Bris Vegas Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Top two has gone. It's probably best to have that attitude, at least we can then enjoy the run in and the excitement of finishing in the top six rather than have a gloom over missing out on top two. Most would have gladly taken a top six spot at the beginning of the season. 6th would be a good achievement for Rowett. So, with 12 games remaining, and 36 points left, I think 16-17 will be enough. I can't see Boro in 7th, or anybody below, grabbing 25-26 points from their last 12. That would be around 95 points on average over a 46-game season. So five more wins and a draw or two. There are plenty of winnable games left such as Barnsley (H), Sunderland (H), Bolton (H), QPR (A) and Burton (A). Playoffs are a lottery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MackworthRamIsGod Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Top 2 totally dead now as far as I am concerned. But with Palmer adding a bit of excitement, if Rowett can find a way of shoring up the defence, I expect it to be a good end to the season. To win the playoffs though it may require us beating Fulham, or Villa, or both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Comrade 86 Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 On the basis that you're seldom right about anything, I've just re-mortgaged and had the lot on us finishing in the autos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparkle Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 18 pts needed for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mistaram Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 2 hours ago, Bris Vegas said: Top two has gone. It's probably best to have that attitude, at least we can then enjoy the run in and the excitement of finishing in the top six rather than have a gloom over missing out on top two. Most would have gladly taken a top six spot at the beginning of the season. 6th would be a good achievement for Rowett. So, with 12 games remaining, and 36 points left, I think 16-17 will be enough. I can't see Boro in 7th, or anybody below, grabbing 25-26 points from their last 12. That would be around 95 points on average over a 46-game season. So five more wins and a draw or two. There are plenty of winnable games left such as Barnsley (H), Sunderland (H), Bolton (H), QPR (A) and Burton (A). Playoffs are a lottery. Bris they are the worst matches to play teams desperate for points are always danger games Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philmycock Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 If we finish in the top 6 then we have a 50-50 chance of going up, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rampage Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 30 minutes ago, philmycock said: If we finish in the top 6 then we have a 50-50 chance of going up, right? 25% actually but if only yes or no then 50% now and before the play offs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richinspain Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 35 minutes ago, philmycock said: If we finish in the top 6 then we have a 50-50 chance of going up, right? You can look at it two ways: 1 in 4, or 25% chance Or yes or no, therefore 50-50 ? @Rampage beat me to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rampage Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Stray thought - our momentum was disrupted by the january window uncertainties. If we had kept the players that we had and signed nobody, I suspect that we would be in a better position than we are now. Too much concern over FFP, not enough about stability and continuity. Possibly the same effect as previous years? We are going to face three of Cardiff (unlikely), Aston Villa, Fulham, Bristol City/? If we are in the Play Offs, I make us third favourite of the possible four teams on present form.. We need to finish 4th or 5th to stand our best chance of getting to Wembley in my opinion. Two or three draws in the next four games and we are in a fix at some level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DesertRam Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 We are rightly in the top 6, where we belong, but after the last 4 matches we need to get back to winning ways that's our blip. If we can correct the errors, we can go on another mini run, it'll have to be after a DRAW with Fulham though - if we can win, we're already on our way!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
plymouthram Posted February 25, 2018 Share Posted February 25, 2018 Lets look at some facts on the Rams, Only Wolves have lost less games so far this season. Only Wolves and Fulham have scored more goals, Only Wolves and Cardiff have conceded less goals. We are the top draw specialist in the teams chasing promotion, we just have to cut out the draws and convert them into wins. Most of our recent draws we have been the better side. We have had stonewall pens not given, a goal disallowed at Millwall that was never offside. Even our last defeat we were not poor, we just could'nt put our chances away. Perhaps we are due a little bit of luck in the next 12 matches, They are all winnable barring the 2 away games against Villa and Wolves, and who knows we might sneak a couple of draws there. Playing to our best in the remaining games I reckon we could get 28 points. But Gary and boys need to hit top form for the next 12 matches and possibly beyond if we end up in the Play offs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanish Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 11 hours ago, Rampage said: 25% actually but if only yes or no then 50% now and before the play offs. so we can say we have a 50:50 chance of finishing top, whoopeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PistoldPete2 Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 34 minutes ago, Spanish said: so we can say we have a 50:50 chance of finishing top, whoopeee Well we did gain on wolves at the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toddy Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 Well we have to start back to winning ways with Fulham, qpr and the idiots on sunday coming up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dethorn Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 In the next three games I can see us getting anything from nought to nine points. We will know better after that. Well except 8 - just worked it out you cannot get 8 points from 3 games but anything else is possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jono Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 Feels like top 6 and play off chance at the moment, but you know what ? A solid win against Fulham, The others drop points and suddenly you start thinking positively again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SKRam Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 2 hours ago, jono said: Feels like top 6 and play off chance at the moment, but you know what ? A solid win against Fulham, The others drop points and suddenly you start thinking positively again. Frustrating I can’t get to more games Jono. Shouting at the tv and Jeff on SSN doesn’t quite have the same effect as being here. Hand on my heart I’ve never booed a Rams player. Always believe in positivity. Watching those Arsenal fans streaming out. Pathetic as far as I’m concerned though their players were given a second half spanking ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maxjam Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 19 hours ago, richinspain said: You can look at it two ways: 1 in 4, or 25% chance Or yes or no, therefore 50-50 ? @Rampage beat me to it Is it 1 in 4 or 1 on 3 as we can't play everyone? Statistically speaking you have a 33% chance of promotion once you make the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MuespachRam Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 The focus should be...get a play off position nailed down as quickly as possible we should all be delighted if we get in to the play offs but I guarantee that if we beat Fulham at the weekend that people in here will be saying we are going to catch Wolves again....and if we lose then we the same people will be saying that Boro are going to catch us...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SKRam Posted February 26, 2018 Share Posted February 26, 2018 Phil Collins could do a job with this thread title...... follow up to One More Night. Surprised Inverurie hasn’t spotted it. I do of course realise that dates me as some on here will be ‘Who’s Phil Collins?’. Well I’m a fan so there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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