North_Stand_Ram Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 So, we currently sit on 65 points with 13 games to go, 5 points clear of Ipswich in 3rd. The record points haul for a second place finish was Burnley last season, at 93 points. This would suggest that bare maximum number of points we need is 28 more, which would be 9 wins and a draw, although this may be unrealistic as the league is far more tight this year, where as Burnley and Leicester ran away with it.The lowest points total for promotion automatically was 79, which was Stoke City in 2007/08 and Hull City in 2012/13. If this were to occur again (very unlikely, as the league was at a poor standard in these years), we would only need 14 more points, so 5 wins in 13 or 4 wins and 2 draws.The average points haul for a second place finish in the Championship since its 2004 founder year is 86 points. So, on average, we need another 21 points from 13 games, which would be 7 wins. This reads VERY well, especially as we are currently averaging over 2 points a game. How many points do you think we need for promotion? I'd say we need 9 wins to make sure of it. Obviously we all want the title, but we need to go up first. COME ON YOU RAMS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eddie Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 We're not quite averaging 2 points per game, but if we win on Saturday we will be. It's the third time this season we've been in that position, and we haven't managed it yet, so third time lucky, I say.I reckon 86 to 88 points will be enough, but equally I reckon that we will get more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
curb Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 37 more points will do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_Stand_Ram Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 We're not quite averaging 2 points per game, but if we win on Saturday we will be. It's the third time this season we've been in that position, and we haven't managed it yet, so third time lucky, I say.I reckon 86 to 88 points will be enough, but equally I reckon that we will get more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
froggg Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'm going 84 will do it...... no particular reason... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bris Vegas Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I'd be surprised if 90 points doesn't do it.Win 8 Draw 1 Lose 4 will make sure of it. But to be honest I can't see us losing 4 in 13 matches with our current strength and confidence.I reckon Win 7 Draw 4 Lose 2 could be realistic if we take into account a month of March . - 25 more points and 90 in total.That said, if we win the next 3 matches then five from the remaining 10 is well within our grasp. Massive chance to pull away over the next 10 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howard Canitbé Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Bearing in mind that pretty much everybody in the top 6 has to play at least two other current top 6 teams between now and the end of the season, points are going to drop somewhere. I reckon 90 will be enough.These are the remaining number of (as it stands) top 6 fixtures each team has:Derby: 3, Middlesbrough, Watford and NorwichMiddlesbrough: 4, Ipswich, Derby, Bournemouth (Those 3 in 8 days!) and WatfordIpswich: 4, Middlesbrough, Bournemouth, Norwich and WatfordBournemouth: 2, Middlesbrough and IpswichNorwich: 3, Ipswich, Derby and MiddlesbroughWatford: 3, Derby, Middlesbrough and IpswichA fair few of these also have to play Brentford, Wolves or both. Both of whom are by no means out of the running yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RamontheMoor Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 A fair few of these also have to play Brentford, Wolves or both. Both of whom are by no means out of the running yet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needles Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 One game at a time really, boring as that is.Fact is that right now 11 wins and 2 draws from the last 13 guarantees us promotion, and you work back from there with other teams dropping points here and there as the season progresses.There are so many clubs in contention, that I could easily see 2 or even three of us going on great runs despite the top 8 clashes. I'd guess it'll take 90 points. Win the next one and tick those games down, then everyone else can do as they like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Howard Canitbé Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Yes - us!!! (Both) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uttoxram75 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I think we've made the breakthrough now. 5 points clear of third, better GD...its a fantastic position to be in....the right blend of grafters, goalscorers and gifted individuals....We're going up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uptherams Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 8 more wins. Because that would mean that everyone below Ipswich would need at least 10 just to finish on the same points as us. Ipswich have got too hard a run in. Let's just focus on the next 3. If we can get 3 wins and or the others drop more points than us then we are on our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PistoldPete2 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Burnley didn't need 93 points to finish 2nd they only needed 86., 1 more than us. I think 90 points will do it we are on target for that but some tough games to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St.AlbansRam Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 IMO...Losses- Norwich, WiganDraws- Brighton, Brentford, Middlesborough, MillwallWins- Fulham, Wolves, Reading, Huddersfield, Watford, Blackpool, Birmingham25 points which would take us to 90 points which should be enough hopefully COYR! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 39pts we'll pick up from the remaining games, that will put us on 104pts. Can't see anybody overtaking us with that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
unclej Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 If you win at home and draw away you will win the league. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TroyDyer Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I was thinking this yesterday. I have been focusing on Boro and Bournemouths run in, and they don't look easy. But looking at the games Norwich have left, I fail to see many where they will drop points. I think they will come creeping up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Van der MoodHoover Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I'm bullish - 10 wins from our remaining games I reckon.we won't need them tho - agree with the original post, we need to beat 3rd and the average for that is mid 80's.Bournemouth look to be fading and still reckon Boro have a slump in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_Stand_Ram Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 Burnley didn't need 93 points to finish 2nd they only needed 86., 1 more than us. I think 90 points will do it we are on target for that but some tough games to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolfie Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Middlesbrough: 4, Ipswich, Derby, Bournemouth (Those 3 in 8 days!) and Watford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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