kevinhectoring

You say xG should award 1.0 for a goal? You miss the point that goals involve varying degrees of good fortune. If you award 1.0 to Ward’s second goal, on a xG assessment, you overvalue the chance massively. It was neither perfect attacking nor the worst defending. It was a goal that was scored through a generous dollop of good fortune. (Fact is, he was too far out to sensibly shoot and the defender was pretty well-positioned, as was the keeper ) There are two quite separate things : the quality of the scoring opportunity and the fact a goal was scored. Apples and oranges. I think you’re mixing them up

DC will be painfully aware of the reckless disregard Couhig showed for our club’s future. Wonder if Couhig will offer him hospitality and whether DC will accept it If I were DC I’d take my plane to Dublin and award myself a free rams TV pass

So my physio friend (who used to work at Leighton Orient) says these days they wouldn’t do that if it’s a soft tissue issue. She thought most likely a knock on the bone which was tender and would settle down in just a few days. Anyway, fingers crossed - he’s become an important part of the balance we’ve found in the last 4 or 5 games

I won’t quibble with your assessment but with this squad I still think we’ll make it 😜

2nd

This seems completely wrong to me. Either you measure quality of chances (which is what xG does) or you look at how many goals the teams have actually scored. But if in the xG calculation you give 1.0 for a goal scored, then you’re mixing the two up By the way I was interested to hear you say that Pompey’s missed chance (the ‘open goal’) was assessed at 0.1 on xG. It seems very low at first blush, but combine height of ball, speed it came in, bodies in the box not to mention the winds and I suspect it’s closer to the truth than the 0.9 implied by the moronic Sky commentator

in the players ratings it’d be helpful if the bespectacled members of the travelling faithful could add an ‘at the game’ footnote so their votes can be disregarded

Press a man hard on a pitch as waterlogged as that and as you approach he’ll push the ball to one side and watch you slide towards the bye line like a duck landing on a lake north of Toronto in February

Perhaps you prefer Russian novelists Comrade 🙂

Some great work by CBT. That was a big run out for him and if he’s not got any twangs he’ll come back stronger. Very happy with that result

Pretty good game management so far

Don’t want this end to end stuff

I’d have started Tommo and kept CbT back. We don’t need a win and a draw is less likely with this line up. 0-0 at half time would be good

We should have great expectations that we will show them hard times

Nice one. Hope your defence tonight has as many gaps in it as your message !

Will miss Max greatly when he’s gone but if Ward Wilson Adams Smith and Tommo stay fit I’m not sure I’d bring him back as a starter in our remaining games

Missing just 3 things. Coffee, tomatoes and statins

I’d feel a lot more confident if our manager’s first name was Paolo and if he had an ‘h’ in his surname and one of those Portuguese squiggles over the ‘n’

I’m putting my phone away now

Maybe he’s saying that to John Mousinho and not to you I’m guessing it’s what Arteta said to Pep in the Saturday press

if it’s down to GD, IS it in anyone’s hands? Or nobody’s? Or everybody’s? it sounds a bit like martinis: one and you’re anybody’s. Two and you’re everybody’s. Three and you’re nobody’s

I don’t care if we go up ? OR I don’t care, if we go up ? (Commas save lives - let’s eat, Grandma)

… don’t disagree but it is a shame people on here get up in arms when other teams (or their mascots) do it. (I assume she meant discreet not discrete)

Hmmm I don’t so much care if we’re first or second - the imperative is to get out of this league. I think that means we start Adams and Smith, maybe even Tommo and play it safe. There’s always a chance Cashin or Nelson will get on the end of a set piece or Ward will score from a fk ( or corner!). Last thing we want is to concede 3 and erode our GD advantage.

2nd