The way I see it, there is only one team we need to take more points than over the remaining 6 games, that is Cardiff. Due to their superior goal difference we need to take 2 more points to be sure. Yes, our run in is difficult but theirs is far from straight forward. We have already taken 2 more points than Cardiff over the opening 3 fixtures, we just need to take 2 more over the remaining 6 fixtures.
All the teams behind us need to gain more points than us in the remaining fixtures.
(I've ignored goal