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Dave Mackay Ate My Hamster

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Posts posted by Dave Mackay Ate My Hamster

  1. Just an afterthought. Of course, so much will depend if we can resolve the ownership issue in January. If we enter into a fire-sale, we've no chance, but if someone resolves it quickly and pumps in say,  5 to 10 million in, what admittedly would be a huge gamble, the chances of us surviving could bump up to 20%-30% +. 

  2. A many years viewer, but not a regular poster, for a while, but tonight's heroic efforts got me thinking about starting a thread about our perceived percentage chances of achieving survival in our division. Before tonight I'd have assessed our chances of survival at about 1-2%, despite 2 consecutive wins, although after tonight I'd upgrade that probability to 10%.  I love maths, probabilities and percentages - the reality of an event happening, versus a blind-faith hopefulness of it happenning.

    After tonight, indulge me if you will, where do you put our percentage chances of survival?

    It would be interesting to update this thread on a match by match basis.

    Indulge the nerd in me, what do you think our percentage chance of survival is, as of today?

    As I said, I'll get the ball rolling at 10% - today.

    What's your assessment - in percentage terms of us pulling it off?  No guffawing in the cheap seats.
     

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