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FindernRam

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Everything posted by FindernRam

  1. Titanic: Got bored. Told missus I needed a pee and went next door to watch a war film (maybe Blackhawk down) went back to Titanic ages later. Thing still afloat . Missus said that was quick!
  2. Isn't this why 3 points for a win was introduced: to encourage attacking play, particularly away from home. With so many games still to play and form (particularly in the lower leagues) being so variable I'm not overly excited by targets as such, only that we play to win our games and stay in touch (at least) with the top positions. I was a statistician so am fascinated by the ways Football is analysed to death these days. Stats 101 states that predictions are more likely prove right with more data points. BUT at the individual game level the numbers are so low that any prediction of any characteristic has a very low probability of being correct. Be that goals, throw-ins wins draws. Ask yourself why betting organisations are helpfully pushing us to use these numbers. It encourages us to believe we can do a better job of weighing the odds than they can, so we play more. Thing is they have masses of data points to set the odds and can happily (from their point of view) lose some because overall they will come out ahead. Its not quite "snake oil" but probably better than Horace Batchelors Infra draw system for K E N Y S H A M Bristol.
  3. I watch a lot of TV games and recently there has been the usual load of stats endlessly trotted out. Lowest goals at start of a season Longest run without a win Most away games without a win etc etc etc. Only once did I hear Derby mentioned in any context and that was the fact we'd done the double over Newcastle that year. And no mention of 11 points.
  4. See today a mere £107m has been written off by our favourite villain converting debt to shares. All legal but sounds really dodgy.
  5. It seems like every year we fade in Jan Feb.
  6. I don't buy into this "weaker" league stuff at all. Every year league 1 has the teams ranked 45 to 68 in the football pyramid. So by a cascade of quality from Premier Champions to non- league the team strength in each league will be roughly the same unless there is a general decline in player quality or tactics. OR teams coming down to L1 are weaker than teams going up ( or going down to L2 v those coming up). The yo-yo clubs suggest this is not really the case. Many teams stay in their league for-ever it seems like. Outlier performing teams just level it up for the rest.
  7. I rarely hear the referred to bad language but I can lipread (without any training) what managers and players say. That is far more obvious.
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