%

Better

2012-13

Winning / drawing with jb : 66%

Winning / drawing without jb 59%

....better still

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